IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.8	#310
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.0	#349
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	3.8%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.7	15.3

.500 or above	15.6%	42.3%	14.3%
.500 or above in Conference	29.5%	51.6%	28.4%
Conference Champion	1.7%	4.2%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.0%	3.6%	11.4%

First Four	0.7%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	1.7%	3.3%	1.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 8	11 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	87	@ Oklahoma St.	L	57-75	5%
Nov 08, 2024	201	St. Thomas	L	62-65	40%
Nov 13, 2024	294	@ Western Illinois	L	61-65	36%
Nov 16, 2024	48	@ Providence	L	56-77	3%
Nov 19, 2024	316	SIU Edwardsville	W	67-63	62%
Nov 22, 2024	228	@ Evansville	L	63-71	26%
Nov 25, 2024	31	@ Ohio St.	L	55-78	2%
Nov 30, 2024	301	Campbell	W	67-65	58%
Dec 04, 2024	360	@ IU Indianapolis	W	69-64	66%
Dec 07, 2024	213	Cleveland St.	L	66-68	43%
Dec 11, 2024	200	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	70-73	39%
Dec 14, 2024	167	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	62-73	18%
Dec 21, 2024	106	@ Drake	L	59-74	10%
Dec 29, 2024	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	68-72	36%
Jan 02, 2025	196	@ Wright St.	L	69-78	22%
Jan 04, 2025	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	61-71	19%
Jan 11, 2025	200	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	67-76	22%
Jan 17, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	68-66	57%
Jan 19, 2025	198	Youngstown St.	L	67-70	40%
Jan 22, 2025	360	IU Indianapolis	W	72-61	81%
Jan 25, 2025	213	@ Cleveland St.	L	63-71	25%
Jan 30, 2025	146	@ Oakland	L	61-73	17%
Feb 01, 2025	342	@ Detroit Mercy	W	67-66	52%
Feb 08, 2025	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	65-75	20%
Feb 14, 2025	174	Northern Kentucky	L	64-68	36%
Feb 16, 2025	196	Wright St.	L	72-75	40%
Feb 21, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	L	65-69	37%
Feb 23, 2025	198	@ Youngstown St.	L	64-73	23%
Feb 27, 2025	342	Detroit Mercy	W	70-63	71%
Mar 01, 2025	146	Oakland	L	64-70	32%
Projected Record						10 - 20	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0						4.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.7	2.4	1.2	0.2	0.0							5.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.2	2.9	1.3	0.2	0.0								7.2	5th
6th								0.1	0.9	3.2	4.0	1.6	0.2	0.0									10.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.6	4.2	4.5	1.9	0.3	0.0										12.7	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	3.1	5.6	4.9	1.8	0.2	0.0											16.4	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	2.0	4.8	5.8	3.8	1.2	0.1													18.1	9th
10th		0.1	0.8	2.9	4.2	3.7	1.8	0.4	0.0	0.0													14.1	10th
11th	0.3	1.2	2.0	1.9	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0															6.8	11th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.8	5.1	7.3	9.7	11.0	11.5	11.3	10.2	8.7	6.7	5.2	3.8	2.3	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	96.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	85.4%	0.3		0.2	0.1
16-4	62.8%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	32.9%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0			0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																		0.0					0.0
19-1	0.0%		46.2%	46.2%		12.8													0.0	0.0				0.0
18-2	0.1%		27.5%	27.5%		13.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-3	0.4%		28.2%	28.2%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
16-4	0.8%		18.9%	18.9%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6
15-5	1.4%		16.3%	16.3%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.2
14-6	2.3%		10.3%	10.3%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.1
13-7	3.8%		7.7%	7.7%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.5
12-8	5.2%		5.2%	5.2%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	4.9
11-9	6.7%		3.1%	3.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	6.5
10-10	8.7%		2.6%	2.6%		15.9																0.0	0.2	8.5
9-11	10.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.0
8-12	11.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
7-13	11.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-14	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-15	9.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
4-16	7.3%																							7.3
3-17	5.1%																							5.1
2-18	2.8%																							2.8
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.0%	2.0%	0.0%	15.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.1	98.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%