Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#251
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#231
Pace71.5#110
Improvement+2.5#10

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#193
First Shot-0.1#185
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#204
Layup/Dunks+1.3#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#65
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement+0.7#90

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#308
First Shot-5.1#324
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#119
Layups/Dunks-3.1#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#288
Freethrows+0.3#168
Improvement+1.9#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.8% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 29.8% 41.0% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 56.1% 43.4%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.5% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.7% 5.1%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.3%
First Round4.0% 5.2% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Away) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 411 - 714 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 86   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 10%     0 - 1 -3.4 +3.6 -6.2
  Nov 08, 2024 168   St. Thomas L 76-90 45%     0 - 2 -17.5 -1.2 -15.9
  Nov 13, 2024 326   @ Western Illinois W 87-73 56%     1 - 2 +7.8 +14.9 -6.7
  Nov 16, 2024 77   @ Providence L 65-79 9%     1 - 3 -3.6 +2.5 -6.7
  Nov 19, 2024 272   SIU Edwardsville W 82-57 65%     2 - 3 +16.3 +5.1 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2024 299   @ Evansville L 76-77 48%    
  Nov 25, 2024 21   @ Ohio St. L 62-84 2%    
  Nov 30, 2024 257   Campbell W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 04, 2024 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 07, 2024 222   Cleveland St. W 74-73 54%    
  Dec 11, 2024 212   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-79 53%    
  Dec 14, 2024 130   @ UC Santa Barbara L 72-82 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 106   @ Drake L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 29, 2024 139   Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-82 39%    
  Jan 02, 2025 184   @ Wright St. L 79-85 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 203   @ Northern Kentucky L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 212   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-82 32%    
  Jan 17, 2025 288   Robert Morris W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 19, 2025 192   Youngstown St. L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 22, 2025 361   IU Indianapolis W 81-68 87%    
  Jan 25, 2025 222   @ Cleveland St. L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 30, 2025 178   @ Oakland L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 328   @ Detroit Mercy W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 139   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-85 21%    
  Feb 14, 2025 203   Northern Kentucky W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 16, 2025 184   Wright St. L 82-83 49%    
  Feb 21, 2025 288   @ Robert Morris L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 23, 2025 192   @ Youngstown St. L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 27, 2025 328   Detroit Mercy W 78-70 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 178   Oakland L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.3 5.0 2.4 0.2 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.8 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.8 7.2 9.9 11.4 12.5 12.2 11.3 9.3 6.8 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 92.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 76.1% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 43.4% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.1% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 30.4% 30.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 26.1% 26.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.7% 21.9% 21.9% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.5% 26.3% 26.3% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 2.8% 18.0% 18.0% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.3
14-6 4.8% 14.4% 14.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 4.1
13-7 6.8% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 6.2
12-8 9.3% 7.1% 7.1% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.6
11-9 11.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.6
10-10 12.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.8
9-11 12.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.2
8-12 11.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.3
7-13 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.9
6-14 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.2
5-15 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-16 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.1 95.4 0.0%