Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#183
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#224
Pace65.6#254
Improvement+6.8#5

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#257
First Shot+1.0#139
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#349
Layup/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#147
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement+3.8#31

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#123
First Shot-1.2#215
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#9
Layups/Dunks-4.5#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#96
Freethrows+1.5#82
Improvement+3.0#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.2% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 55.0% 75.8% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% 1.0% 1.6%
First Round8.8% 10.8% 6.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 411 - 715 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 93   @ Virginia L 56-65 20%     0 - 1 -1.3 -2.8 -0.2
  Nov 10, 2024 331   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 86%     0 - 2 -14.1 -14.7 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2024 283   @ Navy W 86-66 62%     1 - 2 +15.7 +10.5 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2024 33   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 6%     1 - 3 -27.8 -7.4 -18.6
  Nov 24, 2024 237   @ Evansville L 53-66 51%     1 - 4 -14.5 -14.8 -0.5
  Nov 30, 2024 337   @ Green Bay W 72-66 77%     2 - 4 -2.9 -7.3 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2024 312   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 83%     2 - 5 -12.6 -15.9 +3.2
  Dec 12, 2024 358   @ The Citadel W 86-58 84%     3 - 5 +16.2 +16.3 +2.5
  Dec 15, 2024 330   @ Morgan St. L 76-86 74%     3 - 6 -17.9 -3.4 -14.5
  Dec 18, 2024 200   Longwood L 55-77 63%     3 - 7 -26.7 -17.6 -10.6
  Dec 29, 2024 40   @ North Carolina L 81-97 8%     3 - 8 -1.3 +13.3 -14.4
  Jan 02, 2025 195   Drexel W 57-54 63%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -1.5 -15.3 +13.8
  Jan 04, 2025 116   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-77 26%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -2.6 +3.3 -6.7
  Jan 09, 2025 250   @ Hampton W 66-55 54%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +8.7 +0.1 +9.8
  Jan 13, 2025 175   @ Elon L 68-81 39%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -11.3 +1.2 -13.6
  Jan 16, 2025 143   College of Charleston L 61-67 51%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -7.5 -11.6 +4.0
  Jan 18, 2025 255   Monmouth W 81-58 74%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +15.2 +6.9 +9.2
  Jan 23, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 79-54 71%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +18.1 +10.9 +10.4
  Jan 25, 2025 227   @ Hofstra W 69-67 OT 49%     8 - 11 5 - 3 +1.0 +2.1 -1.0
  Jan 30, 2025 216   William & Mary W 96-55 66%     9 - 11 6 - 3 +35.5 +9.3 +22.2
  Feb 01, 2025 227   Hofstra W 75-52 68%     10 - 11 7 - 3 +16.9 +13.8 +6.4
  Feb 06, 2025 175   Elon W 76-58 59%     11 - 11 8 - 3 +14.6 +6.4 +9.5
  Feb 10, 2025 316   N.C. A&T W 66-62 84%     12 - 11 9 - 3 -7.7 -2.7 -4.5
  Feb 13, 2025 212   @ Northeastern L 58-67 46%     12 - 12 9 - 4 -9.1 -9.2 -0.7
  Feb 15, 2025 244   @ Delaware W 96-91 53%     13 - 12 10 - 4 +3.0 +21.8 -18.6
  Feb 20, 2025 316   @ N.C. A&T L 50-53 70%     13 - 13 10 - 5 -9.6 -20.2 +10.3
  Feb 22, 2025 157   Towson W 63-62 56%    
  Feb 27, 2025 116   UNC Wilmington L 68-69 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 143   @ College of Charleston L 69-74 31%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 1.2 5.7 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.5 11.0 2.8 14.3 3rd
4th 1.2 20.0 17.8 39.0 4th
5th 11.7 20.4 2.5 34.6 5th
6th 4.9 4.9 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 17.7 40.9 32.6 8.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 8.9% 16.7% 16.7% 14.8 0.5 0.9 0.1 7.4
12-6 32.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.4 0.1 2.1 1.7 28.8
11-7 40.9% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 1.4 2.0 37.5
10-8 17.7% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.1 0.5 17.1
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.6 4.4 4.3 90.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 14.8 32.4 58.8 8.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.7%
Lose Out 7.2%