Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#252
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#283
Pace66.3#237
Improvement+3.6#41

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#295
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#354
Layup/Dunks-1.1#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
Freethrows+1.7#81
Improvement+2.0#78

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#194
First Shot-3.4#284
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#10
Layups/Dunks-5.7#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#114
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement+1.6#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 4.5% 7.1% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 49.7% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.1% 3.0%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
First Round1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 107   @ Virginia L 56-65 15%     0 - 1 -2.8 -0.2 -4.3
  Nov 10, 2024 345   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 82%     0 - 2 -15.7 -14.7 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2024 291   @ Navy W 86-66 49%     1 - 2 +15.3 +8.8 +6.2
  Nov 22, 2024 36   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 4%     1 - 3 -28.7 -7.7 -19.2
  Nov 24, 2024 261   @ Evansville L 53-66 41%     1 - 4 -15.9 -14.0 -2.6
  Nov 30, 2024 333   @ Green Bay W 72-66 63%     2 - 4 -2.5 -8.1 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2024 292   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 69%     2 - 5 -11.3 -15.6 +4.2
  Dec 12, 2024 352   @ The Citadel W 86-58 69%     3 - 5 +17.8 +17.5 +2.9
  Dec 15, 2024 334   @ Morgan St. L 76-86 63%     3 - 6 -18.6 -3.8 -14.9
  Dec 18, 2024 199   Longwood L 55-77 47%     3 - 7 -26.4 -16.4 -11.5
  Dec 29, 2024 26   @ North Carolina L 81-97 3%     3 - 8 +0.5 +15.5 -14.7
  Jan 02, 2025 193   Drexel W 57-54 46%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -1.1 -15.5 +14.4
  Jan 04, 2025 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-77 19%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -3.7 +3.3 -7.8
  Jan 09, 2025 256   @ Hampton W 66-55 40%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +8.4 +0.7 +8.9
  Jan 13, 2025 158   @ Elon L 68-81 22%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -9.9 +1.7 -12.7
  Jan 16, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 61-67 32%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -6.4 -10.9 +4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 267   Monmouth W 81-58 64%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +14.3 +7.4 +7.7
  Jan 23, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 174   @ Hofstra L 58-65 24%    
  Jan 30, 2025 189   William & Mary L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 01, 2025 174   Hofstra L 60-62 44%    
  Feb 06, 2025 158   Elon L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 323   N.C. A&T W 77-70 75%    
  Feb 13, 2025 200   @ Northeastern L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 196   @ Delaware L 72-78 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 323   @ N.C. A&T W 74-72 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 176   Towson L 62-64 45%    
  Feb 27, 2025 141   UNC Wilmington L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 68-78 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.8 0.5 4.1 4th
5th 0.4 3.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 2.5 4.6 0.5 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 6.5 2.4 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 5.6 5.7 0.3 12.1 8th
9th 0.4 4.1 9.0 1.8 15.2 9th
10th 0.3 3.0 8.6 4.3 0.3 16.5 10th
11th 0.1 2.2 6.8 4.8 0.7 14.5 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.1 12th
13th 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.4 13th
14th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.5 2.3 7.0 13.2 18.9 20.8 17.1 11.3 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 36.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.6% 10.0% 10.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5
12-6 2.2% 9.1% 9.1% 15.4 0.1 0.1 2.0
11-7 6.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.9
10-8 11.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.0
9-9 17.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 16.9
8-10 20.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 20.6
7-11 18.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 18.8
6-12 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
5-13 7.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%