Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#257
Expected Predictive Rating-10.4#308
Pace66.3#273
Improvement+1.0#69

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#259
First Shot-2.1#242
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#217
Layup/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#227
Freethrows-1.9#276
Improvement+0.2#145

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#237
First Shot-7.9#358
After Offensive Rebounds+5.9#4
Layups/Dunks-5.8#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#77
Freethrows-1.4#256
Improvement+0.9#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 4.1% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 13.5 15.0
.500 or above 22.9% 54.5% 22.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.5% 57.3% 33.0%
Conference Champion 1.9% 5.5% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 5.5% 14.0%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round1.7% 3.9% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 58   @ Virginia L 56-65 7%     0 - 1 +3.0 +2.7 -1.4
  Nov 10, 2024 343   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 83%     0 - 2 -16.1 -13.1 -3.1
  Nov 17, 2024 313   @ Navy W 86-66 52%     1 - 2 +14.6 +8.8 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2024 20   @ Ohio St. L 57-79 2%    
  Nov 24, 2024 300   @ Evansville L 71-72 48%    
  Nov 30, 2024 252   @ Green Bay L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 04, 2024 296   Coastal Carolina W 69-64 69%    
  Dec 12, 2024 309   @ The Citadel W 67-66 51%    
  Dec 15, 2024 333   @ Morgan St. W 76-73 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 179   Longwood L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 29, 2024 7   @ North Carolina L 64-89 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 144   Drexel L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 09, 2025 310   @ Hampton W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 263   @ Elon L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 16, 2025 116   College of Charleston L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 261   Monmouth W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 285   @ Stony Brook L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 62-72 19%    
  Jan 30, 2025 208   William & Mary W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 131   Hofstra L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 263   Elon W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 272   N.C. A&T W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 148   @ Northeastern L 66-74 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 213   @ Delaware L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 20, 2025 272   @ N.C. A&T L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 134   Towson L 63-67 38%    
  Feb 27, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington L 71-73 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 116   @ College of Charleston L 69-80 17%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.2 1.3 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.3 2.3 0.1 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.3 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.6 1.1 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.1 1.8 0.1 10.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.9 13th
14th 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.1 14th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.2 5.5 8.5 10.9 12.4 12.6 11.9 10.6 8.4 5.9 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 81.3% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 49.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 48.1% 48.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 15.3% 13.9% 1.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6%
15-3 0.6% 19.0% 19.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.2% 17.6% 17.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.4% 12.3% 12.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
12-6 4.0% 7.7% 7.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.7
11-7 5.9% 5.2% 5.2% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.6
10-8 8.4% 2.8% 2.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.2
9-9 10.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 10.5
8-10 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 12.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-14 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 5.5% 5.5
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 98.1 0.0%