Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#231
Pace61.7#343
Improvement-5.1#344

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#318
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#347
Layup/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#118
Freethrows-1.3#267
Improvement-2.3#291

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#106
First Shot+1.9#112
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#156
Layups/Dunks+2.0#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#279
Freethrows-0.2#196
Improvement-2.8#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 16.0
.500 or above 1.8% 3.4% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.1% 3.6%
First Four0.9% 0.7% 1.0%
First Round1.2% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 37 - 88 - 10
Quad 46 - 813 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 259   Iona W 90-76 66%     1 - 0 +6.1 +13.3 -7.8
  Nov 13, 2024 167   Seton Hall W 49-48 38%     2 - 0 +0.6 -10.9 +11.8
  Nov 16, 2024 168   @ Massachusetts W 75-71 OT 29%     3 - 0 +6.2 +2.7 +3.3
  Nov 19, 2024 82   @ Florida St. L 61-79 12%     3 - 1 -8.6 -4.0 -4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 3   @ Houston L 44-80 1%     3 - 2 -11.0 -11.7 -3.3
  Nov 29, 2024 178   Rice W 68-63 OT 40%     4 - 2 +4.1 -10.4 +14.2
  Nov 30, 2024 273   Tarleton St. L 59-61 61%     4 - 3 -8.3 -4.2 -4.4
  Dec 01, 2024 97   Arkansas St. W 68-66 21%     5 - 3 +7.0 +2.1 +4.9
  Dec 09, 2024 181   @ Norfolk St. W 80-67 32%     6 - 3 +14.4 +13.8 +1.7
  Dec 15, 2024 155   Temple L 42-60 44%     6 - 4 -20.0 -30.8 +9.3
  Dec 29, 2024 189   @ Quinnipiac L 69-75 OT 33%     6 - 5 -5.1 -8.9 +4.4
  Jan 02, 2025 216   William & Mary L 56-74 58%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -23.5 -18.6 -5.8
  Jan 04, 2025 212   @ Northeastern W 55-37 37%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +17.9 -13.2 +32.5
  Jan 09, 2025 143   College of Charleston L 61-67 42%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -7.5 -13.1 +5.7
  Jan 11, 2025 116   UNC Wilmington W 66-63 35%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +3.3 +1.0 +2.7
  Jan 16, 2025 157   @ Towson L 60-65 27%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -2.0 +0.9 -3.8
  Jan 20, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 55-60 34%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -4.4 -8.5 +3.5
  Jan 23, 2025 244   Delaware W 93-68 63%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +18.0 +18.7 +0.7
  Jan 25, 2025 183   Campbell L 67-69 OT 51%     9 - 10 3 - 5 -5.8 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 30, 2025 175   @ Elon W 74-63 31%     10 - 10 4 - 5 +12.7 +6.0 +7.4
  Feb 01, 2025 183   @ Campbell L 52-75 32%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -21.7 -10.4 -14.6
  Feb 06, 2025 212   Northeastern L 68-77 56%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -14.2 -0.7 -14.3
  Feb 08, 2025 320   Stony Brook L 75-80 79%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -16.9 +2.1 -19.6
  Feb 13, 2025 216   @ William & Mary L 60-61 38%     10 - 14 4 - 9 -1.4 -9.3 +7.8
  Feb 15, 2025 250   @ Hampton L 49-67 45%     10 - 15 4 - 10 -20.3 -22.6 +1.6
  Feb 20, 2025 255   Monmouth L 62-68 66%     10 - 16 4 - 11 -13.8 -5.5 -9.3
  Feb 22, 2025 244   @ Delaware L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 66-63 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 316   N.C. A&T W 70-62 79%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 8th
9th 2.3 2.3 9th
10th 5.0 12.9 17.9 10th
11th 2.3 30.9 6.3 39.5 11th
12th 3.3 25.9 8.4 37.5 12th
13th 1.9 0.7 2.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 14th
Total 5.2 28.8 44.2 21.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 21.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 21.3
6-12 44.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 43.5
5-13 28.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 28.5
4-14 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 15.1 2.1 89.6 8.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%
Lose Out 2.2%