Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#256
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#231
Pace64.5#289
Improvement-0.6#206

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#277
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#212
Layup/Dunks-7.1#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement-0.7#220

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#225
First Shot-0.1#183
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#298
Layups/Dunks+1.1#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#226
Freethrows-2.4#327
Improvement+0.1#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.8
.500 or above 9.9% 14.6% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 16.5% 23.8% 7.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 1.0% 11.2%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Away) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 49 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 119   @ George Washington L 54-82 16%     0 - 1 -22.6 -17.5 -4.0
  Nov 12, 2024 81   @ Providence L 51-60 8%     0 - 2 +0.9 -9.1 +8.6
  Nov 16, 2024 182   Norfolk St. L 58-67 43%     0 - 3 -12.6 -9.0 -5.0
  Nov 19, 2024 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 43%     1 - 3 +6.5 +7.4 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2024 57   Boise St. L 69-83 9%     1 - 4 -4.2 +0.9 -5.4
  Nov 25, 2024 116   Duquesne W 64-59 22%     2 - 4 +7.9 -1.9 +10.1
  Nov 26, 2024 105   High Point L 73-76 20%     2 - 5 +0.7 +9.9 -9.7
  Dec 03, 2024 323   N.C. A&T W 82-71 74%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -1.1 +0.4 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2024 315   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-68 52%     4 - 5 +2.0 +3.0 -0.7
  Dec 28, 2024 281   Howard W 83-67 66%     5 - 5 +6.3 +3.9 +3.0
  Jan 02, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 67-94 16%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -21.9 -9.2 -10.2
  Jan 04, 2025 158   @ Elon L 62-70 21%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -4.9 -5.7 +0.2
  Jan 09, 2025 252   Campbell L 55-66 60%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -18.8 -13.4 -6.7
  Jan 11, 2025 196   Delaware W 83-77 46%     6 - 8 2 - 3 +1.7 +7.6 -5.7
  Jan 16, 2025 189   William & Mary L 64-67 45%     6 - 9 2 - 4 -7.0 -9.2 +2.0
  Jan 20, 2025 323   @ N.C. A&T W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 23, 2025 189   @ William & Mary L 72-79 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 63-73 17%    
  Jan 30, 2025 200   Northeastern L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 281   Howard W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 06, 2025 267   @ Monmouth L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 200   @ Northeastern L 66-72 27%    
  Feb 13, 2025 193   Drexel L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 174   Hofstra L 60-62 44%    
  Feb 20, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 141   UNC Wilmington L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 27, 2025 193   @ Drexel L 60-67 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 176   @ Towson L 59-66 23%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.1 1.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 0.5 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 1.8 0.2 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.8 0.8 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.2 0.1 7.6 8th
9th 0.3 3.4 6.5 0.8 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 7.6 3.4 0.1 14.1 10th
11th 0.2 3.4 9.2 6.2 0.6 19.6 11th
12th 0.6 4.6 9.7 7.1 1.5 0.0 23.4 12th
13th 0.2 2.0 3.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.0 13th
14th 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 2.0 14th
Total 0.7 3.5 9.3 15.8 19.7 19.2 15.4 9.6 4.3 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 15.4% 0.0    0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.5% 14.9% 14.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.9% 6.8% 6.8% 14.5 0.1 0.1 1.8
10-8 4.3% 2.8% 2.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 4.2
9-9 9.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.4
8-10 15.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.1 0.1 15.2
7-11 19.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 19.0
6-12 19.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.6
5-13 15.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.7
4-14 9.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-15 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%