N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#316
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#334
Pace73.4#53
Improvement+2.3#91

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#322
First Shot-4.8#306
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#251
Layup/Dunks-1.9#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#274
Freethrows-1.3#270
Improvement-3.0#314

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#275
First Shot-2.3#245
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#285
Layups/Dunks-4.2#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#91
Freethrows-0.6#234
Improvement+5.3#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 68.0% 48.9% 98.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 61.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 121 - 16
Quad 45 - 96 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 55   @ Wake Forest L 64-80 3%     0 - 1 -2.9 -8.2 +7.5
  Nov 12, 2024 117   @ George Washington L 80-85 9%     0 - 2 +0.3 +5.7 -5.0
  Nov 17, 2024 358   @ The Citadel W 82-73 60%     1 - 2 -2.8 +4.3 -7.1
  Nov 20, 2024 330   Morgan St. W 86-83 64%     2 - 2 -10.0 -6.2 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2024 352   @ Buffalo L 81-82 56%     2 - 3 -11.6 -4.9 -6.6
  Nov 29, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 69-93 13%     2 - 4 -20.8 -1.8 -19.4
  Dec 03, 2024 250   @ Hampton L 71-82 26%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -13.3 -4.8 -8.2
  Dec 07, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro L 55-67 25%     2 - 6 -14.0 -12.8 -2.4
  Dec 12, 2024 128   @ Virginia Tech L 67-95 11%     2 - 7 -23.7 -9.6 -11.7
  Dec 14, 2024 77   @ Liberty L 74-83 5%     2 - 8 +0.9 +6.9 -5.8
  Dec 17, 2024 312   Coastal Carolina L 68-73 59%     2 - 9 -16.6 -9.6 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 35   @ Arkansas L 67-95 2%     2 - 10 -12.7 +0.0 -11.0
  Dec 28, 2024 310   NC Central W 85-72 58%     3 - 10 +1.8 +9.0 -6.5
  Jan 02, 2025 175   Elon L 67-75 29%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -11.4 -0.3 -12.0
  Jan 04, 2025 195   Drexel L 59-68 33%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -13.5 -13.1 -0.6
  Jan 09, 2025 244   Delaware L 88-98 42%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -17.0 -6.1 -9.3
  Jan 11, 2025 216   @ William & Mary L 78-81 20%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -3.4 -2.8 -0.4
  Jan 16, 2025 255   Monmouth L 63-72 45%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -16.8 -12.1 -5.0
  Jan 20, 2025 250   Hampton L 73-74 43%     3 - 16 0 - 7 -8.4 +2.4 -11.0
  Jan 23, 2025 157   @ Towson L 67-83 13%     3 - 17 0 - 8 -13.0 +0.7 -14.4
  Jan 25, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook L 74-89 41%     3 - 18 0 - 9 -21.9 -3.0 -19.1
  Jan 30, 2025 116   UNC Wilmington L 59-83 19%     3 - 19 0 - 10 -23.7 -11.7 -13.6
  Feb 06, 2025 143   @ College of Charleston L 63-66 12%     3 - 20 0 - 11 +0.6 -4.4 +4.8
  Feb 10, 2025 183   @ Campbell L 62-66 16%     3 - 21 0 - 12 -2.7 +0.5 -3.7
  Feb 13, 2025 175   @ Elon W 60-59 16%     4 - 21 1 - 12 +2.7 -6.2 +8.9
  Feb 15, 2025 143   College of Charleston L 59-69 23%     4 - 22 1 - 13 -11.5 -11.2 -0.8
  Feb 20, 2025 183   Campbell W 53-50 30%     5 - 22 2 - 13 -0.8 -14.3 +13.8
  Feb 22, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 27, 2025 212   @ Northeastern L 69-78 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 227   @ Hofstra L 62-70 21%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 2.5 2.4 4.8 12th
13th 33.6 18.3 0.2 52.0 13th
14th 25.6 16.7 0.6 42.9 14th
Total 25.6 50.2 21.4 2.8 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 2.8% 2.8
4-14 21.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.4
3-15 50.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 50.2
2-16 25.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.6
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 18.7%