Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#137
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#154
Pace64.6#283
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#135
First Shot+0.1#174
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#90
Layup/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#80
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement+3.2#32

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#171
First Shot-2.0#239
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#44
Layups/Dunks+1.0#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#325
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement-3.1#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 9.5 13.0
.500 or above 4.0% 8.9% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 9.7% 18.7% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 0.9% 5.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 22 - 82 - 15
Quad 34 - 46 - 19
Quad 46 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 323   Delaware St. W 83-60 90%     1 - 0 +10.9 +3.2 +7.4
  Nov 08, 2024 337   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 92%     2 - 0 +4.8 +10.5 -6.2
  Nov 11, 2024 198   Winthrop W 58-52 72%     3 - 0 +1.6 -12.5 +14.8
  Nov 15, 2024 48   Penn St. L 64-86 19%     3 - 1 -11.2 -7.6 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2024 184   Jacksonville L 64-74 70%     3 - 2 -13.8 -6.9 -7.0
  Nov 25, 2024 11   Michigan L 63-75 8%     3 - 3 +5.3 -2.8 +8.1
  Nov 27, 2024 82   South Carolina L 60-70 31%     3 - 4 -3.2 -1.4 -2.9
  Dec 04, 2024 49   Vanderbilt L 64-80 27%     3 - 5 -8.0 -2.7 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 40   Pittsburgh L 59-64 24%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +4.1 -6.5 +10.2
  Dec 12, 2024 322   N.C. A&T W 95-67 90%     4 - 6 +15.9 +7.7 +5.8
  Dec 15, 2024 292   Navy W 80-72 87%     5 - 6 -2.2 +13.8 -14.8
  Dec 21, 2024 90   Saint Joseph's L 62-82 33%     5 - 7 -13.7 -3.4 -11.4
  Dec 31, 2024 1   @ Duke L 65-88 2%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +3.5 +10.8 -9.4
  Jan 04, 2025 155   Miami (FL) W 86-85 65%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -1.2 +10.6 -11.7
  Jan 08, 2025 88   @ Stanford L 59-70 24%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -1.8 -6.1 +3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 118   @ California W 71-68 36%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +8.4 +6.5 +2.3
  Jan 15, 2025 93   North Carolina St. W 79-76 44%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +6.3 +15.7 -9.0
  Jan 18, 2025 59   Wake Forest L 63-72 32%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -2.4 -0.8 -2.1
  Jan 22, 2025 104   @ Georgia Tech L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 30   Clemson L 64-73 21%    
  Jan 29, 2025 58   @ Florida St. L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 107   @ Virginia L 59-64 33%    
  Feb 05, 2025 37   SMU L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 77   @ Notre Dame L 66-74 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 107   Virginia W 62-61 55%    
  Feb 18, 2025 193   @ Boston College W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 155   @ Miami (FL) L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 27   Louisville L 69-78 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 103   Syracuse W 74-73 53%    
  Mar 04, 2025 26   North Carolina L 71-80 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 30   @ Clemson L 61-75 9%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 1.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.8 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.5 0.2 5.9 9th
10th 0.2 3.3 4.7 1.1 9.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.4 6.2 2.5 0.1 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 6.5 5.0 0.5 12.8 12th
13th 0.3 5.2 7.4 1.3 0.1 14.3 13th
14th 0.0 2.0 8.0 3.2 0.1 13.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 6.0 5.0 0.4 11.9 15th
16th 0.2 3.3 4.9 0.9 0.0 9.5 16th
17th 0.8 2.7 0.9 0.0 4.3 17th
18th 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.9 18th
Total 1.6 6.9 14.1 20.1 20.2 16.5 11.1 6.1 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.1
13-7 0.2% 0.2
12-8 1.0% 1.0
11-9 2.3% 2.3
10-10 6.1% 6.1
9-11 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 11.1
8-12 16.5% 16.5
7-13 20.2% 20.2
6-14 20.1% 20.1
5-15 14.1% 14.1
4-16 6.9% 6.9
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%