Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#95
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#108
Pace68.2#216
Improvement+0.0#180

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#112
First Shot-0.7#207
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#43
Layup/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#257
Freethrows+2.4#70
Improvement-0.6#273

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#83
First Shot+1.0#147
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#58
Layups/Dunks+0.7#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#225
Freethrows-1.2#250
Improvement+0.5#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.0% 11.0% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.5% 10.4% 3.6%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 44.8% 48.3% 22.5%
.500 or above in Conference 27.1% 28.8% 16.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 12.7% 21.5%
First Four2.8% 3.1% 1.0%
First Round8.4% 9.2% 3.4%
Second Round3.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 24 - 66 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 45 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 345   Delaware St. W 83-60 96%     1 - 0 +7.7 +4.0 +3.4
  Nov 08, 2024 314   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 93%     2 - 0 +7.6 +10.8 -3.8
  Nov 11, 2024 193   Winthrop W 58-52 83%     3 - 0 +1.5 -10.1 +12.3
  Nov 15, 2024 32   Penn St. L 64-86 24%     3 - 1 -9.3 -5.0 -3.3
  Nov 20, 2024 226   Jacksonville W 73-61 86%    
  Nov 25, 2024 24   Michigan L 69-77 22%    
  Dec 04, 2024 82   Vanderbilt W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 07, 2024 25   Pittsburgh L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 12, 2024 272   N.C. A&T W 82-68 90%    
  Dec 15, 2024 313   Navy W 79-62 94%    
  Dec 21, 2024 100   Saint Joseph's W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 31, 2024 5   @ Duke L 63-80 7%    
  Jan 04, 2025 37   Miami (FL) L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 08, 2025 67   @ Stanford L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 104   @ California L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 15, 2025 52   North Carolina St. L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 73   Wake Forest W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 22, 2025 106   @ Georgia Tech L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 49   Clemson L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 79   @ Florida St. L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 58   @ Virginia L 57-64 28%    
  Feb 05, 2025 68   SMU W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 56   @ Notre Dame L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 58   Virginia L 60-61 48%    
  Feb 18, 2025 133   @ Boston College W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 37   @ Miami (FL) L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 25, 2025 46   Louisville L 73-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 92   Syracuse W 78-75 60%    
  Mar 04, 2025 7   North Carolina L 74-83 22%    
  Mar 08, 2025 49   @ Clemson L 67-74 28%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.4 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.0 1.1 0.0 7.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 4.0 2.6 0.2 0.0 7.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.2 1.7 0.1 8.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.1 16th
17th 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.6 17th
18th 0.3 1.1 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 8.1 18th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.2 7.6 10.1 11.4 12.3 11.8 10.5 8.8 6.7 4.9 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 50.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 75.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 60.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 30.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 10.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 98.2% 10.7% 87.6% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
15-5 1.0% 93.1% 5.3% 87.8% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.7%
14-6 1.9% 79.8% 4.8% 75.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 78.8%
13-7 3.1% 65.0% 2.3% 62.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 64.2%
12-8 4.9% 43.8% 1.7% 42.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 2.8 42.8%
11-9 6.7% 23.9% 1.1% 22.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.1 5.1 23.0%
10-10 8.8% 9.8% 0.3% 9.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.0 9.5%
9-11 10.5% 2.1% 0.3% 1.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.3 1.8%
8-12 11.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.2%
7-13 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.0%
6-14 11.4% 11.4
5-15 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 10.1
4-16 7.6% 7.6
3-17 5.2% 5.2
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 1.1% 1.1
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 10.0% 0.5% 9.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 90.0 9.5%