Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#152
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#264
Pace68.3#176
Improvement-5.0#343

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#66
First Shot+5.3#53
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#208
Layup/Dunks+1.4#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#105
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-5.4#358

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#308
First Shot-4.6#315
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#171
Layups/Dunks-0.8#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#292
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement+0.3#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 77.8% 66.3% 92.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 20 - 70 - 16
Quad 32 - 62 - 21
Quad 45 - 27 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 318   Fairleigh Dickinson W 113-72 87%     1 - 0 +29.2 +29.1 -2.3
  Nov 10, 2024 299   Binghamton W 88-64 84%     2 - 0 +13.8 +12.7 +1.5
  Nov 17, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 93-63 97%     3 - 0 +9.0 +18.5 -8.2
  Nov 21, 2024 74   Drake L 69-80 25%     3 - 1 -3.3 +9.0 -13.8
  Nov 22, 2024 92   Oklahoma St. L 74-80 32%     3 - 2 -0.4 +9.3 -10.1
  Nov 24, 2024 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 70-77 12%     3 - 3 +6.1 +11.4 -5.9
  Nov 30, 2024 285   Charleston Southern L 79-83 83%     3 - 4 -13.5 +4.8 -18.4
  Dec 03, 2024 35   Arkansas L 73-76 18%     3 - 5 +7.2 +10.2 -3.1
  Dec 07, 2024 23   Clemson L 55-65 13%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +3.0 -1.8 +3.0
  Dec 10, 2024 5   Tennessee L 62-75 5%     3 - 7 +6.9 +4.1 +2.4
  Dec 15, 2024 270   Presbyterian W 94-75 80%     4 - 7 +10.7 +24.9 -12.4
  Dec 21, 2024 258   Mount St. Mary's L 74-78 OT 79%     4 - 8 -11.9 -8.7 -2.8
  Jan 01, 2025 174   @ Boston College L 68-78 45%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -8.1 -6.4 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2025 128   @ Virginia Tech L 85-86 36%     4 - 10 0 - 3 +3.3 +17.7 -14.4
  Jan 08, 2025 82   Florida St. L 65-80 36%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -10.7 -6.1 -3.9
  Jan 11, 2025 55   Wake Forest L 78-88 24%     4 - 12 0 - 5 -2.0 +12.4 -14.4
  Jan 14, 2025 2   @ Duke L 54-89 2%     4 - 13 0 - 6 -8.9 -1.3 -11.4
  Jan 18, 2025 37   SMU L 74-117 19%     4 - 14 0 - 7 -33.0 +4.6 -37.8
  Jan 22, 2025 88   @ Stanford L 51-88 22%     4 - 15 0 - 8 -28.1 -18.9 -8.9
  Jan 25, 2025 112   @ California L 94-98 OT 31%     4 - 16 0 - 9 +1.8 +12.1 -9.9
  Jan 29, 2025 93   Virginia L 71-82 42%     4 - 17 0 - 10 -8.3 +11.5 -21.7
  Feb 01, 2025 95   Notre Dame W 63-57 42%     5 - 17 1 - 10 +8.6 +3.6 +6.3
  Feb 08, 2025 21   @ Louisville L 78-88 6%     5 - 18 1 - 11 +8.3 +12.8 -4.4
  Feb 11, 2025 108   Syracuse W 91-84 49%     6 - 18 2 - 11 +8.0 +14.8 -7.1
  Feb 15, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh L 65-74 12%     6 - 19 2 - 12 +4.2 +2.8 +0.6
  Feb 19, 2025 82   @ Florida St. L 66-74 20%     6 - 20 2 - 13 +1.4 -2.3 +4.0
  Feb 22, 2025 128   Virginia Tech W 75-74 56%    
  Feb 25, 2025 2   Duke L 66-86 3%    
  Mar 01, 2025 40   @ North Carolina L 76-90 8%    
  Mar 04, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech L 74-81 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 103   North Carolina St. L 73-74 47%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.5 14th
15th 1.6 0.4 2.0 15th
16th 0.9 10.1 6.4 0.2 17.6 16th
17th 12.6 17.1 1.6 31.3 17th
18th 17.0 25.6 5.9 0.1 48.5 18th
Total 17.0 39.1 33.1 9.8 1.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14 1.1% 1.1
5-15 9.8% 9.8
4-16 33.1% 33.1
3-17 39.1% 39.1
2-18 17.0% 17.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.0%