Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#161
Pace66.7#217
Improvement-0.6#218

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#191
First Shot-2.6#249
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#59
Layup/Dunks-1.8#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#217
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement-1.1#239

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#178
First Shot-2.4#253
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#28
Layups/Dunks-1.7#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#262
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+0.5#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.4% 21.3% 57.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Home) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 6
Quad 21 - 62 - 13
Quad 33 - 54 - 18
Quad 48 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 358   The Citadel W 69-60 93%     1 - 0 -7.9 -9.1 +1.5
  Nov 08, 2024 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-80 10%     1 - 1 -11.9 -12.1 +0.8
  Nov 15, 2024 155   Temple W 72-69 55%     2 - 1 +1.0 +1.4 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2024 325   Loyola Maryland W 82-61 86%     3 - 1 +8.5 +9.5 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2024 286   Old Dominion W 82-52 73%     4 - 1 +23.1 +9.8 +14.9
  Nov 25, 2024 219   Missouri St. W 76-74 OT 60%     5 - 1 -1.2 +1.1 -2.4
  Nov 26, 2024 49   Boise St. W 63-61 14%     6 - 1 +12.9 -3.9 +16.8
  Nov 29, 2024 206   Dartmouth L 83-88 67%     6 - 2 -10.0 +5.3 -15.0
  Dec 03, 2024 84   South Carolina L 51-73 32%     6 - 3 -17.8 -14.9 -4.3
  Dec 07, 2024 55   @ Wake Forest L 66-72 10%     6 - 4 0 - 1 +7.1 +6.3 +0.5
  Dec 15, 2024 324   Stonehill W 73-69 86%     7 - 4 -8.3 +2.9 -10.6
  Dec 21, 2024 37   SMU L 77-103 16%     7 - 5 0 - 2 -16.0 +5.7 -21.1
  Dec 28, 2024 318   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-70 85%     8 - 5 -3.8 +11.8 -14.5
  Jan 01, 2025 152   Miami (FL) W 78-68 55%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +8.1 -3.7 +11.3
  Jan 04, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech L 64-85 22%     9 - 6 1 - 3 -13.6 -4.7 -8.6
  Jan 11, 2025 108   Syracuse L 71-79 44%     9 - 7 1 - 4 -7.0 +1.1 -8.5
  Jan 13, 2025 95   @ Notre Dame L 60-78 22%     9 - 8 1 - 5 -10.3 -1.3 -11.8
  Jan 18, 2025 2   Duke L 63-88 3%     9 - 9 1 - 6 -4.0 +2.5 -7.7
  Jan 21, 2025 93   @ Virginia L 56-74 21%     9 - 10 1 - 7 -10.3 -6.0 -6.7
  Jan 25, 2025 40   @ North Carolina L 96-102 OT 8%     9 - 11 1 - 8 +8.7 +22.8 -13.8
  Feb 01, 2025 82   Florida St. W 77-76 31%     10 - 11 2 - 8 +5.3 +6.5 -1.2
  Feb 05, 2025 21   Louisville L 58-84 10%     10 - 12 2 - 9 -12.8 -10.4 -1.8
  Feb 08, 2025 108   @ Syracuse L 86-95 3OT 26%     10 - 13 2 - 10 -3.0 -0.8 -0.4
  Feb 12, 2025 95   Notre Dame L 94-97 2OT 38%     10 - 14 2 - 11 -0.4 +8.4 -8.4
  Feb 15, 2025 103   @ North Carolina St. L 62-70 24%     10 - 15 2 - 12 -1.2 -4.3 +2.8
  Feb 18, 2025 128   Virginia Tech W 54-36 51%     11 - 15 3 - 12 +17.2 -11.9 +31.7
  Feb 22, 2025 99   Georgia Tech L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 88   @ Stanford L 67-77 17%    
  Mar 01, 2025 112   @ California L 71-77 26%    
  Mar 05, 2025 23   Clemson L 61-75 11%    
  Mar 08, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh L 65-79 9%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.3 12th
13th 0.5 0.2 0.7 13th
14th 0.3 2.3 0.1 2.7 14th
15th 4.5 2.0 6.5 15th
16th 0.9 11.1 12.3 0.4 24.6 16th
17th 18.1 28.4 5.0 0.0 51.6 17th
18th 11.1 2.4 0.0 13.4 18th
Total 30.1 41.9 22.1 5.3 0.7 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13 0.7% 0.7
6-14 5.3% 5.3
5-15 22.1% 22.1
4-16 41.9% 41.9
3-17 30.1% 30.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 30.1%