Preseason Rankings
Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#43
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#257
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#43
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#44
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 3.0% 3.1% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 8.7% 8.9% 1.5%
Top 6 Seed 16.1% 16.5% 4.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.7% 42.7% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.8% 39.7% 14.3%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 8.1
.500 or above 77.4% 78.5% 47.8%
.500 or above in Conference 65.2% 66.1% 41.3%
Conference Champion 6.3% 6.5% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.8% 8.0%
First Four4.7% 4.8% 2.3%
First Round39.4% 40.4% 14.7%
Second Round24.4% 25.1% 7.5%
Sweet Sixteen10.6% 10.9% 2.7%
Elite Eight4.8% 5.0% 1.1%
Final Four2.1% 2.2% 0.5%
Championship Game0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 96.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 7
Quad 25 - 49 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 280   Charleston Southern W 79-60 96%    
  Nov 08, 2024 354   St. Francis (PA) W 82-55 99%    
  Nov 12, 2024 255   Eastern Kentucky W 82-64 95%    
  Nov 17, 2024 63   @ Boise St. L 68-69 45%    
  Nov 21, 2024 269   Radford W 76-57 95%    
  Nov 25, 2024 82   San Francisco W 71-68 61%    
  Nov 29, 2024 353   Florida A&M W 82-55 99%    
  Dec 03, 2024 16   Kentucky L 77-78 49%    
  Dec 07, 2024 36   @ Miami (FL) L 71-75 37%    
  Dec 14, 2024 42   Memphis W 77-74 59%    
  Dec 17, 2024 64   @ South Carolina L 65-66 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 41   Wake Forest W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 01, 2025 93   Stanford W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 04, 2025 109   California W 76-66 79%    
  Jan 07, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 83   Florida St. W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 14, 2025 80   @ Georgia Tech L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 56   Syracuse W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 74   @ Virginia Tech L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 49   @ North Carolina St. L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 04, 2025 80   Georgia Tech W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 4   Duke L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 10, 2025 7   North Carolina L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 83   @ Florida St. W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 78   @ SMU L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 66   Notre Dame W 68-63 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 57   @ Virginia L 59-61 44%    
  Mar 05, 2025 114   @ Boston College W 72-68 63%    
  Mar 08, 2025 74   Virginia Tech W 74-68 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 8.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 3.5 1.1 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.2 1.7 0.1 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 13th
14th 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.4 17th
18th 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 18th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.3 4.5 6.3 7.7 9.3 9.9 10.8 10.5 9.3 8.4 6.5 4.6 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 96.8% 0.7    0.6 0.1
18-2 86.5% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
17-3 62.9% 1.9    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 33.4% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.5% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 43.8% 56.2% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.7% 100.0% 35.6% 64.4% 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.5% 100.0% 30.4% 69.6% 2.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.0% 99.8% 23.5% 76.3% 3.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
16-4 4.6% 99.2% 16.9% 82.3% 4.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
15-5 6.5% 96.4% 11.9% 84.5% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 95.9%
14-6 8.4% 87.5% 8.6% 78.9% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.1 86.3%
13-7 9.3% 73.3% 5.1% 68.2% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.1 2.5 71.9%
12-8 10.5% 54.3% 2.5% 51.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.3 0.2 4.8 53.1%
11-9 10.8% 32.8% 1.6% 31.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.2 31.7%
10-10 9.9% 17.8% 1.0% 16.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 8.1 16.9%
9-11 9.3% 4.8% 0.4% 4.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.9 4.4%
8-12 7.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.6%
7-13 6.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.1%
6-14 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 4.5
5-15 3.3% 3.3
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 41.7% 4.8% 36.9% 7.2 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.6 5.3 5.5 5.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 58.3 38.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 85.5 14.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 76.2 23.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 82.9 17.1