Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.7#357
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#214
Pace70.1#150
Improvement+0.7#135

Offense
Total Offense-9.4#360
First Shot-6.9#348
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#312
Layup/Dunks-4.7#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#154
Freethrows-1.0#242
Improvement-1.5#297

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#306
First Shot-7.0#353
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#19
Layups/Dunks-2.0#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#325
Freethrows-1.6#293
Improvement+2.2#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 7.4% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 23.6% 32.7% 21.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 6.8% 11.1%
First Four1.3% 1.9% 1.1%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 88   @ TCU L 59-105 3%     0 - 1 -36.6 -5.1 -31.9
  Nov 07, 2024 49   @ SMU L 73-102 1%     0 - 2 -15.7 -1.9 -10.8
  Nov 11, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 53-84 1%     0 - 3 -12.9 -11.3 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2024 7   @ Florida L 60-84 0.4%    0 - 4 -2.9 -3.4 +0.1
  Nov 29, 2024 35   @ Clemson L 58-86 1%     0 - 5 -12.7 -3.9 -10.4
  Dec 03, 2024 250   Presbyterian W 66-63 29%     1 - 5 -4.9 -13.1 +8.0
  Dec 17, 2024 66   @ Utah L 59-89 2%     1 - 6 -18.5 -8.2 -10.1
  Dec 20, 2024 40   @ BYU L 57-103 1%     1 - 7 -31.5 -14.9 -13.0
  Dec 29, 2024 286   @ Tarleton St. L 61-71 17%    
  Jan 04, 2025 262   Bethune-Cookman L 67-72 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 232   @ Southern L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 13, 2025 308   @ Grambling St. L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 20, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 70-60 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 342   @ Alcorn St. L 67-72 31%    
  Jan 27, 2025 303   @ Jackson St. L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 361   Alabama A&M W 75-71 66%    
  Feb 03, 2025 297   Alabama St. L 71-74 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 306   @ Texas Southern L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 10, 2025 337   @ Prairie View L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 303   Jackson St. L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 342   Alcorn St. W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 297   @ Alabama St. L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 24, 2025 361   @ Alabama A&M L 72-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 308   Grambling St. L 66-69 41%    
  Mar 03, 2025 232   Southern L 66-73 27%    
  Mar 08, 2025 262   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-75 16%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 2.9 0.8 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 3.9 1.6 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.9 4.4 0.8 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 7.0 5.7 1.3 0.0 17.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.8 7.3 5.3 1.3 0.0 18.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 3.7 5.1 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 14.0 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.9 6.2 10.1 13.7 15.4 14.7 12.3 9.7 6.4 3.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.9% 0.0    0.0
15-3 89.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 65.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 10.7% 10.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.1% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-6 2.0% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.1 1.9
11-7 3.9% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.2 3.6
10-8 6.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.3 6.1
9-9 9.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.5
8-10 12.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.1
7-11 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.6
6-12 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-13 13.7% 13.7
4-14 10.1% 10.1
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%