Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#356
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#188
Pace69.7#167
Improvement+1.6#36

Offense
Total Offense-8.5#356
First Shot-6.8#341
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#277
Layup/Dunks-3.6#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#341
First Shot-7.0#348
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#96
Layups/Dunks-0.8#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#353
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+1.7#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 2.5% 12.3% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 21.6% 40.1% 21.4%
Conference Champion 0.7% 2.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 4.6% 14.2%
First Four1.1% 1.4% 1.1%
First Round0.5% 1.4% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 20 - 9
Quad 47 - 127 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 60   @ TCU L 59-105 2%     0 - 1 -34.2 -6.3 -28.4
  Nov 07, 2024 68   @ SMU L 73-102 2%     0 - 2 -17.7 -3.1 -11.6
  Nov 11, 2024 30   @ Maryland L 53-84 1%     0 - 3 -15.1 -11.3 -3.1
  Nov 19, 2024 21   @ Florida L 60-84 1%     0 - 4 -7.0 -6.1 -1.3
  Nov 29, 2024 49   @ Clemson L 57-84 1%    
  Dec 03, 2024 281   Presbyterian L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 17, 2024 54   @ Utah L 60-86 1%    
  Dec 20, 2024 34   @ BYU L 59-88 0.4%   
  Dec 29, 2024 317   @ Tarleton St. L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 286   Bethune-Cookman L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 275   @ Southern L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 13, 2025 235   @ Grambling St. L 60-73 12%    
  Jan 18, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 20, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 71-61 80%    
  Jan 25, 2025 350   @ Alcorn St. L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 27, 2025 320   @ Jackson St. L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 346   Alabama A&M W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 03, 2025 282   Alabama St. L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 266   @ Texas Southern L 64-76 15%    
  Feb 10, 2025 348   @ Prairie View L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 320   Jackson St. L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 17, 2025 350   Alcorn St. W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 282   @ Alabama St. L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 24, 2025 346   @ Alabama A&M L 68-73 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 235   Grambling St. L 63-70 26%    
  Mar 03, 2025 275   Southern L 67-72 33%    
  Mar 08, 2025 286   @ Bethune-Cookman L 65-76 18%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.8 3.3 0.5 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.4 6.9 4.3 0.8 0.1 17.6 10th
11th 0.3 1.9 4.8 5.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 16.3 11th
12th 0.4 1.4 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.9 12th
Total 0.4 1.7 4.5 8.2 11.6 13.7 13.9 13.3 11.0 8.4 5.7 3.6 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 73.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 49.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 28.0% 28.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 13.8% 13.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 16.9% 16.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.0% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
12-6 2.1% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.1 2.0
11-7 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.2 3.4
10-8 5.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.2 5.5
9-9 8.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 8.2
8-10 11.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-14 11.6% 11.6
3-15 8.2% 8.2
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.7% 1.7
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%