Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-19.8#363
Expected Predictive Rating-24.0#362
Pace79.7#7
Improvement+0.1#184

Offense
Total Offense-9.5#358
First Shot-6.5#339
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#332
Layup/Dunks+2.8#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#304
Freethrows-3.0#335
Improvement-4.7#351

Defense
Total Defense-10.2#363
First Shot-6.7#349
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#358
Layups/Dunks-4.9#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#319
Freethrows-1.2#268
Improvement+4.8#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.4% 19.4% 35.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Away) - 19.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 43 - 193 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 46   @ Cincinnati L 54-109 1%     0 - 1 -41.2 -13.3 -24.4
  Nov 09, 2024 246   @ Tulsa L 80-103 6%     0 - 2 -25.2 +1.3 -24.7
  Nov 12, 2024 176   @ South Florida L 69-85 3%     0 - 3 -14.4 -1.9 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2024 281   @ Incarnate Word L 64-92 8%     0 - 4 -32.1 -10.0 -23.3
  Nov 18, 2024 10   @ Texas Tech L 64-98 0.2%    0 - 5 -13.0 -2.5 -9.4
  Nov 24, 2024 15   @ Missouri L 63-112 0.2%    0 - 6 -28.8 -9.4 -14.3
  Nov 27, 2024 277   @ Pacific L 71-83 8%     0 - 7 -15.9 -3.3 -12.7
  Dec 01, 2024 56   @ Kansas St. L 73-120 1%     0 - 8 -33.9 -1.9 -26.0
  Dec 07, 2024 344   Central Arkansas W 84-78 32%     1 - 8 -8.8 +3.6 -12.5
  Dec 11, 2024 336   @ Louisiana Monroe L 73-89 16%     1 - 9 -24.9 -9.7 -13.6
  Dec 15, 2024 36   @ Texas L 57-121 0.4%    1 - 10 -48.7 -13.7 -29.7
  Jan 04, 2025 359   @ Alabama A&M L 79-89 23%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -22.1 -7.5 -13.4
  Jan 06, 2025 311   @ Alabama St. L 91-93 11%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -8.2 +12.6 -20.7
  Jan 13, 2025 356   Prairie View L 64-75 37%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -27.3 -23.8 -2.4
  Jan 18, 2025 321   @ Florida A&M L 76-86 12%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -16.9 -4.4 -11.9
  Jan 20, 2025 293   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-73 9%     1 - 15 0 - 5 -13.8 -12.9 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 224   Southern L 67-83 10%     1 - 16 0 - 6 -21.9 -9.1 -11.8
  Jan 27, 2025 327   Grambling St. L 77-81 25%     1 - 17 0 - 7 -16.7 +2.2 -19.0
  Feb 01, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley L 76-79 85%     1 - 18 0 - 8 -33.9 -9.2 -24.8
  Feb 04, 2025 296   Texas Southern W 69-68 18%     2 - 18 1 - 8 -9.1 -8.5 -0.6
  Feb 08, 2025 307   @ Alcorn St. L 60-79 10%     2 - 19 1 - 9 -24.9 -16.1 -8.3
  Feb 10, 2025 271   @ Jackson St. L 78-94 7%     2 - 20 1 - 10 -19.2 +4.6 -23.7
  Feb 15, 2025 311   Alabama St. L 63-75 21%     2 - 21 1 - 11 -23.3 -19.1 -3.6
  Feb 17, 2025 359   Alabama A&M L 61-75 40%     2 - 22 1 - 12 -31.2 -27.8 -1.3
  Feb 22, 2025 356   @ Prairie View L 78-87 20%    
  Feb 24, 2025 296   @ Texas Southern L 69-84 7%    
  Mar 01, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-71 69%    
  Mar 06, 2025 271   Jackson St. L 73-84 16%    
  Mar 08, 2025 307   Alcorn St. L 70-79 22%    
Projected Record 3 - 26 2 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.5 0.8 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 42.7 29.0 6.1 0.2 78.0 11th
12th 16.1 2.1 0.0 18.2 12th
Total 16.1 44.9 29.3 8.6 1.1 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 1.1% 1.1
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 29.3% 29.3
2-16 44.9% 44.9
1-17 16.1% 16.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.1%