Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#336
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#335
Pace68.8#162
Improvement+0.5#163

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#344
First Shot-6.3#336
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#259
Layup/Dunks-3.8#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows-2.8#328
Improvement+0.3#170

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#294
First Shot-4.0#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#176
Layups/Dunks-1.1#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#340
Freethrows+1.6#76
Improvement+0.2#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 62.2% 18.4% 63.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 32 - 83 - 12
Quad 43 - 136 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 72   @ LSU L 60-95 3%     0 - 1 -24.6 -9.6 -13.3
  Nov 08, 2024 144   @ Tulane L 64-80 9%     0 - 2 -12.4 -10.3 -1.4
  Nov 12, 2024 178   @ Rice L 50-66 11%     0 - 3 -14.4 -20.7 +5.3
  Nov 18, 2024 213   SE Louisiana L 67-70 27%     0 - 4 -8.2 -7.8 -0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 272   @ Northwestern St. W 65-63 23%     1 - 4 -1.8 -3.5 +1.9
  Nov 23, 2024 134   North Alabama L 62-74 12%     1 - 5 -10.6 -6.2 -5.5
  Nov 29, 2024 249   Stephen F. Austin L 60-68 35%     1 - 6 -15.4 -4.1 -12.3
  Dec 02, 2024 205   Texas Arlington L 70-84 26%     1 - 7 -18.9 -10.0 -8.3
  Dec 11, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-73 84%     2 - 7 -6.3 -4.1 -3.8
  Dec 14, 2024 205   @ Texas Arlington L 68-77 14%     2 - 8 -8.8 -5.8 -3.1
  Dec 17, 2024 295   Houston Christian L 68-74 44%     2 - 9 -16.0 -10.7 -5.3
  Dec 21, 2024 286   Old Dominion L 75-80 OT 42%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -14.5 -5.5 -8.9
  Jan 02, 2025 248   @ Georgia Southern L 82-90 19%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -10.3 +9.4 -19.8
  Jan 04, 2025 312   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-70 31%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -25.5 -20.5 -7.0
  Jan 09, 2025 280   @ Southern Miss L 67-84 24%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -21.1 -13.1 -6.0
  Jan 11, 2025 289   @ Louisiana L 68-71 25%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -7.5 -1.8 -5.8
  Jan 15, 2025 118   Troy L 58-77 14%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -18.8 -7.2 -13.6
  Jan 18, 2025 289   Louisiana L 60-65 43%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -14.6 -12.3 -2.6
  Jan 25, 2025 141   Appalachian St. L 58-66 17%     2 - 17 0 - 8 -9.4 -7.5 -2.6
  Jan 27, 2025 133   South Alabama W 77-66 16%     3 - 17 1 - 8 +10.0 +7.9 +2.4
  Jan 30, 2025 133   @ South Alabama W 62-58 8%     4 - 17 2 - 8 +8.1 +1.3 +7.4
  Feb 01, 2025 118   @ Troy L 50-87 7%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -31.7 -13.3 -22.3
  Feb 05, 2025 252   @ Georgia St. L 64-97 20%     4 - 19 2 - 10 -35.5 -11.4 -24.6
  Feb 13, 2025 202   Texas St. L 60-72 26%     4 - 20 2 - 11 -16.8 -14.7 -2.5
  Feb 15, 2025 280   Southern Miss W 81-74 41%     5 - 20 3 - 11 -2.1 -0.1 -2.6
  Feb 19, 2025 202   @ Texas St. L 63-80 14%     5 - 21 3 - 12 -16.7 -8.8 -8.6
  Feb 22, 2025 97   @ Arkansas St. L 62-81 3%    
  Feb 25, 2025 138   James Madison L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 28, 2025 97   Arkansas St. L 65-79 10%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.5 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 49.7 25.1 2.4 0.0 77.2 13th
14th 21.7 0.6 22.3 14th
Total 71.4 25.6 2.9 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 2.9% 2.9
4-14 25.6% 25.6
3-15 71.4% 71.4
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 51.0%