Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#148
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#221
Pace68.6#181
Improvement+4.6#21

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#152
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#240
Layup/Dunks-0.9#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#140
Freethrows+2.0#72
Improvement+2.7#52

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#162
First Shot-0.9#207
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#85
Layups/Dunks+3.0#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#338
Freethrows-2.5#333
Improvement+1.9#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 13.9
.500 or above 49.4% 65.2% 34.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.6% 91.9% 72.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.8% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Away) - 48.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 51 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 347   Louisiana Monroe W 80-64 92%     1 - 0 +1.2 -2.5 +2.9
  Nov 11, 2024 332   Alcorn St. W 84-51 91%     2 - 0 +19.3 +12.5 +9.7
  Nov 15, 2024 151   @ Furman L 67-75 40%     2 - 1 -4.3 -0.2 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2024 255   Bethune-Cookman W 72-57 81%     3 - 1 +6.9 +0.2 +6.9
  Nov 22, 2024 343   New Orleans L 87-93 OT 92%     3 - 2 -20.5 -8.0 -11.5
  Nov 26, 2024 186   Wyoming L 63-64 59%     3 - 3 -2.2 -6.5 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2024 139   Belmont L 66-89 48%     3 - 4 -21.4 -7.2 -14.7
  Dec 02, 2024 220   SE Louisiana L 67-71 75%     3 - 5 -10.0 -3.4 -6.8
  Dec 07, 2024 86   @ George Mason L 64-76 22%     3 - 6 -2.7 +3.4 -6.9
  Dec 10, 2024 258   Southern Miss W 86-58 81%     4 - 6 +19.8 +9.7 +10.0
  Dec 14, 2024 58   Florida St. L 64-77 21%     4 - 7 -3.4 -2.7 -0.9
  Dec 31, 2024 224   @ Charlotte W 83-68 58%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +14.1 +2.9 +10.0
  Jan 04, 2025 229   Texas San Antonio W 92-63 77%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +22.4 +8.2 +12.5
  Jan 07, 2025 97   @ UAB L 69-81 26%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -4.0 -3.9 +0.0
  Jan 11, 2025 154   South Florida W 73-70 62%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +0.9 +7.3 -6.1
  Jan 15, 2025 108   Florida Atlantic W 80-65 52%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +15.7 +6.9 +9.0
  Jan 19, 2025 110   @ Temple L 77-80 32%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +2.9 +12.1 -9.4
  Jan 25, 2025 192   @ Rice L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 43   Memphis L 73-81 24%    
  Feb 02, 2025 251   Tulsa W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 05, 2025 229   @ Texas San Antonio W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 65   @ North Texas L 60-70 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 192   Rice W 73-68 70%    
  Feb 19, 2025 164   East Carolina W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 138   @ Wichita St. L 74-77 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 224   Charlotte W 74-66 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 251   @ Tulsa W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 164   @ East Carolina L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 09, 2025 97   UAB L 78-79 46%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 3.0 1.5 0.2 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.8 6.8 4.0 0.4 15.5 3rd
4th 0.5 4.5 9.0 4.9 0.7 0.0 19.7 4th
5th 0.2 4.0 9.4 5.9 0.6 0.0 20.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 7.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.3 6th
7th 0.6 4.3 4.0 0.5 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.4 0.7 5.8 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 0.9 0.1 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.8 5.7 10.6 16.7 19.4 19.5 14.3 8.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 72.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 29.9% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 7.2% 7.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 2.7% 9.5% 9.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
13-5 8.2% 7.3% 7.3% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.6
12-6 14.3% 4.3% 4.3% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 13.7
11-7 19.5% 3.6% 3.6% 14.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 18.8
10-8 19.4% 1.4% 1.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 19.1
9-9 16.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.2 0.2 0.0 16.5
8-10 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.6
7-11 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 1.8% 1.8
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.1 97.2 0.0%