Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#157
Pace62.9#322
Improvement-1.0#238

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#228
First Shot-0.2#184
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#287
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
Freethrows+0.0#173
Improvement-1.4#252

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#126
First Shot+0.2#177
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#69
Layups/Dunks+0.9#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#108
Freethrows-0.5#230
Improvement+0.3#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.5
.500 or above 1.4% 2.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Home) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 8
Quad 22 - 52 - 13
Quad 32 - 54 - 18
Quad 49 - 113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 269   Tennessee St. W 81-66 78%     1 - 0 +6.8 +3.5 +3.1
  Nov 13, 2024 10   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 3%     1 - 1 -26.0 -14.9 -11.5
  Nov 16, 2024 290   Utah Tech W 86-69 81%     2 - 1 +7.4 +3.8 +3.0
  Nov 22, 2024 213   SE Louisiana W 64-61 68%     3 - 1 -2.2 -10.1 +7.9
  Nov 26, 2024 144   Tulane W 64-63 45%     4 - 1 +2.0 -5.3 +7.4
  Nov 27, 2024 169   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 50%     4 - 2 -3.4 +3.2 -6.7
  Dec 04, 2024 45   @ Utah St. L 67-70 10%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +10.9 +8.2 +2.2
  Dec 10, 2024 243   @ South Dakota L 81-82 56%     4 - 4 -2.9 -3.4 +0.5
  Dec 14, 2024 26   BYU L 49-68 9%     4 - 5 -4.1 -11.0 +3.8
  Dec 19, 2024 340   Bellarmine W 92-55 90%     5 - 5 +22.8 +17.9 +8.9
  Dec 22, 2024 342   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-69 81%     6 - 5 -5.5 +10.0 -14.8
  Dec 28, 2024 80   Nevada W 66-63 32%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +7.7 +2.4 +5.6
  Dec 31, 2024 49   Boise St. L 58-67 21%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -0.6 -3.5 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2025 294   @ Air Force W 70-65 67%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +0.2 +7.2 -6.2
  Jan 07, 2025 38   New Mexico L 53-61 17%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +1.9 -12.1 +13.8
  Jan 14, 2025 49   @ Boise St. L 55-96 10%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -27.5 -9.8 -19.2
  Jan 18, 2025 67   Colorado St. L 63-79 28%     8 - 9 2 - 5 -10.2 -2.1 -9.7
  Jan 21, 2025 98   @ UNLV W 63-61 23%     9 - 9 3 - 5 +9.4 +5.3 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 163   @ San Jose St. L 58-67 40%     9 - 10 3 - 6 -6.6 -8.3 +0.6
  Jan 28, 2025 254   Fresno St. W 83-72 OT 76%     10 - 10 4 - 6 +3.2 +6.0 -3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 51   @ San Diego St. L 61-63 11%     10 - 11 4 - 7 +11.2 +4.3 +6.7
  Feb 04, 2025 45   Utah St. L 67-71 20%     10 - 12 4 - 8 +4.8 -2.3 +6.9
  Feb 08, 2025 98   UNLV L 57-68 40%     10 - 13 4 - 9 -8.6 -7.6 -2.2
  Feb 12, 2025 38   @ New Mexico L 67-71 8%     10 - 14 4 - 10 +10.9 +1.7 +9.3
  Feb 15, 2025 67   @ Colorado St. L 53-88 15%     10 - 15 4 - 11 -24.1 -9.6 -18.4
  Feb 18, 2025 294   Air Force W 69-62 82%     11 - 15 5 - 11 -2.9 +0.4 -2.4
  Feb 22, 2025 163   San Jose St. W 68-66 60%    
  Feb 25, 2025 80   @ Nevada L 60-70 16%    
  Mar 01, 2025 51   San Diego St. L 59-67 23%    
  Mar 04, 2025 254   @ Fresno St. W 71-69 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 6th
7th 0.8 4.8 1.1 6.7 7th
8th 11.3 32.3 8.8 0.2 52.5 8th
9th 12.3 23.3 4.9 0.0 40.5 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 12.3 34.6 38.0 13.6 1.5 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 1.5% 1.5
8-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 13.6
7-13 38.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 37.9
6-14 34.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 34.6
5-15 12.3% 12.3
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 7.2%