Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#169
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#135
Pace67.1#206
Improvement-1.4#263

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#244
First Shot-2.1#235
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#221
Layup/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#122
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-0.6#209

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+2.2#101
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#185
Layups/Dunks+2.2#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#111
Freethrows-0.9#254
Improvement-0.8#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.5 13.0
.500 or above 77.7% 100.0% 19.8%
.500 or above in Conference 9.2% 12.8% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 23 - 43 - 11
Quad 35 - 18 - 12
Quad 47 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 85   UC Irvine L 51-66 33%     0 - 1 -10.8 -14.7 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 109   @ Saint Louis L 71-77 27%     0 - 2 -0.1 +1.1 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 278   North Dakota L 73-77 79%     0 - 3 -13.0 -10.6 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2024 140   Belmont W 77-63 44%     1 - 3 +15.1 -2.7 +17.3
  Nov 27, 2024 166   Wyoming W 73-70 50%     2 - 3 +2.7 +5.8 -2.9
  Dec 04, 2024 67   @ Colorado St. L 54-83 15%     2 - 4 -18.1 -13.5 -5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 80   Nevada W 68-64 31%     3 - 4 +8.7 +6.0 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2024 356   Prairie View W 76-75 92%     4 - 4 -15.3 -5.4 -9.9
  Dec 18, 2024 145   UC Santa Barbara W 60-58 55%     5 - 4 +0.4 -11.6 +12.1
  Dec 20, 2024 224   Southern W 89-73 70%     6 - 4 +10.1 +18.3 -7.9
  Dec 22, 2024 134   North Alabama W 85-69 53%     7 - 4 +14.8 +11.3 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 55-70 15%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -4.3 -8.6 +3.5
  Dec 30, 2024 107   @ Washington St. L 59-73 27%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -7.9 -15.3 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2025 87   Oregon St. W 82-61 34%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +24.9 +14.7 +11.8
  Jan 04, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 68-96 7%     8 - 7 1 - 3 -12.2 -2.7 -8.3
  Jan 07, 2025 30   @ St. Mary's L 56-81 6%     8 - 8 1 - 4 -7.8 +0.7 -11.9
  Jan 16, 2025 60   Santa Clara W 57-54 23%     9 - 8 2 - 4 +10.2 -8.8 +19.2
  Jan 18, 2025 314   San Diego W 77-70 85%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -4.7 +1.6 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2025 277   @ Pacific W 73-68 63%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +1.1 +4.5 -3.0
  Jan 30, 2025 284   Portland W 88-63 81%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +15.5 +8.5 +7.1
  Feb 01, 2025 314   @ San Diego W 78-62 72%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +9.4 -1.3 +9.8
  Feb 06, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 53-73 3%     13 - 9 6 - 5 +0.9 -7.8 +7.1
  Feb 08, 2025 69   San Francisco L 66-72 28%     13 - 10 6 - 6 -0.4 -0.5 -0.1
  Feb 11, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine W 69-60 52%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +8.0 -1.5 +9.9
  Feb 13, 2025 277   Pacific L 58-83 79%     14 - 11 7 - 7 -34.0 -16.1 -19.4
  Feb 15, 2025 284   @ Portland L 78-89 65%     14 - 12 7 - 8 -15.4 -0.3 -15.0
  Feb 20, 2025 60   @ Santa Clara L 61-76 12%     14 - 13 7 - 9 -2.7 -5.0 +1.8
  Feb 22, 2025 226   Pepperdine W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 27, 2025 30   St. Mary's L 57-70 12%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.3 0.3 5th
6th 5.8 50.0 8.9 64.7 6th
7th 17.2 16.1 33.4 7th
8th 1.7 1.7 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 24.7 66.1 9.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 9.2% 9.2
8-10 66.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 66.1
7-11 24.7% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 24.6
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 12.4%