San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#314
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#351
Pace75.4#29
Improvement-1.5#264

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#323
First Shot-3.5#279
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#313
Layup/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#299
Freethrows-0.5#204
Improvement+3.6#35

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#272
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#321
Layups/Dunks+1.2#128
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#225
Freethrows-2.1#314
Improvement-5.0#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 7
Quad 20 - 50 - 12
Quad 30 - 40 - 16
Quad 44 - 104 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 313   Rider L 67-68 60%     0 - 1 -12.6 -12.4 -0.2
  Nov 08, 2024 300   Boston University W 74-60 55%     1 - 1 +3.6 +6.2 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 201   Portland St. L 76-85 34%     1 - 2 -13.7 -11.5 -0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 229   Idaho St. L 66-78 39%     1 - 3 -18.2 -16.1 -1.1
  Nov 22, 2024 282   Southern Utah L 67-72 50%     1 - 4 -14.2 -12.5 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2024 253   Idaho W 68-61 45%     2 - 4 -0.7 -12.6 +11.8
  Dec 03, 2024 65   @ Arizona St. L 53-90 4%     2 - 5 -26.1 -16.9 -6.8
  Dec 07, 2024 51   @ San Diego St. L 57-74 3%     2 - 6 -3.8 -7.7 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2024 304   Long Beach St. L 70-76 57%     2 - 7 -16.9 -0.5 -17.1
  Dec 14, 2024 254   @ Fresno St. L 65-73 27%     2 - 8 -10.7 -8.8 -1.7
  Dec 21, 2024 54   UC San Diego L 65-82 6%    
  Dec 28, 2024 89   Grand Canyon L 55-68 9%     2 - 9 -7.2 -17.0 +10.9
  Dec 30, 2024 277   Pacific W 75-65 50%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +1.0 -1.8 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2025 60   Santa Clara L 80-81 7%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +6.2 +9.2 -3.1
  Jan 04, 2025 87   @ Oregon St. L 54-81 6%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -18.1 -14.4 -5.1
  Jan 08, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 80-93 1%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +7.9 +10.5 -1.8
  Jan 11, 2025 30   St. Mary's L 56-103 4%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -34.9 -2.6 -37.9
  Jan 16, 2025 107   Washington St. L 61-65 17%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -3.0 -10.1 +7.0
  Jan 18, 2025 169   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-77 15%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -4.8 +2.5 -7.5
  Jan 23, 2025 284   @ Portland L 82-92 32%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -14.4 +2.7 -16.9
  Jan 25, 2025 69   @ San Francisco L 69-81 4%     3 - 17 1 - 8 -1.3 +2.5 -3.8
  Jan 30, 2025 226   Pepperdine L 90-98 38%     3 - 18 1 - 9 -14.1 +0.3 -13.2
  Feb 01, 2025 169   Loyola Marymount L 62-78 28%     3 - 19 1 - 10 -18.9 -13.4 -4.6
  Feb 06, 2025 277   @ Pacific L 69-71 31%     3 - 20 1 - 11 -5.9 +2.8 -9.0
  Feb 08, 2025 60   @ Santa Clara L 70-93 3%     3 - 21 1 - 12 -10.7 +1.3 -11.7
  Feb 13, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine L 81-88 22%     3 - 22 1 - 13 -8.0 +2.6 -10.2
  Feb 15, 2025 69   San Francisco L 61-84 9%     3 - 23 1 - 14 -17.4 -11.4 -4.8
  Feb 22, 2025 87   Oregon St. L 68-81 12%    
  Feb 27, 2025 107   @ Washington St. L 71-86 7%    
  Mar 01, 2025 284   Portland W 79-78 53%    
Projected Record 4 - 26 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 10th
11th 39.2 50.5 9.7 0.3 99.7 11th
Total 39.2 50.5 9.7 0.6 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 9.7% 9.7
2-16 50.5% 50.5
1-17 39.2% 39.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 37.2%