Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#303
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#317
Pace68.5#179
Improvement-2.5#299

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#245
First Shot-2.2#234
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#221
Layup/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#287
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement+3.3#28

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#326
First Shot-6.4#349
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#76
Layups/Dunks-1.2#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#298
Freethrows-1.4#281
Improvement-5.9#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.9% 29.7% 57.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Home) - 29.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 53 - 17
Quad 44 - 76 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 161   San Jose St. W 80-67 22%     1 - 0 +13.3 +2.8 +10.0
  Nov 11, 2024 180   @ Hawaii L 66-76 18%     1 - 1 -8.3 -4.2 -4.3
  Nov 14, 2024 262   Northern Arizona L 57-60 52%     1 - 2 -11.4 -17.3 +5.7
  Nov 18, 2024 46   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -5.3 +1.8 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2024 33   @ Missouri L 56-91 3%     1 - 4 -19.5 -7.1 -14.6
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 88%     2 - 4 -8.7 -1.6 -7.0
  Nov 30, 2024 311   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 62%     3 - 4 -2.1 -7.4 +6.2
  Dec 02, 2024 96   @ Colorado L 66-75 8%     3 - 5 -1.0 -2.5 +1.5
  Dec 07, 2024 147   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 14%     3 - 6 -7.3 -6.5 -1.9
  Dec 14, 2024 100   @ UNLV L 65-72 9%     3 - 7 +0.1 -1.5 +1.2
  Dec 18, 2024 228   Portland St. L 75-81 44%     3 - 8 -12.4 -3.6 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2024 249   Idaho L 72-95 48%     3 - 9 -30.5 -3.0 -28.8
  Dec 28, 2024 35   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 3%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +5.3 +2.0 +2.2
  Dec 30, 2024 291   @ San Diego L 65-75 38%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -14.8 -7.1 -7.7
  Jan 02, 2025 76   San Francisco L 81-89 12%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -3.2 +18.0 -22.0
  Jan 04, 2025 202   Pepperdine L 70-87 38%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -21.7 -6.3 -14.9
  Jan 09, 2025 87   @ Washington St. W 95-94 OT 6%     4 - 13 1 - 4 +10.3 +13.6 -3.5
  Jan 11, 2025 73   Oregon St. L 55-91 11%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -30.8 -12.7 -20.7
  Jan 16, 2025 308   @ Portland L 81-84 OT 41%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -8.6 +2.6 -11.1
  Jan 23, 2025 151   Loyola Marymount L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 202   @ Pepperdine L 70-78 21%    
  Jan 30, 2025 87   Washington St. L 71-83 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 66   @ Santa Clara L 67-86 4%    
  Feb 06, 2025 291   San Diego W 75-73 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 15   Gonzaga L 69-91 2%    
  Feb 12, 2025 151   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-76 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 73   @ Oregon St. L 63-81 4%    
  Feb 20, 2025 76   @ San Francisco L 64-82 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 308   Portland W 77-74 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 66   Santa Clara L 70-84 11%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 1.2 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 5.7 14.2 6.8 0.8 0.0 27.5 9th
10th 7.6 19.9 7.5 0.6 35.5 10th
11th 6.7 15.6 5.9 0.4 0.0 28.5 11th
Total 6.7 23.2 31.4 23.3 11.0 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.8% 0.8
6-12 3.6% 3.6
5-13 11.0% 11.0
4-14 23.3% 23.3
3-15 31.4% 31.4
2-16 23.2% 23.2
1-17 6.7% 6.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.7%