Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#303
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#323
Pace70.3#144
Improvement-3.7#343

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#301
First Shot-3.9#293
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#229
Layup/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#278
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+0.2#157

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#279
First Shot-5.0#333
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#60
Layups/Dunks-1.5#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#238
Freethrows-1.2#270
Improvement-3.9#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.2% 6.5% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.8% 15.7% 34.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 20 - 60 - 12
Quad 32 - 52 - 18
Quad 45 - 67 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 159   San Jose St. W 80-67 23%     1 - 0 +12.9 +3.1 +9.4
  Nov 11, 2024 175   @ Hawaii L 66-76 18%     1 - 1 -7.9 -3.6 -4.5
  Nov 14, 2024 266   Northern Arizona L 57-60 53%     1 - 2 -11.6 -18.5 +6.7
  Nov 18, 2024 31   @ Arkansas L 72-91 2%     1 - 3 -3.2 +2.0 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 55   @ Missouri L 56-91 4%     1 - 4 -22.3 -9.4 -15.1
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 88%     2 - 4 -8.4 -2.3 -6.1
  Nov 30, 2024 274   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 55%     3 - 4 -0.2 -5.8 +6.4
  Dec 02, 2024 75   @ Colorado L 66-75 5%     3 - 5 +1.5 -1.1 +2.6
  Dec 07, 2024 151   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 15%     3 - 6 -7.7 -5.2 -3.8
  Dec 14, 2024 106   @ UNLV L 65-72 9%     3 - 7 +0.4 -0.8 +0.9
  Dec 18, 2024 251   Portland St. L 75-81 51%     3 - 8 -13.9 -5.9 -7.7
  Dec 21, 2024 258   Idaho L 72-95 52%     3 - 9 -31.2 -3.9 -28.7
  Dec 28, 2024 45   @ St. Mary's L 56-78 2%    
  Dec 30, 2024 316   @ San Diego L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 02, 2025 61   San Francisco L 63-76 11%    
  Jan 04, 2025 199   Pepperdine L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 09, 2025 70   @ Washington St. L 66-84 4%    
  Jan 11, 2025 62   Oregon St. L 62-75 11%    
  Jan 16, 2025 312   @ Portland L 72-74 41%    
  Jan 22, 2025 169   Loyola Marymount L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 199   @ Pepperdine L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 70   Washington St. L 69-81 12%    
  Feb 01, 2025 74   @ Santa Clara L 66-84 5%    
  Feb 06, 2025 316   San Diego W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 65-90 1%    
  Feb 12, 2025 169   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 62   @ Oregon St. L 59-78 4%    
  Feb 20, 2025 61   @ San Francisco L 60-79 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 312   Portland W 75-71 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 74   Santa Clara L 69-81 13%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.6 1.2 0.2 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 5.8 6.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.1 4.4 12.3 8.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 28.2 9th
10th 0.4 6.1 12.7 6.6 1.0 0.0 26.9 10th
11th 1.7 6.5 8.6 3.2 0.3 0.0 20.5 11th
Total 1.7 7.0 14.9 20.3 20.7 16.1 10.4 5.3 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 0.9% 0.9
8-10 2.3% 2.3
7-11 5.3% 5.3
6-12 10.4% 10.4
5-13 16.1% 16.1
4-14 20.7% 20.7
3-15 20.3% 20.3
2-16 14.9% 14.9
1-17 7.0% 7.0
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%