Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#289
Pace66.2#232
Improvement+1.0#141

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#260
First Shot-2.5#245
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks+0.7#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#291
Freethrows+0.8#132
Improvement+1.7#106

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#273
First Shot-4.7#319
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#70
Layups/Dunks-0.5#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#285
Freethrows-1.1#264
Improvement-0.6#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 21 - 61 - 13
Quad 33 - 24 - 15
Quad 44 - 88 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 163   San Jose St. W 80-67 27%     1 - 0 +12.8 +3.2 +9.2
  Nov 11, 2024 207   @ Hawaii L 66-76 27%     1 - 1 -10.0 -4.0 -6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 264   Northern Arizona L 57-60 56%     1 - 2 -11.0 -16.8 +5.6
  Nov 18, 2024 35   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -3.7 +3.8 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2024 15   @ Missouri L 56-91 2%     1 - 4 -14.8 -6.4 -10.6
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 92%     2 - 4 -10.3 -0.7 -9.6
  Nov 30, 2024 342   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 78%     3 - 4 -5.6 -8.5 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2024 91   @ Colorado L 66-75 9%     3 - 5 -0.9 -1.7 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2024 127   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 16%     3 - 6 -6.7 -7.1 -0.8
  Dec 14, 2024 98   @ UNLV L 65-72 10%     3 - 7 +0.4 +0.7 -0.6
  Dec 18, 2024 201   Portland St. L 75-81 43%     3 - 8 -10.7 -2.3 -8.1
  Dec 21, 2024 253   Idaho L 72-95 55%     3 - 9 -30.7 -4.2 -27.9
  Dec 28, 2024 30   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 2%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +7.2 +4.1 +2.0
  Dec 30, 2024 314   @ San Diego L 65-75 50%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -16.6 -9.3 -7.3
  Jan 02, 2025 69   San Francisco L 81-89 13%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -2.4 +19.7 -22.9
  Jan 04, 2025 226   Pepperdine L 70-87 48%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -23.1 -7.8 -14.9
  Jan 09, 2025 107   @ Washington St. W 95-94 OT 12%     4 - 13 1 - 4 +7.1 +10.7 -3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 87   Oregon St. L 55-91 17%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -32.1 -14.8 -19.9
  Jan 16, 2025 284   @ Portland L 81-84 OT 42%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -7.4 +2.0 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2025 169   Loyola Marymount L 68-73 37%     4 - 16 1 - 7 -7.9 +2.1 -10.4
  Jan 25, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine L 44-60 30%     4 - 17 1 - 8 -17.0 -29.9 +13.0
  Jan 30, 2025 107   Washington St. W 70-68 24%     5 - 17 2 - 8 +3.0 +5.4 -2.1
  Feb 01, 2025 60   @ Santa Clara L 49-83 5%     5 - 18 2 - 9 -21.7 -14.8 -9.6
  Feb 06, 2025 314   San Diego W 71-69 69%     6 - 18 3 - 9 -9.7 +2.6 -12.0
  Feb 08, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 61-78 3%     6 - 19 3 - 10 -1.2 -4.8 +3.1
  Feb 13, 2025 169   @ Loyola Marymount W 83-58 21%     7 - 19 4 - 10 +27.2 +18.5 +10.1
  Feb 15, 2025 87   @ Oregon St. L 65-79 8%     7 - 20 4 - 11 -5.1 -0.8 -5.4
  Feb 20, 2025 69   @ San Francisco L 58-71 6%     7 - 21 4 - 12 -2.3 -8.7 +6.4
  Feb 22, 2025 284   Portland W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 60   Santa Clara L 67-81 11%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 7.7 4.7 12.5 8th
9th 7.9 41.0 1.7 50.6 9th
10th 26.0 10.9 36.8 10th
11th 11th
Total 33.8 59.6 6.6 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 59.6% 59.6
4-14 33.8% 33.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2%
Lose Out 31.2%