Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#199
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Pace70.9#122
Improvement+5.7#4

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#213
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#287
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#253
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+2.1#53

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#182
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#169
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement+3.6#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 6.4% 17.7% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 19.0% 42.2% 15.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 1.1% 5.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 12.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 23 - 15
Quad 49 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 332   Western Illinois W 77-64 85%     1 - 0 -0.1 +0.0 +0.3
  Nov 09, 2024 92   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 15%     1 - 1 -8.8 +5.7 -13.9
  Nov 16, 2024 71   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 13%     1 - 2 -7.5 -2.3 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2024 106   @ UNLV L 59-80 19%     1 - 3 -13.6 -5.0 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2024 54   @ Northwestern L 50-68 9%     1 - 4 -5.1 -11.4 +5.3
  Nov 26, 2024 274   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 76%     1 - 5 -18.2 -6.7 -12.3
  Nov 29, 2024 198   New Mexico St. W 82-70 50%     2 - 5 +10.2 +4.4 +5.0
  Nov 30, 2024 212   Weber St. L 53-68 53%     2 - 6 -17.5 -22.0 +4.3
  Dec 07, 2024 307   Grambling St. W 85-57 81%     3 - 6 +17.0 +7.2 +9.8
  Dec 14, 2024 266   Northern Arizona W 86-76 74%     4 - 6 +1.4 +6.5 -5.1
  Dec 19, 2024 259   Long Beach St. L 76-79 73%     4 - 7 -11.3 -1.3 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2024 222   UC Davis W 85-46 67%     5 - 7 +32.7 +13.7 +19.0
  Dec 28, 2024 74   @ Santa Clara L 69-81 13%    
  Dec 30, 2024 4   Gonzaga L 69-88 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 45   @ St. Mary's L 60-76 7%    
  Jan 04, 2025 303   @ Pacific W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 169   Loyola Marymount W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 16, 2025 61   San Francisco L 67-74 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 45   St. Mary's L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 23, 2025 62   @ Oregon St. L 63-76 11%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   Pacific W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 30, 2025 316   @ San Diego W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 312   Portland W 79-69 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 70   @ Washington St. L 70-82 13%    
  Feb 13, 2025 316   San Diego W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 66-91 1%    
  Feb 20, 2025 62   Oregon St. L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 169   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 27, 2025 312   @ Portland W 76-72 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 70   Washington St. L 73-79 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.0 1.6 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.6 9.7 8.8 3.0 0.2 26.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 7.9 11.6 7.2 1.9 0.1 30.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.3 8.9 14.5 18.2 18.2 15.0 9.9 5.5 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 42.9% 0.0    0.0
14-4 15.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.3% 2.3
10-8 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 5.5
9-9 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
8-10 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 15.0
7-11 18.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.2
6-12 18.2% 18.2
5-13 14.5% 14.5
4-14 8.9% 8.9
3-15 4.3% 4.3
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%