Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#245
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#262
Pace68.3#215
Improvement-0.4#235

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#202
First Shot+1.0#136
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#296
Layup/Dunks+0.0#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#247
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-0.7#285

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#279
First Shot-4.1#300
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#118
Layups/Dunks+2.1#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#344
Freethrows+0.1#184
Improvement+0.3#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 n/a 13.0
.500 or above 8.2% 24.9% 6.8%
.500 or above in Conference 10.2% 20.4% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 12.7% 19.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 8.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 11
Quad 32 - 53 - 16
Quad 48 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 327   Western Illinois W 77-64 78%     1 - 0 +0.8 +1.2 -0.1
  Nov 09, 2024 149   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 22%     1 - 1 -14.4 +2.0 -15.8
  Nov 16, 2024 56   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 7%     1 - 2 -6.0 -2.4 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2024 91   @ UNLV L 59-80 11%     1 - 3 -12.1 -5.4 -8.5
  Nov 22, 2024 76   @ Northwestern L 61-76 8%    
  Nov 26, 2024 275   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-68 66%    
  Nov 29, 2024 165   New Mexico St. L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 07, 2024 240   Grambling St. W 70-67 60%    
  Dec 14, 2024 277   Northern Arizona W 74-69 65%    
  Dec 19, 2024 262   Long Beach St. W 72-68 66%    
  Dec 21, 2024 147   UC Davis L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 28, 2024 99   @ Santa Clara L 70-82 13%    
  Dec 30, 2024 1   Gonzaga L 66-89 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 41   @ St. Mary's L 61-79 5%    
  Jan 04, 2025 293   @ Pacific L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 154   Loyola Marymount L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 16, 2025 57   San Francisco L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 64-76 13%    
  Jan 23, 2025 98   @ Oregon St. L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 293   Pacific W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 30, 2025 299   @ San Diego L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 290   Portland W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 78   @ Washington St. L 68-83 10%    
  Feb 13, 2025 299   San Diego W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 63-92 1%    
  Feb 20, 2025 98   Oregon St. L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 154   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-73 26%    
  Feb 27, 2025 290   @ Portland L 71-72 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 78   Washington St. L 71-80 22%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 3.7 2.4 0.6 8.2 6th
7th 0.4 3.7 6.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 6.9 8.8 5.0 0.7 0.0 22.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 7.1 8.8 2.6 0.3 20.4 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 6.4 5.4 1.3 0.1 15.4 10th
11th 0.6 2.8 4.2 3.0 0.8 0.0 11.5 11th
Total 0.6 3.0 6.2 11.1 14.5 17.4 15.4 13.0 8.5 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0%
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.3
12-6 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 13.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.2% 1.2
10-8 2.8% 2.8
9-9 5.3% 5.3
8-10 8.5% 8.5
7-11 13.0% 13.0
6-12 15.4% 15.4
5-13 17.4% 17.4
4-14 14.5% 14.5
3-15 11.1% 11.1
2-16 6.2% 6.2
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%