Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#202
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#250
Pace71.0#109
Improvement+2.9#57

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#217
First Shot+0.0#178
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#257
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement+0.9#127

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#192
First Shot-0.1#183
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks+0.3#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#170
Freethrows+0.2#175
Improvement+2.0#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 n/a 15.0
.500 or above 1.1% 4.5% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 8.5% 25.2% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.6% 4.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 8
Quad 21 - 41 - 13
Quad 32 - 23 - 15
Quad 49 - 512 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 336   Western Illinois W 77-64 87%     1 - 0 -1.1 -1.2 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2024 81   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 14%     1 - 1 -8.2 +5.5 -13.2
  Nov 16, 2024 61   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 10%     1 - 2 -6.2 -0.6 -5.6
  Nov 20, 2024 100   @ UNLV L 59-80 19%     1 - 3 -13.9 -5.7 -10.1
  Nov 22, 2024 54   @ Northwestern L 50-68 9%     1 - 4 -5.3 -12.1 +5.7
  Nov 26, 2024 311   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 80%     1 - 5 -20.1 -8.3 -12.6
  Nov 29, 2024 126   New Mexico St. W 82-70 34%     2 - 5 +14.3 +6.6 +7.0
  Nov 30, 2024 236   Weber St. L 53-68 58%     2 - 6 -19.3 -23.2 +3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 326   Grambling St. W 85-57 84%     3 - 6 +15.4 +7.5 +7.9
  Dec 14, 2024 262   Northern Arizona W 86-76 73%     4 - 6 +1.6 +7.7 -6.1
  Dec 19, 2024 295   Long Beach St. L 76-79 78%     4 - 7 -13.3 -2.8 -10.4
  Dec 21, 2024 227   UC Davis W 85-46 66%     5 - 7 +32.6 +13.7 +18.9
  Dec 28, 2024 66   @ Santa Clara L 80-91 11%     5 - 8 0 - 1 +0.1 +10.3 -10.1
  Dec 30, 2024 15   Gonzaga L 82-89 7%     5 - 9 0 - 2 +7.1 +7.2 +0.4
  Jan 02, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 41-71 6%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -14.7 -19.5 +1.6
  Jan 04, 2025 303   @ Pacific W 87-70 62%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +11.7 +8.3 +3.0
  Jan 16, 2025 76   San Francisco L 63-80 26%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -12.2 -6.4 -6.2
  Jan 18, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 50-74 13%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -13.9 -10.8 -6.3
  Jan 23, 2025 73   @ Oregon St. L 65-78 11%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   Pacific W 78-70 79%    
  Jan 30, 2025 291   @ San Diego W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 308   Portland W 79-70 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 87   @ Washington St. L 71-82 14%    
  Feb 11, 2025 151   Loyola Marymount L 70-71 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 291   San Diego W 78-70 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 15   @ Gonzaga L 69-90 2%    
  Feb 20, 2025 73   Oregon St. L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 151   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 27, 2025 308   @ Portland W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 87   Washington St. L 73-79 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.9 0.6 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.0 7.3 2.8 0.1 16.4 7th
8th 2.2 12.6 21.6 15.7 4.5 0.3 57.0 8th
9th 0.7 6.1 5.8 1.5 0.1 14.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.6 11th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.5 10.2 18.7 24.2 20.9 13.0 6.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 1.6% 1.6
9-9 6.5% 6.5
8-10 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 13.0
7-11 20.9% 20.9
6-12 24.2% 24.2
5-13 18.7% 18.7
4-14 10.2% 10.2
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%