Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#226
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#284
Pace64.4#314
Improvement+0.9#93

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#220
First Shot-4.2#296
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#54
Layup/Dunks-5.8#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows+0.1#182
Improvement+0.1#155

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#217
First Shot+2.9#90
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#348
Layups/Dunks-1.6#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
Freethrows+1.2#120
Improvement+0.8#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 13.5% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 34.7% 55.2% 29.9%
.500 or above in Conference 59.4% 72.3% 56.4%
Conference Champion 11.4% 17.4% 10.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 4.5% 9.0%
First Four2.3% 1.4% 2.5%
First Round8.9% 12.8% 7.9%
Second Round0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 98   @ Oregon St. L 48-76 15%     0 - 1 -19.8 -16.3 -6.0
  Nov 13, 2024 42   @ Nevada L 58-88 7%     0 - 2 -16.2 -2.6 -16.3
  Nov 17, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 68-73 OT 30%     0 - 3 -2.8 -4.0 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 56   UC Irvine L 63-72 19%    
  Nov 29, 2024 259   Bowling Green W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 04, 2024 241   North Dakota St. W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 07, 2024 251   @ North Dakota L 69-70 45%    
  Dec 13, 2024 303   @ Utah Tech W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 21, 2024 136   Utah Valley L 66-68 44%    
  Dec 29, 2024 39   @ Oregon L 61-78 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 148   @ Northern Colorado L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 277   @ Northern Arizona L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 232   @ Idaho St. L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 16, 2025 208   Montana W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 157   Montana St. L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 221   @ Portland St. L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 306   @ Sacramento St. W 64-62 56%    
  Jan 30, 2025 285   Idaho W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 246   Eastern Washington W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 03, 2025 277   Northern Arizona W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 232   Idaho St. W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 13, 2025 157   @ Montana St. L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 208   @ Montana L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 20, 2025 306   Sacramento St. W 67-59 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 221   Portland St. W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 246   @ Eastern Washington L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 285   @ Idaho W 69-68 50%    
  Mar 03, 2025 148   Northern Colorado L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 2.8 3.1 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 11.4 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 4.5 3.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.6 5.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 11.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 5.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.3 2.0 5.1 3.1 0.5 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.3 3.0 0.2 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 5.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.7 5.1 7.9 9.9 11.0 12.4 11.2 10.6 9.1 6.9 4.8 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.8% 1.1    1.0 0.1
15-3 89.0% 2.4    1.9 0.5 0.0
14-4 65.5% 3.1    1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 40.9% 2.8    1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0
12-6 13.9% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2
11-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.4% 11.4 6.7 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 64.9% 64.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 41.3% 41.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.1% 44.2% 44.2% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.7% 31.5% 31.5% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.8
14-4 4.8% 22.7% 22.7% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 3.7
13-5 6.9% 25.7% 25.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 5.1
12-6 9.1% 16.3% 16.3% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.3 7.6
11-7 10.6% 13.3% 13.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.2
10-8 11.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 10.2
9-9 12.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 0.7 11.6
8-10 11.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.7
7-11 9.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 9.6
6-12 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 3.7% 3.7
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.9 3.5 90.2 0.0%