Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#236
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#269
Pace64.4#290
Improvement-1.4#241

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot-1.3#214
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#118
Layup/Dunks-0.1#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#214
Freethrows-0.2#187
Improvement+0.2#169

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#291
First Shot-2.1#243
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#320
Layups/Dunks-2.3#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#220
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement-1.6#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 8.3% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.9% 13.1% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 57.9% 28.4%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 3.5% 11.4%
First Four4.9% 5.0% 4.9%
First Round5.1% 6.6% 4.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 73   @ Oregon St. L 48-76 9%     0 - 1 -17.6 -16.8 -3.3
  Nov 13, 2024 70   @ Nevada L 58-88 9%     0 - 2 -19.2 -4.4 -17.5
  Nov 17, 2024 180   @ Hawaii L 68-73 OT 28%     0 - 3 -3.3 -4.4 +1.1
  Nov 22, 2024 61   UC Irvine L 87-93 16%     0 - 4 +0.6 +15.2 -14.2
  Nov 29, 2024 284   Bowling Green W 73-70 60%     1 - 4 -4.0 -2.6 -1.4
  Nov 30, 2024 202   Pepperdine W 68-53 42%     2 - 4 +12.9 -4.6 +17.7
  Dec 04, 2024 111   North Dakota St. L 73-77 33%     2 - 5 -3.6 +5.5 -9.6
  Dec 07, 2024 278   @ North Dakota L 75-80 49%     2 - 6 -8.9 +0.5 -9.7
  Dec 13, 2024 286   @ Utah Tech W 73-71 51%     3 - 6 -2.5 +8.4 -10.6
  Dec 21, 2024 139   Utah Valley L 62-64 38%     3 - 7 -3.1 +3.0 -6.5
  Dec 29, 2024 29   @ Oregon L 49-89 4%     3 - 8 -23.9 -16.1 -7.8
  Jan 02, 2025 166   @ Northern Colorado L 72-89 26%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -14.6 -1.9 -12.8
  Jan 04, 2025 262   @ Northern Arizona L 77-80 46%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -6.2 +7.2 -13.6
  Jan 11, 2025 215   @ Idaho St. W 77-69 36%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +7.5 +9.3 -1.3
  Jan 16, 2025 225   Montana L 59-63 58%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -10.2 -7.7 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2025 177   Montana St. L 71-80 46%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -12.3 -0.4 -12.3
  Jan 23, 2025 228   @ Portland St. L 70-73 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 334   @ Sacramento St. W 68-63 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 249   Idaho W 74-71 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 259   Eastern Washington W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 03, 2025 262   Northern Arizona W 75-71 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 215   Idaho St. W 69-68 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 177   @ Montana St. L 68-74 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 225   @ Montana L 71-74 36%    
  Feb 20, 2025 334   Sacramento St. W 70-60 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 228   Portland St. W 73-71 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 259   @ Eastern Washington L 74-75 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 249   @ Idaho L 71-73 41%    
  Mar 03, 2025 166   Northern Colorado L 76-77 46%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.2 4.2 5.6 1.0 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 7.7 2.1 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 8.1 4.4 0.1 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 7.0 6.8 0.5 15.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 6.2 6.6 1.4 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 4.3 4.6 1.3 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.0 0.3 4.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.6 6.8 12.6 16.6 19.4 17.3 11.8 6.7 2.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 63.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 39.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 18.1% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1
11-7 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.7% 19.7% 19.7% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.6
12-6 2.8% 21.7% 21.7% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 2.2
11-7 6.7% 14.8% 14.8% 15.6 0.4 0.6 5.7
10-8 11.8% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.1 1.2 10.6
9-9 17.3% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 1.6 15.6
8-10 19.4% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 1.1 18.3
7-11 16.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.7 16.0
6-12 12.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 12.3
5-13 6.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.6
4-14 3.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 3.6
3-15 1.3% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.1 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.9 93.1 0.0%