Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#283
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace64.6#293
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#288
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 8.5% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 14.1 14.9
.500 or above 24.5% 50.9% 22.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.7% 54.5% 33.3%
Conference Champion 4.6% 11.2% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.2% 12.1% 23.9%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
First Round4.1% 8.5% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 49 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 82   @ Utah L 63-79 6%    
  Nov 12, 2025 52   @ Utah St. L 61-81 3%    
  Nov 15, 2025 105   @ UC Irvine L 62-76 11%    
  Nov 19, 2025 227   Campbell W 68-67 50%    
  Nov 22, 2025 203   Texas Arlington L 69-70 45%    
  Nov 29, 2025 298   UMKC W 66-62 63%    
  Dec 03, 2025 315   Oral Roberts W 72-67 66%    
  Dec 06, 2025 161   @ St. Thomas L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 10, 2025 298   @ UMKC L 63-65 42%    
  Dec 17, 2025 118   @ Utah Valley L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 20, 2025 269   Utah Tech W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 01, 2026 199   Portland St. L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 03, 2026 274   Sacramento St. W 68-66 58%    
  Jan 08, 2026 263   @ Northern Arizona L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 10, 2026 184   @ Northern Colorado L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 15, 2026 207   Eastern Washington L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 17, 2026 206   Idaho L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 22, 2026 192   @ Montana L 66-74 26%    
  Jan 24, 2026 210   @ Montana St. L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 31, 2026 288   Idaho St. W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 02, 2026 274   @ Sacramento St. L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 05, 2026 184   Northern Colorado L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 07, 2026 263   Northern Arizona W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 12, 2026 206   @ Idaho L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 14, 2026 207   @ Eastern Washington L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 19, 2026 210   Montana St. L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 21, 2026 192   Montana L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 28, 2026 288   @ Idaho St. L 65-68 42%    
  Mar 02, 2026 199   @ Portland St. L 65-72 27%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 4.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.9 2.5 0.2 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.3 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.3 5.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.5 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 15.4 9th
10th 0.7 2.1 3.8 4.2 3.4 1.5 0.3 15.8 10th
Total 0.7 2.1 4.2 6.3 8.7 10.5 11.1 11.1 10.7 9.5 7.6 6.3 4.7 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.5% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 87.3% 1.0    0.8 0.2
14-4 69.4% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.1
13-5 37.3% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 11.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 46.2% 46.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 33.7% 33.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 28.6% 28.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 1.8% 26.7% 26.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-5 3.0% 19.2% 19.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.4
12-6 4.7% 13.4% 13.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.1
11-7 6.3% 9.1% 9.1% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.7
10-8 7.6% 6.0% 6.0% 18.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 7.2
9-9 9.5% 4.2% 4.2% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.1
8-10 10.7% 2.7% 2.7% 17.2 0.0 0.3 10.4
7-11 11.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 11.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.8 0.1 11.0
5-13 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.5
4-14 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
3-15 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
2-16 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.7 95.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%