Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.0 232
Expected Predictive Rating -4.9 242
Pace 71.5 106
Improvement -3.4 316

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #161 C C C B- B+
Defense D+ #293 D+ C- C- D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 14 55% 245 +3.6 65
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 298 31% 351 -3.4 336
Three Pointers 38% 234 36% 109 -0.4 191
1st FG Attempt 1.02 178 -0.1 182
Second Chance 31.7% 145 0.98 245 0.31 172
Turnovers 16.6% 166
Freethrows 0.34 66 70% 247 0.24 111
Total Offense +0.0 161

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 92 64% 333 -4.7 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 276 39% 210 +1.1 105
Three Pointers 40% 194 33% 121 +1.0 138
1st FG Attempt 1.07 271 -2.7 268
Second Chance 30.0% 158 1.14 321 0.34 256
Turnovers 16.5% 204
Freethrows 0.33 267 72% 192 0.24 262
Total Defense -4.0 293

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.3 28 +0.6 286
Shot Type Accuracy -1.3 219 +2.0 259
Possession Length 17.1 148 16.9 128
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 90 0.18 218
Improvement -0.4 #212 -3.0 #319

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 7% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 9% 19% 4%
.500 or above in Conference 42% 68% 31%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 1%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round4% 6% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Idaho (Away) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 93 - 14
Quad 410 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 110 @Utah L 89 - 92 OT 16% +3  66% 0 - 1 C+ +4 C- -1 D- A- D B +5 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 12 35 @Utah St. L 73 - 83 4% -4  27% 0 - 2 B- +7 B- +4 F+ A+ B+ B- +4 A+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 15 119 @UC Irvine L 70 - 79 18% -8  5% 0 - 3 C- -3 D -5 D- D+ C+ B- +3 C- B C
 Wed, Nov 19 192 Campbell W 91 - 85 54% +5  60% 1 - 3 C +1 B +6 B+ C+ B- D -6 B+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 169 Texas Arlington L 73 - 74 49% -0  43% 1 - 4 C- -5 C+ +2 C+ A- C D -7 D- B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 357 UMKC W 82 - 61 90% +10  93% 2 - 4 C+ +3 C+ +2 A+ F+ F C+ +1 D A C-
 Wed, Dec 3 337 Oral Roberts W 92 - 66 84% +17  94% 3 - 4 B+ +12 B- +5 A D B B +5 C- A+ B
 Sun, Dec 7 123 @St. Thomas L 65 - 88 19% -18  0% 3 - 5 F -18 F+ -9 D- C- F D- -8 D- F C-
 Wed, Dec 10 357 @UMKC W 64 - 60 78% +3  83% 4 - 5 D+ -8 F -18 F C- F A +10 A D+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 91 @Utah Valley L 74 - 90 13% -9  1% 4 - 6 D+ -8 B+ +9 D+ A- A+ F -17 F F C-
 Sat, Dec 20 203 Utah Tech L 80 - 82 57% -1  27% 4 - 7 D+ -8 B +6 A+ F C F -13 F A D-
 Thu, Jan 1 142 Portland St. L 90 - 95 OT 42% -0  45% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -7 C+ +2 C C- A+ D- -8 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 254 Sacramento St. W 95 - 82 67% +10  97% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +5 B- +5 B- C+ C+ C -2 F+ B+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 311 @Northern Arizona W 78 - 65 58% +5  81% 6 - 8 2 - 1 B- +7 B +6 C- B- A+ B- +2 B+ F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 175 @Northern Colorado W 76 - 71 28% +1  51% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B- +7 B- +4 B- D+ C- B- +3 A D- C-
 Thu, Jan 15 229 Eastern Washington W 91 - 80 60% +1  42% 8 - 8 4 - 1 C+ +4 B- +4 C+ B- C- C -0 B- F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 189 Idaho L 67 - 75 54% -9  0% 8 - 9 4 - 2 D- -13 F -16 F B+ F B- +4 B F+ A
 Thu, Jan 22 170 @Montana L 65 - 81 27% -2  46% 8 - 10 4 - 3 D- -14 D+ -3 A- F D+ F -12 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 162 @Montana St. L 88 - 91 26% -2  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 C -0 A +14 A+ D A F -14 F D- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 250 Idaho St. W 81 - 79 65% -4  11% 9 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -6 C+ +2 C B D+ D- -8 F A+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 254 @Sacramento St. L 90 - 104 44% -12  4% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -16 C+ +3 C- B- B F -18 F A B
 Thu, Feb 5 175 Northern Colorado L 74 - 88 50% -10  4% 9 - 13 5 - 6 F -18 C- -2 D+ F A- F -16 F F F+
 Sat, Feb 7 311 Northern Arizona W 72 - 53 78% +7  68% 10 - 13 6 - 6 B- +7 C+ +2 C B- C+ A- +9 B A D+
 Thu, Feb 12 189 @Idaho L 75 - 80 31%
 Sat, Feb 14 229 @Eastern Washington L 79 - 82 38%
 Thu, Feb 19 162 Montana St. L 75 - 76 47%
 Sat, Feb 21 170 Montana L 78 - 79 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 250 @Idaho St. L 75 - 77 43%
 Mon, Mar 2 142 @Portland St. L 70 - 78 22%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -4 C +0 C C C D+ -4 D+ C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D- B- C- 47% 15% 38% B+ C C+ C- C C B D+ B- D+ D- C C+ D+ 42% 18% 40% D+ D+ C D C- C- D+ C D+
1.09 55% 31% 36% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.0 .31 17% .34 70% .24 1.14 64% 39% 33% +2 +1 1.07 30% 1.1 .34 17% .33 72% .25
Nov
8		 Utah C- D+ F F F 60% 12% 28% A D- B+ B+ A- D A+ F A- B A- A+ A+ A+ 52% 8% 40% F A+ D- F F C F A F+
1.04 54% 14% 25% -9 +3 0.90 36% 1.2 .43 18% .40 61% .24 1.08 50% 20% 24% -12 +3 0.84 35% 1.2 .43 15% .44 66% .29
Nov
12		 Utah St. B- F C+ F F 37% 16% 47% B F+ B- A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ B- F B A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% B A+ A- F C- F F D F
1.03 39% 38% 26% -13 0 0.78 33% 1.6 .54 18% .48 75% .36 1.17 74% 33% 13% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.5 .46 8% .45 76% .34
Nov
15		 UC Irvine D B- F F F 48% 23% 29% B- D- C D D+ C+ A+ C- A B- D- B+ A C- 48% 28% 24% D+ C- C A- B C F C F
0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26 1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40
Nov
19		 Campbell B A+ D B A- 37% 23% 40% D+ B+ B+ F+ C+ B- A- F C+ D B+ F A+ A 62% 10% 28% F B+ D- F F C- F F F
1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24 1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46
Nov
22		 Texas Arlington C+ B D- D C+ 40% 26% 34% C+ C+ D+ A+ A- C F+ A+ C D F+ A+ C+ D- 58% 12% 31% F D- A+ F+ B- D A+ F A
1.10 65% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.7 .41 17% .31 88% .27 1.11 63% 17% 31% -1 +3 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 18% .22 83% .18
Nov
29		 UMKC C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 9% 43% A- A+ B- F F+ F A+ C A C+ F B+ A D 36% 26% 38% C- D A+ B+ A C- C+ A+ A-
1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26 0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13
Dec
3		 Oral Roberts B- A+ F C+ A- 65% 11% 25% A A D+ D- D B D- A- D+ B A+ B F C- 36% 11% 53% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ B D+ B C
1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22 0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22
Dec
7		 St. Thomas F+ F+ F C F+ 51% 17% 32% B- D- C+ F+ C- F A+ F B- D- F F B- D 47% 6% 47% D- D- C+ F F C- B- D- C
0.92 50% 25% 33% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.0 .32 24% .38 60% .23 1.25 76% 67% 32% +9 +3 1.25 19% 2.2 .41 14% .28 76% .22
Dec
10		 UMKC F F D F F 50% 17% 33% B- F D- B- C- F B F D A B D- A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% F A D+ D+ D+ B- F C+ F+
0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16 0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24
Dec
17		 Utah Valley B+ C- F C D- 60% 16% 24% A D+ A+ C- A- A+ B F+ C F D- F F F 47% 9% 45% D+ F F F F C- D+ F D-
1.13 53% 13% 33% -7 +2 0.92 42% 1.0 .42 14% .37 67% .25 1.37 68% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.30 50% 1.4 .69 20% .32 76% .25
Dec
20		 Utah Tech B B- F A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% A A+ F F F C A+ C+ A+ F F F D+ F 28% 28% 44% A+ F C A+ A D- F A- F
1.20 64% 0% 53% +14 +3 1.35 23% 0.3 .08 17% .54 73% .40 1.23 86% 57% 36% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.4 .13 14% .40 65% .26
Jan
1		 Portland St. C+ C+ F D- C- 42% 14% 44% B- C C- C- C- A+ A+ D- A+ D- B A+ F C 45% 16% 39% C- C C- D+ D+ F F B D-
1.07 58% 25% 28% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 12% .56 69% .39 1.13 52% 10% 44% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 14% .40 66% .26
Jan
3		 Sacramento St. B- F+ D A+ B- 49% 16% 35% C+ B- C+ C+ C+ C+ A+ B- A+ C F A+ D- F 21% 37% 42% A+ F+ D+ A+ B+ A- D- A+ B-
1.23 48% 38% 50% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40 1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24
Jan
8		 Northern Arizona B F+ F A D+ 44% 7% 48% B+ C- C B+ B- A+ F F F B- C- D+ A+ A 43% 11% 47% F B+ C F F+ F+ D B- D+
1.24 50% 25% 42% +2 +2 1.09 33% 1.2 .41 8% .12 43% .05 1.04 60% 40% 23% -7 +2 0.91 24% 1.4 .32 13% .31 65% .20
Jan
10		 Northern Colorado B- D+ A D+ C- 73% 4% 22% A+ B- B F D+ C- A+ F+ A+ B- D A- A+ A+ 55% 21% 23% D A F B+ D- C- F F+ F
1.14 55% 50% 30% -3 +5 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .57 70% .40 1.07 65% 30% 9% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 17% .36 80% .29
Jan
15		 Eastern Washington B- F A+ A+ C- 56% 10% 34% A- C+ B C B- C- A+ B A+ C C+ C- B- B- 45% 31% 24% B- B- B F F C+ F F F
1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39 1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37
Jan
17		 Idaho F F F F F 44% 16% 40% A- F A- C+ B+ F A+ C- A+ B- C F A+ B+ 44% 13% 44% D- B A F F+ A F A F+
0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47 0.98 57% 50% 24% -5 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28
Jan
22		 Montana D+ A F+ C- B+ 51% 15% 34% A- A- D F F D+ A F B- F F A+ F F 45% 13% 43% D- F D+ F F B+ A D+ A
1.01 71% 29% 31% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.4 .10 17% .37 60% .22 1.25 81% 17% 50% +18 +1 1.40 25% 1.6 .40 23% .20 80% .16
Jan
24		 Montana St. A D- A A+ A 61% 4% 35% A+ A+ D C- D A B B- B F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D- F F C+ D- C+ F F F
1.25 48% 50% 58% +7 +4 1.24 25% 1.0 .25 11% .30 79% .24 1.29 67% 56% 46% +15 0 1.31 38% 1.0 .38 17% .36 90% .32
Jan
31		 Idaho St. C+ F F+ A+ C 40% 22% 38% C- C B+ C B D+ B B- B D- D F F F 47% 12% 41% D- F A+ A+ A+ C- B F+ C+
1.20 45% 36% 47% +2 0 1.06 36% 1.1 .39 16% .36 80% .28 1.17 63% 67% 43% +11 +2 1.27 19% 0.4 .08 16% .27 80% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Sacramento St. C+ B- C F+ D+ 47% 12% 42% B- C- D+ A+ B- B C B- C+ F F B+ F F 42% 21% 38% F+ F B- A+ A B F C F
1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24 1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44
Feb
5		 Northern Colorado C- D+ A+ F D 54% 15% 31% B+ D+ B- F F A- B+ A A F F+ F F F 44% 15% 41% D- F B F F F+ A- B A-
1.10 54% 75% 13% -7 +2 0.92 30% 0.5 .15 9% .39 83% .32 1.30 71% 50% 41% +12 +1 1.28 24% 2.0 .48 13% .17 70% .12
Feb
7		 Northern Arizona C+ D A+ B- D+ 56% 7% 37% A C B C B- C+ A+ D A+ A- C- A B- B 27% 25% 48% B B C A+ A D+ F A D+
1.23 54% 67% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 1.1 .42 15% .52 69% .36 0.90 58% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 23% 0.5 .11 15% .34 59% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.4 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.8 5.1 1.9 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.3 7.2 6.3 0.3 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 5.3 12.4 1.3 18.9 5th
6th 2.4 15.0 4.1 0.0 21.6 6th
7th 0.8 10.5 8.6 0.2 20.1 7th
8th 4.3 7.8 0.8 12.8 8th
9th 1.8 0.2 2.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
Total 7.0 20.9 30.0 24.6 13.3 3.8 0.5 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.5% 25.5% 25.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
11-7 3.8% 10.2% 10.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.4
10-8 13.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.2 0.0 1.0 0.3 12.0
9-9 24.6% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.2 1.4 23.0
8-10 30.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1 28.8
7-11 20.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 20.5
6-12 7.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.6 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%