Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#191
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#149
Pace68.6#206
Improvement-0.7#233

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#246
First Shot-4.9#311
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#61
Layup/Dunks+3.1#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#337
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement+0.2#165

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#139
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#78
Layups/Dunks-4.3#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#13
Freethrows-0.4#216
Improvement-0.9#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 9.7% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 54.8% 68.2% 44.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 64.6% 52.7%
Conference Champion 6.4% 8.0% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 5.2% 9.1%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round8.0% 9.5% 6.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Away) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 84 @New Mexico L 56-74 14%     0 - 1 -8.5 -13.1 +5.2
  Sat, Nov 15 255 Missouri St. W 67-49 73%     1 - 1 +9.8 -7.8 +18.0
  Tue, Nov 18 265 @Evansville W 84-76 52%     2 - 1 +5.4 +13.6 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 21 217 Campbell L 67-71 56%     2 - 2 -7.6 -10.5 +3.1
  Sat, Nov 22 195 @Weber St. W 74-73 39%     3 - 2 +1.8 +4.9 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 29 142 Stephen F. Austin W 66-61 50%     4 - 2 +3.2 +2.5 +1.3
  Tue, Dec 2 149 @Arkansas St. L 63-83 31%     4 - 3 -16.7 -10.6 -5.3
  Thu, Dec 11 209 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-75 44%    
  Wed, Dec 17 85 @Stanford L 68-79 14%    
  Mon, Dec 22 301 @Oral Roberts W 76-73 60%    
  Mon, Dec 29 201 Tarleton St. W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Jan 1 131 California Baptist L 68-69 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 320 @Southern Utah W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 215 Abilene Christian W 69-64 66%    
  Thu, Jan 15 257 @Utah Tech W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 83 @Utah Valley L 65-77 15%    
  Wed, Jan 21 201 Tarleton St. W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Jan 29 320 Southern Utah W 77-67 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 131 California Baptist L 68-69 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 257 @Utah Tech W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 83 @Utah Valley L 65-77 16%    
  Thu, Feb 12 215 @Abilene Christian L 66-67 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 320 Southern Utah W 77-67 81%    
  Thu, Feb 19 257 Utah Tech W 73-67 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 83 Utah Valley L 68-74 31%    
  Thu, Feb 26 131 @California Baptist L 65-72 27%    
  Thu, Mar 5 201 @Tarleton St. L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Mar 7 215 @Abilene Christian L 66-67 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.7 5.5 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.6 8.4 5.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 24.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.9 7.2 6.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 20.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.2 4.1 1.0 0.1 16.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.3 3.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.3 7th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.2 7.9 10.9 13.1 13.8 13.3 11.4 8.4 5.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.9% 0.6    0.6 0.1
15-3 82.4% 1.3    1.0 0.3
14-4 55.9% 1.8    1.1 0.6 0.0
13-5 28.3% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 10.1% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.7 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 40.4% 40.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.6% 36.3% 36.3% 13.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 3.2% 26.2% 26.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.4
13-5 5.5% 20.1% 20.1% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.4
12-6 8.4% 16.5% 16.5% 13.9 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 7.0
11-7 11.4% 11.5% 11.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 10.1
10-8 13.3% 7.9% 7.9% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 12.2
9-9 13.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 13.1
8-10 13.1% 3.4% 3.4% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.6
7-11 10.9% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 10.6
6-12 7.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 2.1 1.0 91.8 0.0%