Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#217
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#193
Pace73.9#79
Improvement-1.5#284

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#221
First Shot-3.4#271
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#87
Layup/Dunks+1.6#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#341
Freethrows+2.8#49
Improvement-1.4#294

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#222
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#102
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement-0.1#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 2.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 18.5% 22.0% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.4% 43.5% 30.2%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.7% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 9.2% 15.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round2.4% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 76.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 49 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 30 @Wisconsin L 64-96 4%     0 - 1 -15.4 -2.3 -12.7
  Thu, Nov 6 71 @West Virginia L 65-73 9%     0 - 2 +3.0 +1.1 +1.8
  Sun, Nov 9 245 Western Michigan W 91-82 65%     1 - 2 +1.4 +1.7 -1.5
  Wed, Nov 19 195 @Weber St. L 85-91 33%     1 - 3 -5.2 +7.4 -12.3
  Fri, Nov 21 191 Texas Arlington W 71-67 44%     2 - 3 +2.1 -4.1 +6.0
  Tue, Nov 25 50 @Wake Forest L 51-99 6%     2 - 4 -34.5 -16.5 -16.6
  Tue, Dec 2 96 @Penn St. L 76-87 14%     2 - 5 -2.7 +2.0 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 14 310 Ball St. W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Dec 17 4 @Gonzaga L 65-93 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 102 @Minnesota L 65-76 14%    
  Tue, Dec 23 273 Green Bay W 77-72 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 139 @Hofstra L 69-77 23%    
  Wed, Dec 31 207 @Monmouth L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 3 228 Northeastern W 77-74 62%    
  Thu, Jan 8 208 Hampton W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 184 @Elon L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 109 @UNC Wilmington L 68-78 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 175 @College of Charleston L 73-78 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 207 Monmouth W 76-74 58%    
  Thu, Jan 29 221 Stony Brook W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 119 @William & Mary L 78-88 19%    
  Thu, Feb 5 267 Drexel W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 299 @N.C. A&T W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 175 College of Charleston W 76-75 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 119 William & Mary L 81-85 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 109 UNC Wilmington L 71-75 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 267 @Drexel L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 125 @Towson L 66-75 22%    
  Tue, Mar 3 299 N.C. A&T W 79-72 73%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.3 1.5 0.1 8.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.1 2.6 0.2 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.1 1.0 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.6 2.0 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.9 0.2 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 7.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 6.0 9.1 11.4 13.7 14.0 12.6 10.5 7.6 4.8 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 88.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 55.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 22.1% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 26.5% 26.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 18.1% 18.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.3% 14.4% 14.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.8% 11.6% 11.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.5
12-6 4.8% 9.3% 9.3% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.4
11-7 7.6% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 7.1
10-8 10.5% 3.1% 3.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.2
9-9 12.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.3
8-10 14.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 13.8
7-11 13.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 97.5 0.0%