Preseason Rankings
Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#203
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.2#262
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 13.6% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 12.8 13.7
.500 or above 39.6% 73.5% 38.8%
.500 or above in Conference 59.2% 79.1% 58.6%
Conference Champion 6.9% 16.1% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.8% 4.3%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round6.0% 13.6% 5.8%
Second Round0.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 54 - 12
Quad 410 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 26   @ Wisconsin L 60-80 3%    
  Nov 06, 2025 61   @ West Virginia L 57-72 9%    
  Nov 09, 2025 286   Western Michigan W 74-66 76%    
  Nov 19, 2025 279   @ Weber St. W 67-66 53%    
  Nov 21, 2025 202   Texas Arlington L 69-70 50%    
  Nov 25, 2025 67   @ Wake Forest L 61-75 11%    
  Dec 02, 2025 90   @ Penn St. L 66-77 17%    
  Dec 14, 2025 244   Ball St. W 71-66 67%    
  Dec 17, 2025 19   @ Gonzaga L 63-85 3%    
  Dec 21, 2025 87   @ Minnesota L 58-70 16%    
  Dec 23, 2025 314   Green Bay W 76-67 78%    
  Dec 29, 2025 178   @ Hofstra L 60-64 37%    
  Dec 31, 2025 211   @ Monmouth L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 03, 2026 226   Northeastern W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 08, 2026 236   Hampton W 69-64 66%    
  Jan 10, 2026 228   @ Elon L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 17, 2026 118   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 22, 2026 123   @ College of Charleston L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 24, 2026 211   Monmouth W 71-67 61%    
  Jan 29, 2026 288   Stony Brook W 70-62 74%    
  Jan 31, 2026 229   @ William & Mary L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 05, 2026 227   Drexel W 65-61 63%    
  Feb 07, 2026 351   @ N.C. A&T W 74-67 71%    
  Feb 14, 2026 123   College of Charleston L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 19, 2026 229   William & Mary W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 21, 2026 118   UNC Wilmington L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 26, 2026 227   @ Drexel L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 28, 2026 131   @ Towson L 61-68 27%    
  Mar 03, 2026 351   N.C. A&T W 77-64 85%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.0 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 9.5 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 4.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.0 1.6 0.2 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.5 5.6 7.7 9.6 10.9 11.6 11.7 10.5 8.9 6.8 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.6% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 93.2% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 71.6% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1
14-4 37.9% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.2% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 37.8% 37.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 45.1% 44.4% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3%
16-2 1.3% 32.4% 32.1% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.5%
15-3 2.9% 26.7% 26.7% 12.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-4 4.8% 19.2% 19.2% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 3.8
13-5 6.8% 15.0% 15.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.8
12-6 8.9% 11.4% 11.4% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 7.9
11-7 10.5% 6.9% 6.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.8
10-8 11.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.2
9-9 11.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-10 10.9% 1.0% 1.0% 18.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
7-11 9.6% 0.5% 0.5% 17.3 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.6 94.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%