Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#267
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#296
Pace63.1#333
Improvement+1.2#103

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#259
First Shot-2.3#241
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#257
Layup/Dunks+0.0#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#156
Freethrows-1.6#279
Improvement+0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot-2.9#268
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#132
Layups/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#95
Freethrows-2.1#300
Improvement+1.1#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 14.5% 18.0% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 22.9% 25.5% 16.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 20.0% 17.8% 25.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 70.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 93 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 178 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 25%     0 - 1 -9.4 -6.7 -2.5
  Tue, Nov 11 179 @Colgate L 83-90 25%     0 - 2 -5.4 +11.3 -16.8
  Sat, Nov 15 60 Syracuse L 50-80 9%     0 - 3 -20.8 -12.6 -10.8
  Tue, Nov 18 348 NJIT W 75-43 82%     1 - 3 +16.7 -2.4 +19.2
  Fri, Nov 21 248 Penn L 68-84 59%     1 - 4 -23.9 -7.6 -16.9
  Sun, Nov 23 212 Old Dominion W 75-71 53%     2 - 4 -2.3 +3.0 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 25 358 @Morgan St. W 71-66 70%     3 - 4 -6.0 -2.5 -3.1
  Wed, Dec 3 242 @American L 73-75 35%     3 - 5 -3.5 +3.6 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 6 225 La Salle L 64-69 43%     3 - 6 -8.8 -5.9 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 16 313 Howard W 73-67 71%    
  Fri, Dec 19 304 Mount St. Mary's W 71-66 69%    
  Sun, Dec 21 328 Maine W 66-59 75%    
  Mon, Dec 29 175 @College of Charleston L 66-73 25%    
  Wed, Dec 31 109 @UNC Wilmington L 61-73 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 139 Hofstra L 65-69 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 221 Stony Brook W 68-67 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 119 William & Mary L 72-78 30%    
  Thu, Jan 15 207 @Monmouth L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 125 @Towson L 60-71 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 228 Northeastern W 69-68 55%    
  Thu, Jan 29 208 Hampton W 68-67 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 299 N.C. A&T W 72-67 68%    
  Thu, Feb 5 217 @Campbell L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 184 @Elon L 69-76 27%    
  Thu, Feb 12 207 Monmouth W 69-68 51%    
  Mon, Feb 16 221 @Stony Brook L 65-70 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 228 @Northeastern L 66-71 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 125 Towson L 63-68 33%    
  Thu, Feb 26 217 Campbell W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 139 @Hofstra L 62-72 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.4 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.9 0.3 8.2 7th
8th 0.5 4.0 4.4 0.8 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.9 1.7 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.2 2.4 6.0 3.0 0.2 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.6 4.3 0.6 0.0 13.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 2.6 5.5 4.0 0.9 0.0 13.7 12th
13th 0.3 1.3 3.0 4.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 12.1 13th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.6 7.0 10.8 12.9 14.7 14.4 12.1 9.3 6.3 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 63.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 53.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 27.8% 27.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 15.2% 15.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.0% 10.3% 10.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
12-6 2.0% 7.4% 7.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
11-7 3.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.6
10-8 6.3% 3.1% 3.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.1
9-9 9.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.2
8-10 12.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 14.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.4
6-12 14.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.7
5-13 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
4-14 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
3-15 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0
2-16 3.6% 3.6
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 98.9 0.0%