Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#224
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#249
Pace67.8#229
Improvement-0.3#197

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#218
First Shot-1.8#221
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#185
Layup/Dunks-0.2#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#302
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-0.2#188

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#234
First Shot-4.0#315
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#42
Layups/Dunks-3.3#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#268
Freethrows+0.9#116
Improvement-0.2#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.3% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 21.6% 28.3% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.0% 37.2% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 7.6% 21.2%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round1.7% 2.1% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 61.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 233 @La Salle L 60-73 40%     0 - 1 -14.4 -8.6 -6.5
  Thu, Nov 13 54 @Seton Hall L 58-70 7%     0 - 2 +0.5 -2.5 +2.5
  Tue, Nov 18 75 @Syracuse L 73-78 10%     0 - 3 +5.6 +4.6 +1.0
  Sun, Nov 23 185 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 53%     1 - 3 -3.7 -3.2 -0.5
  Fri, Nov 28 306 Ball St. W 80-73 66%     2 - 3 -1.2 +8.8 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 29 312 Le Moyne L 79-83 68%     2 - 4 -12.8 +0.2 -13.2
  Sun, Nov 30 321 @Lafayette W 88-74 60%     3 - 4 +7.5 +11.4 -4.0
  Wed, Dec 3 248 Princeton W 63-58 65%     4 - 4 -3.0 -8.9 +6.1
  Sat, Dec 6 129 @Georgia Tech L 67-79 20%     4 - 5 -7.0 -2.0 -4.9
  Sun, Dec 14 277 @Fairfield L 65-73 48%     4 - 6 -11.3 -3.3 -8.9
  Wed, Dec 17 160 Quinnipiac L 75-85 47%     4 - 7 -13.0 -0.1 -12.7
  Sun, Dec 21 315 Lehigh W 76-62 78%     5 - 7 +2.0 +1.0 +1.6
  Wed, Dec 31 225 Campbell W 78-75 62%    
  Sat, Jan 3 128 @Towson L 63-72 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 118 William & Mary L 77-81 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 110 @Hofstra L 65-76 16%    
  Thu, Jan 15 274 Drexel W 72-67 68%    
  Sat, Jan 17 205 Northeastern W 75-73 57%    
  Thu, Jan 22 238 @Hampton L 70-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 225 @Campbell L 75-78 39%    
  Thu, Jan 29 301 N.C. A&T W 77-70 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 110 Hofstra L 68-73 34%    
  Thu, Feb 5 246 @Stony Brook L 68-70 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 274 @Drexel L 69-70 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 128 Towson L 66-69 39%    
  Thu, Feb 19 120 @UNC Wilmington L 66-76 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 169 @College of Charleston L 70-76 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 246 Stony Brook W 71-67 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 166 Elon L 75-76 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 205 @Northeastern L 72-76 36%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.3 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 3.3 1.1 0.1 6.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.6 2.1 0.1 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.2 3.6 0.4 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.6 5.4 0.9 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.4 6.2 1.9 0.1 11.9 9th
10th 0.2 2.4 6.1 3.0 0.2 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.7 0.5 11.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.9 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.2 8.1 11.7 14.5 15.5 14.7 11.5 8.0 5.0 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 85.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 56.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 24.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.7% 14.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 14.4% 14.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.2% 9.1% 9.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.8% 9.2% 9.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 5.0% 6.3% 6.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.6
10-8 8.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.7
9-9 11.5% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.3
8-10 14.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.5
7-11 15.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.4
6-12 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.4
5-13 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.6
4-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-15 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 98.2 0.0%