IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
La Salle
Atlantic 10
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.1	#196
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#101
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#202

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.8	11.7	12.1

.500 or above	17.3%	17.9%	3.7%
.500 or above in Conference	17.7%	18.2%	6.9%
Conference Champion	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	27.8%	27.0%	45.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 95.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 7	1 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 8	6 - 17
Quad 4	5 - 2	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	362	Coppin St.	W	79-61	96%
Nov 08, 2025	211	Monmouth	W	74-70	64%
Nov 11, 2025	132	@ Temple	L	72-79	27%
Nov 15, 2025	90	Penn St.	L	71-79	25%
Nov 19, 2025	39	Villanova	L	62-74	14%
Nov 28, 2025	178	Hofstra	L	65-66	48%
Nov 29, 2025	278	@ Penn	W	74-73	54%
Nov 30, 2025	257	Merrimack	W	67-64	60%
Dec 13, 2025	300	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	68-66	58%
Dec 19, 2025	108	@ High Point	L	69-78	21%
Dec 21, 2025	6	@ Michigan	L	63-88	2%
Dec 31, 2025	99	George Mason	L	66-70	36%
Jan 03, 2026	85	@ George Washington	L	68-79	17%
Jan 07, 2026	146	@ Rhode Island	L	73-79	31%
Jan 10, 2026	72	Saint Louis	L	69-76	28%
Jan 14, 2026	137	@ Richmond	L	65-72	29%
Jan 17, 2026	120	St. Bonaventure	L	67-68	45%
Jan 21, 2026	65	Dayton	L	67-75	25%
Jan 28, 2026	164	@ Fordham	L	74-78	36%
Jan 31, 2026	111	Saint Joseph's	L	70-73	40%
Feb 03, 2026	103	@ Loyola Chicago	L	66-76	20%
Feb 07, 2026	72	@ Saint Louis	L	66-79	14%
Feb 11, 2026	58	Virginia Commonwealth	L	65-74	23%
Feb 18, 2026	115	@ Duquesne	L	64-73	24%
Feb 21, 2026	146	Rhode Island	W	76-75	51%
Feb 24, 2026	85	George Washington	L	71-76	33%
Mar 01, 2026	144	@ Davidson	L	68-74	32%
Mar 04, 2026	164	Fordham	W	77-75	55%
Mar 07, 2026	111	@ Saint Joseph's	L	67-76	24%
Projected Record						10 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0						2.0	3rd
4th										0.2	1.0	1.3	0.4	0.0							2.9	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	1.7	0.8	0.1								3.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.8	2.4	1.2	0.1									4.5	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	2.3	2.2	0.3	0.0									5.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.3	3.1	0.8	0.0										6.5	8th
9th						0.2	1.8	4.2	1.5	0.1											7.8	9th
10th					0.1	1.5	4.5	2.7	0.3	0.0											9.0	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	1.4	4.6	3.8	0.7	0.0												10.7	11th
12th			0.1	1.4	4.7	4.9	1.3	0.1													12.5	12th
13th		0.4	2.0	5.4	5.1	1.7	0.1														14.8	13th
14th	1.9	4.5	6.0	4.2	1.5	0.2	0.0														18.3	14th

Total	1.9	4.9	8.2	11.2	12.8	13.1	11.9	10.4	8.0	6.6	4.5	3.0	1.8	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	99.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	73.8%	0.1		0.1	0.1
14-4	41.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	32.8%	67.2%	6.0			0.0						0.0											100.0%
17-1	0.0%		60.0%	40.0%	20.0%	9.3										0.0	0.0							0.0		33.3%
16-2	0.1%		54.0%	30.9%	23.1%	10.0										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		33.5%
15-3	0.2%		19.1%	11.9%	7.2%	10.4										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		8.1%
14-4	0.5%		10.5%	8.9%	1.6%	10.8									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					0.5		1.8%
13-5	1.0%		9.3%	9.3%		11.4												0.1	0.0					0.9
12-6	1.8%		7.4%	7.2%	0.2%	11.7												0.1	0.1	0.0				1.7		0.2%
11-7	3.0%		4.1%	4.1%		11.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			2.9
10-8	4.5%		2.5%	2.5%		12.2												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			4.3
9-9	6.6%		0.6%	0.6%		12.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		6.5
8-10	8.0%		0.4%	0.4%		13.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	8.0
7-11	10.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.4
6-12	11.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
5-13	13.1%																							13.1
4-14	12.8%																							12.8
3-15	11.2%																							11.2
2-16	8.2%																							8.2
1-17	4.9%																							4.9
0-18	1.9%																							1.9

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.1%	11.8			0.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	99.3		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%