Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#116
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#103
Pace69.5#182
Improvement-1.3#271

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#136
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#82
Layup/Dunks+1.2#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#288
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement-0.8#242

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#109
First Shot+5.5#37
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#344
Layups/Dunks+1.4#124
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#48
Freethrows-0.4#212
Improvement-0.5#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 11.6
.500 or above 83.6% 92.2% 76.2%
.500 or above in Conference 60.5% 66.0% 55.6%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.2% 1.9%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round2.3% 2.7% 1.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 3
Quad 23 - 64 - 9
Quad 35 - 49 - 12
Quad 410 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 347 Stetson W 93-62 95%     1 - 0 +15.9 +8.0 +6.3
  Fri, Nov 7 89 Tulsa L 65-82 40%     1 - 1 -11.0 -2.8 -9.5
  Tue, Nov 11 339 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +8.8 +1.2 +7.2
  Fri, Nov 14 330 Albany W 80-61 93%     3 - 1 +5.9 +5.2 +1.8
  Tue, Nov 18 73 @Yale W 86-77 24%     4 - 1 +19.7 +18.3 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 125 Towson L 55-62 53%     4 - 2 -4.6 -8.7 +3.1
  Tue, Nov 25 185 Vermont W 80-65 69%     5 - 2 +13.3 +11.1 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 26 160 Temple W 90-75 64%     6 - 2 +14.6 +13.2 +1.4
  Tue, Dec 2 226 Brown W 66-56 83%     7 - 2 +3.2 -1.8 +5.6
  Sat, Dec 6 65 @Providence L 71-90 22%     7 - 3 -7.4 +1.7 -9.1
  Tue, Dec 9 80 McNeese St. L 70-71 47%    
  Tue, Dec 16 355 Canisius W 78-58 97%    
  Wed, Dec 31 260 Loyola Chicago W 78-66 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 74 @George Mason L 67-74 25%    
  Wed, Jan 7 225 La Salle W 75-65 83%    
  Sat, Jan 10 138 @Davidson L 71-72 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 42 Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 31%    
  Wed, Jan 21 105 @Richmond L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 74 George Mason L 70-71 45%    
  Tue, Jan 27 70 @Dayton L 69-77 24%    
  Sun, Feb 1 133 @Duquesne L 77-79 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 105 Richmond W 76-74 57%    
  Tue, Feb 10 59 @George Washington L 76-85 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 229 Fordham W 74-64 82%    
  Tue, Feb 17 45 Saint Louis L 74-79 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 225 @La Salle W 72-68 65%    
  Wed, Feb 25 108 @St. Bonaventure L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 178 Saint Joseph's W 76-68 76%    
  Wed, Mar 4 133 Duquesne W 80-76 66%    
  Sat, Mar 7 229 @Fordham W 71-67 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.0 1.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 6.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 6.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.7 4.4 0.6 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.3 1.0 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.8 0.9 0.1 5.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.2 7.5 10.9 13.7 15.2 14.5 12.0 8.8 5.4 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 67.2% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-4 27.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 48.1% 18.5% 29.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.4%
16-2 0.4% 29.3% 18.1% 11.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 13.7%
15-3 1.1% 15.0% 11.7% 3.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 3.7%
14-4 2.9% 11.4% 10.6% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.6 0.9%
13-5 5.4% 7.2% 7.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0 0.1%
12-6 8.8% 4.5% 4.4% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.4 0.2%
11-7 12.0% 2.9% 2.9% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.7
10-8 14.5% 1.5% 1.5% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3
9-9 15.2% 1.3% 1.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 15.0
8-10 13.7% 0.7% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
7-11 10.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
6-12 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 97.6 0.2%