Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#330
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#333
Pace68.4#212
Improvement+0.8#135

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#298
First Shot-5.3#321
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#149
Layup/Dunks-0.6#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#294
Freethrows-3.0#329
Improvement+2.2#34

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#339
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebounds-4.2#353
Layups/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#163
Freethrows-1.7#283
Improvement-1.4#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 8.3% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.6% 10.1% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 46.1% 60.3% 45.4%
Conference Champion 4.9% 8.7% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 8.5% 15.4%
First Four5.0% 7.2% 4.9%
First Round2.6% 4.1% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Neutral) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 48 - 98 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 88 @Marquette L 53-80 5%     0 - 1 -18.0 -19.3 +3.7
  Sat, Nov 8 167 @Massachusetts L 62-83 13%     0 - 2 -18.8 -10.7 -6.9
  Fri, Nov 14 116 @Rhode Island L 61-80 7%     0 - 3 -12.7 -4.5 -9.3
  Fri, Nov 21 156 @Siena L 63-73 12%     0 - 4 -7.3 +2.4 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 28 179 Colgate L 67-69 21%     0 - 5 -3.4 -1.0 -2.7
  Sat, Nov 29 229 Fordham L 68-88 28%     0 - 6 -23.9 -4.1 -20.6
  Sat, Dec 6 130 @Columbia L 65-93 9%     0 - 7 -22.9 -5.4 -18.0
  Wed, Dec 10 73 Yale L 67-85 5%    
  Sat, Dec 13 122 @Florida Atlantic L 66-82 7%    
  Wed, Dec 17 221 @Stony Brook L 67-76 19%    
  Sun, Dec 21 150 Cornell L 79-86 25%    
  Tue, Dec 30 87 @South Carolina L 62-81 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 317 @Umass Lowell L 74-78 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 297 Bryant W 71-70 52%    
  Thu, Jan 15 354 Binghamton W 74-68 71%    
  Mon, Jan 19 185 Vermont L 70-75 31%    
  Thu, Jan 22 328 @Maine L 65-68 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 335 @New Hampshire L 69-72 41%    
  Thu, Jan 29 348 NJIT W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-74 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 297 @Bryant L 67-73 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 317 Umass Lowell W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 354 @Binghamton W 71-70 51%    
  Thu, Feb 19 348 @NJIT L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-77 25%    
  Thu, Feb 26 328 Maine W 68-65 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 335 New Hampshire W 72-69 63%    
  Tue, Mar 3 185 @Vermont L 67-78 16%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.0 4.5 1.3 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.9 5.0 1.0 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 6.0 5.6 0.9 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.5 5.8 1.0 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.5 5.5 1.3 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 4.4 1.1 0.1 11.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.9 9th
Total 0.2 0.6 2.1 4.6 7.7 10.6 13.4 14.7 13.9 11.8 9.2 6.0 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 96.8% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 77.3% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
12-4 49.1% 1.5    0.7 0.7 0.1
11-5 22.2% 1.3    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 27.8% 27.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 28.2% 28.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-3 1.4% 23.7% 23.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.1
12-4 3.1% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.6
11-5 6.0% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.2
10-6 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.9 8.3
9-7 11.8% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.8 11.0
8-8 13.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.7 13.2
7-9 14.7% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.6 14.1
6-10 13.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.1
5-11 10.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.5
4-12 7.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-13 4.6% 4.6
2-14 2.1% 2.1
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.3 94.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%