Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.2 #305
Expected Predictive Rating -9.5 #320
Pace 66.7 #242
Improvement +4.2 #28

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #292 C- C- F F C
Defense #288 C F D- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #182 1.14 #191 -0.4 #191
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #171 0.83 #81 +0.8 #134
Three Pointers 41% #181 0.90 #321 -2.5 #275
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #239 -2.1 #240
Freethrows 13.7 #343 65% #353 9.0 #357
Second Chance 31.5% #156 0.94 #316 0.30 #228
Turnovers 19.4% #334
Total Offense -4.4 #292

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 1.16 #182 -1.3 #221
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #229 0.68 #69 +1.3 #90
Three Pointers 41% #191 1.02 #196 +0.0 #182
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #179 +0.0 #180
Freethrows 18.5 #226 74% #260 13.6 #241
Second Chance 36.2% #343 1.22 #349 0.44 #359
Turnovers 13.9% #322
Total Defense -3.8 #288

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #199 0.8% #242
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.1% #242 -0.9% #163
Possession Length 18.9 #327 17.0 #117
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #153 0.17 #171
Improvement +1.1 #122 +3.1 #30

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 12.9% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 5.3% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.4% 89.3% 69.4%
Conference Champion 7.5% 12.0% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four10.2% 11.6% 9.1%
First Round6.0% 7.4% 4.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 410 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 102 @Marquette L 53 - 80 8% -13  0 - 1 -19 -20 F A- F +3 C+ A- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 176 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 17% -7  0 - 2 -19 -12 F C+ F -6 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 122 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 10% -6  0 - 3 -13 -3 F A+ F -11 A F F
 Fri, Nov 21 169 @Siena L 63 - 73 17% -8  0 - 4 -8 +1 A+ F D -11 D- F C+
 Fri, Nov 28 199 Colgate L 67 - 69 29% +2  0 - 5 -5 -3 B+ F F -2 C- C D+
 Sat, Nov 29 193 Fordham L 68 - 88 28% -11  0 - 6 -22 -2 F B- C+ -21 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 180 @Columbia L 65 - 93 18% -9  0 - 7 -26 -7 D- F C- -20 F F D-
 Wed, Dec 10 83 Yale L 82 - 93 8% -6  0 - 8 -4 +5 A+ F A+ -8 C A- C-
 Sat, Dec 13 95 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 7% -20  0 - 9 -17 -0 B- F C- -14 F B+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 242 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 26% +8  1 - 9 +15 +2 A+ F F +14 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 187 Cornell L 75 - 83 37% +0  1 - 10 -13 +6 B- C C- -20 D F F
 Tue, Dec 30 69 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 5% -16  1 - 11 -18 +6 F A+ F -27 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 309 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 40% -10  1 - 12 0 - 1 -17 -2 F C+ D- -16 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 343 Bryant W 71 - 46 73% +13  2 - 12 1 - 1 +10 +9 A+ F C +7 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 15 362 Binghamton W 69 - 53 84% +5  3 - 12 2 - 1 -3 -5 D- D F +4 A C+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 204 Vermont W 75 - 68 41% +3  4 - 12 3 - 1 +1 -0 C F C- +2 C+ C- A+
 Thu, Jan 22 341 @Maine L 49 - 52 51% +4  4 - 13 3 - 2 -12 -11 F D F -1 B A- F
 Sat, Jan 24 323 @New Hampshire L 69 - 70 45%
 Thu, Jan 29 336 NJIT W 74 - 68 72%
 Sat, Jan 31 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74 - 73 54%
 Thu, Feb 5 343 @Bryant W 68 - 67 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 309 Umass Lowell W 76 - 73 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 362 @Binghamton W 72 - 67 67%
 Thu, Feb 19 336 @NJIT W 72 - 71 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 275 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71 - 76 32%
 Thu, Feb 26 341 Maine W 67 - 61 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 323 New Hampshire W 72 - 67 67%
 Tue, Mar 3 204 @Vermont L 67 - 75 21%
Totals 10 - 18 9 - 7 -8 -4 C- C- F -4 C F D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.0 1.4 0.2 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 8.6 8.0 2.6 0.2 21.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 10.5 9.1 1.6 0.1 22.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 7.8 7.8 0.9 0.0 17.2 4th
5th 0.2 4.0 7.5 1.2 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.7 1.5 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.9 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.5 12.3 18.5 21.3 19.1 11.9 5.7 1.7 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 85.2% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.0
12-4 52.4% 3.0    1.3 1.4 0.2
11-5 19.8% 2.4    0.5 1.2 0.6 0.1
10-6 2.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 3.1 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.2% 24.5% 24.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.7% 27.1% 27.1% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.2
12-4 5.7% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2 4.5
11-5 11.9% 17.2% 17.2% 16.0 2.1 9.9
10-6 19.1% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 2.3 16.8
9-7 21.3% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 2.2 19.1
8-8 18.5% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.5 17.0
7-9 12.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.8 11.5
6-10 6.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 6.2
5-11 2.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.1 2.1
4-12 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 16.0 89.0 0.0%