America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
178 Vermont 47.0%   16   6 - 6 0 - 0 19 - 10 13 - 3 -1.3      +2.2 115 -3.5 294 62.8 338 -0.7 176 0.0 1
292 Maryland Baltimore Co. 14.1%   4 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 7 -7.1      -2.6 239 -4.4 318 67.0 251 -6.9 271 0.0 1
304 Umass Lowell 10.4%   2 - 9 0 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 7 -8.0      -3.1 253 -5.0 329 73.2 78 -11.1 327 0.0 1
310 Albany 9.1%   1 - 10 0 - 0 10 - 18 9 - 7 -8.6      -3.3 261 -5.3 335 68.4 215 -10.6 323 0.0 1
311 Bryant 8.5%   2 - 10 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 8 -8.8      -6.0 329 -2.8 268 65.9 275 -9.8 316 0.0 1
335 New Hampshire 4.9%   2 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 18 7 - 9 -10.6      -8.2 351 -2.4 244 68.7 207 -10.4 321 0.0 1
342 Maine 3.5%   1 - 13 0 - 0 8 - 22 7 - 9 -11.5      -9.9 362 -1.6 218 63.2 332 -17.9 356 0.0 1
353 NJIT 1.9%   4 - 9 0 - 0 10 - 20 6 - 10 -13.3      -10.2 363 -3.1 283 71.2 134 -8.1 293 0.0 1
363 Binghamton 0.6%   1 - 11 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 12 -15.9      -7.2 343 -8.7 361 65.9 278 -21.5 363 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 165 Iona 83 178 Vermont 78   
Sat, Dec 20 363 Binghamton 61 318 Mercyhurst 82   
Sun, Dec 21 288 Boston University 88 304 Umass Lowell 76   
Sun, Dec 21 159 Cornell 83 310 Albany 75   
Sun, Dec 21 79 South Florida 94 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. 69   
Sun, Dec 21 274 Drexel 74 342 Maine 56   
Sun, Dec 21 335 New Hampshire 79 37 Saint Louis 93   
Mon, Dec 22 311 Bryant 47 101 High Point 93   
Mon, Dec 22 50 Butler 101 353 NJIT 52   
Tue, Dec 23 331 Army 95 363 Binghamton 85   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.5 69.6 17.6 6.9 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.4 15.7 24.0 18.6 14.4 10.5 7.7 5.2 2.8 1.1
Umass Lowell 4.1 9.8 18.1 17.3 15.4 13.3 10.4 8.2 5.2 2.4
Albany 4.2 8.7 16.6 17.2 15.8 13.7 11.3 8.6 5.7 2.5
Bryant 4.3 8.2 16.1 17.1 15.8 13.9 11.9 8.5 5.9 2.7
New Hampshire 5.2 4.1 9.8 12.1 14.1 14.7 14.4 13.7 10.6 6.4
Maine 5.5 2.6 7.4 10.7 13.1 14.7 16.0 15.4 12.9 7.2
NJIT 6.5 0.8 3.3 5.6 7.9 11.1 14.5 18.1 21.6 17.1
Binghamton 7.6 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.8 5.7 9.3 14.3 23.3 40.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.2 7.8 12.7 17.5 19.8 18.3 12.2 4.4
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.1 6.1 9.5 13.0 15.4 15.7 14.0 10.4 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.2
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.6 9.5 12.3 15.0 15.3 13.9 10.9 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
Albany 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 6.2 9.6 13.1 15.6 15.4 13.5 10.2 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
Bryant 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 6.6 9.7 13.7 15.6 15.2 13.5 9.8 6.0 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
New Hampshire 7 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.0 10.6 13.9 15.4 15.3 12.6 9.2 5.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maine 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.6 8.2 12.0 15.6 16.3 14.8 11.4 7.6 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
NJIT 6 - 10 0.3 1.8 5.0 9.7 14.2 16.7 16.2 14.3 9.8 6.1 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 4 - 12 1.8 6.7 12.5 17.0 18.4 15.6 12.3 7.6 4.4 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 69.6% 56.6 10.8 1.8 0.3 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 15.7% 9.3 4.9 1.2 0.2 0.1
Umass Lowell 9.8% 5.0 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
Albany 8.7% 4.6 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
Bryant 8.2% 4.3 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 4.1% 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maine 2.6% 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
NJIT 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 47.0% 47.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.7 2.8 8.4 17.5 17.5 53.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 12.8 85.9 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 10.1 89.7 0.0%
Albany 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 9.0 90.9 0.0%
Bryant 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 8.3 91.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.1 4.8 95.1 0.0%
Maine 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0 3.5 96.5 0.0%
NJIT 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
Binghamton 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 47.0% 6.8% 43.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 14.1% 9.8% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.4% 9.2% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 9.1% 8.4% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 8.5% 7.7% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 4.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 3.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 1.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 72.2% 0.7 27.8 72.2
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0