Binghamton
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -16.7 361
Expected Predictive Rating -20.9 364
Pace 64.7 286
Improvement +0.5 165

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ #353 D F F+ A- C
Defense D- #355 D- D+ F C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 79 53% 297 +0.2 167
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 115 38% 162 +1.2 110
Three Pointers 34% 316 29% 347 -6.2 342
1st FG Attempt 0.92 320 -4.7 320
Second Chance 19.9% 360 0.80 363 0.16 365
Turnovers 20.7% 347
Freethrows 0.37 20 76% 73 0.28 17
Total Offense -8.9 353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 27 60% 234 -4.5 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 275 42% 314 +0.4 151
Three Pointers 38% 272 40% 364 -1.9 279
1st FG Attempt 1.14 345 -6.0 346
Second Chance 32.1% 242 1.09 282 0.35 278
Turnovers 11.5% 365
Freethrows 0.32 225 71% 110 0.23 213
Total Defense -7.7 355

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.1 203 +0.8 321
Shot Type Accuracy -4.6 324 +5.0 344
Possession Length 19.4 350 16.2 25
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 327 0.21 307
Improvement -1.2 #257 +1.7 #93

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 97% 92% 98%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 4
Quad 44 - 204 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 67 @Syracuse L 47 - 85 1% -19  0% 0 - 1 F -27 F -23 F C- F D+ -5 B- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 335 Niagara L 59 - 67 41% -0  46% 0 - 2 F -22 F -17 F D B- D -7 B+ F+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 76 @Georgetown L 70 - 83 1% -8  3% 0 - 3 C- -2 C+ +3 C+ F D D -6 C+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 261 @Longwood L 82 - 90 10% -14  7% 0 - 4 D -11 C+ +2 C A+ F F -12 D- F+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 348 Maryland Eastern Shore L 52 - 63 34% -9  1% 0 - 5 F -23 F -18 F C F D- -8 D- F D
 Sun, Nov 23 346 @Canisius L 66 - 75 24% -3  18% 0 - 6 F -18 D+ -3 F+ D C- F -17 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 306 Lehigh W 80 - 71 OT 31% +1  57% 1 - 6 C- -2 D+ -2 A+ F F+ C -0 B D+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 303 Le Moyne L 63 - 78 30% -10  0% 1 - 7 F -26 F -14 F F D- F -12 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 294 Central Connecticut St. L 67 - 84 28% -8  5% 1 - 8 F -28 F -10 D+ F+ F F -19 F C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 99 @Pittsburgh L 63 - 103 2% -21  0% 1 - 9 F -32 F -10 B+ F F F -21 F A C-
 Sat, Dec 20 304 @Mercyhurst L 61 - 82 15% -19  0% 1 - 10 F -26 F -15 D F F F -11 F C F
 Tue, Dec 23 341 @Army L 85 - 95 OT 23% -4  2% 1 - 11 F -19 D -5 C F B+ F -13 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 3 315 NJIT L 65 - 73 33% +1  62% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -20 D- -6 B+ F F F -15 D+ F D
 Thu, Jan 8 224 @Vermont L 59 - 60 7% +1  59% 1 - 13 0 - 2 C -1 F+ -9 D F B- A- +8 C+ B- D
 Sat, Jan 10 318 Umass Lowell L 68 - 73 35% -6  0% 1 - 14 0 - 3 F -18 F -13 D F F D+ -5 D B- F
 Thu, Jan 15 325 @Albany L 53 - 69 19% -5  4% 1 - 15 0 - 4 F -23 F -21 F F D- D+ -4 F+ C- C+
 Mon, Jan 19 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60 - 78 22% -9  16% 1 - 16 0 - 5 F -27 F -14 D- F C+ F -15 F D F
 Thu, Jan 22 327 @New Hampshire L 82 - 88 3OT 19% +6  74% 1 - 17 0 - 6 D- -13 F+ -9 D+ D F+ D+ -4 B+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 338 @Maine L 63 - 79 22% -7  3% 1 - 18 0 - 7 F -25 D+ -4 B+ F F F -23 F D- F
 Thu, Jan 29 342 Bryant W 63 - 60 44% +2  62% 2 - 18 1 - 7 D- -12 D- -7 D F B+ D+ -5 B- B F
 Thu, Feb 5 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 79 10% -11  0% 2 - 19 1 - 8 F -20 F -11 F+ F C+ F+ -9 D+ C+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 315 @NJIT L 64 - 73 16% -4  16% 2 - 20 1 - 9 F+ -15 F+ -9 F D+ C+ D -7 F C F
 Thu, Feb 12 224 Vermont L 64 - 74 16%
 Sat, Feb 14 325 Albany L 69 - 72 37%
 Thu, Feb 19 342 @Bryant L 63 - 71 24%
 Sat, Feb 21 318 @Umass Lowell L 68 - 78 18%
 Thu, Feb 26 327 New Hampshire L 68 - 71 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 338 Maine L 64 - 66 42%
Totals 4 - 24 3 - 13 -17 F+ -9 D F F+ D- -8 D- D+ F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ C F+ D 42% 23% 34% C D F F F F+ B+ B A- D- C- D F D- 45% 18% 38% D D- C- D+ D+ F C- C+ C
0.96 53% 38% 29% -5 0 0.92 20% 0.8 .16 21% .37 76% .28 1.20 60% 42% 40% +5 +1 1.14 32% 1.1 .35 12% .32 71% .26
Nov
3		 Syracuse F F A+ F F 47% 18% 34% B- F F A+ C- F A+ C A+ D+ C- F A+ B- 50% 18% 32% D B- C- F F F A D A-
0.68 28% 57% 8% -24 +1 0.55 21% 1.6 .32 32% .47 73% .34 1.23 64% 80% 17% +2 +1 1.09 33% 1.4 .45 7% .25 69% .17
Nov
8		 Niagara F F F F F 53% 22% 24% B- F D+ D D B- B+ F B- D C B- A+ B+ 47% 18% 35% C B+ F+ D- F+ F F C F+
0.92 46% 18% 25% -14 +1 0.76 30% 0.9 .27 14% .37 70% .26 1.05 54% 33% 22% -9 +1 0.86 28% 1.0 .28 13% .30 71% .22
Nov
12		 Georgetown C+ C+ C+ C+ B- 20% 34% 45% F C+ F+ F F D A+ A+ A+ D B F A C+ 44% 27% 29% C C+ F B D+ F C+ D- C-
1.05 56% 40% 35% +1 -3 0.98 21% 0.7 .14 19% .46 92% .43 1.24 52% 57% 27% -1 0 1.00 41% 1.0 .41 6% .33 81% .27
Nov
15		 Longwood C+ A- A+ F C 44% 10% 46% B- C A+ B A+ F A A A+ F F A+ A- D- 37% 13% 50% D- D- F+ D+ F+ F F D+ F
1.11 71% 60% 27% +4 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 28% .43 78% .34 1.21 84% 14% 27% +1 +1 1.06 38% 1.0 .38 15% .48 77% .36
Nov
22		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F D+ F F 54% 15% 31% B+ F A- F C F A+ B A+ D- B- F C+ D 48% 16% 36% F D- F C+ F D F+ A+ C+
0.87 38% 33% 17% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39 1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15
Nov
23		 Canisius D+ A+ A+ F D- 26% 24% 50% D- F+ D- C D C- A+ B+ A+ F C A+ F F 41% 20% 39% D F B- F F F F F F
1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48 1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34
Dec
2		 Lehigh D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 47% 33% 21% D A+ F F F F+ A+ F+ A+ C B D- B+ B+ 36% 16% 48% D- B F B D+ D- A- B+ A
1.12 80% 43% 44% +15 -1 1.30 15% 0.5 .07 20% .57 67% .38 0.99 50% 44% 30% -5 0 0.93 28% 0.9 .26 15% .20 67% .13
Dec
6		 Le Moyne F F F C+ F 52% 8% 40% A F D- F F D- B+ B- B+ F C+ A+ F F 64% 11% 26% F F C D D+ F C+ B+ B-
0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29 1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21
Dec
13		 Central Connecticut St. F B F F D 56% 9% 35% B+ D+ F C+ F+ F A+ D A+ F F D+ F F 42% 19% 38% F F C+ C C+ B- B+ B+ B+
1.03 63% 25% 27% -2 +3 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 17% .44 75% .33 1.29 82% 40% 45% +17 0 1.37 25% 1.0 .25 18% .21 73% .15
Dec
17		 Pittsburgh F F A+ A+ A 43% 30% 27% D B+ D- F F F A+ B- A+ F D- F F F 42% 10% 48% D- F A B+ A C- F B F+
0.88 38% 55% 60% +7 -1 1.14 19% 0.4 .08 31% .54 78% .42 1.44 67% 60% 67% +29 +2 1.64 28% 0.9 .24 15% .40 63% .25
Dec
20		 Mercyhurst F C+ F D- D- 55% 20% 25% C+ D F F F F A+ B+ A+ F D+ F D+ F 43% 31% 26% D- F C C- C F C+ F C-
0.88 59% 13% 30% -6 +1 0.93 11% 0.0 .00 23% .58 77% .45 1.18 60% 50% 33% +4 -1 1.09 26% 1.1 .29 10% .19 83% .16
Dec
23		 Army D A- A- F D+ 53% 15% 32% B+ C F F+ F B+ D+ B C- F B- F F F 41% 10% 49% D+ F B F D- D F A F
1.08 71% 44% 21% +2 +2 1.08 11% 1.0 .11 11% .32 77% .25 1.21 52% 60% 48% +10 +2 1.25 25% 1.3 .33 15% .45 63% .29
Jan
3		 NJIT D- B- C- A B+ 46% 15% 38% B- B+ F F F F A+ A+ A+ F A F D D+ 42% 27% 31% D+ D+ F F F D F F+ F
1.04 61% 33% 40% +4 +1 1.13 13% 0.7 .08 22% .54 81% .43 1.17 42% 50% 36% -3 -1 0.96 39% 1.2 .45 16% .42 77% .32
Jan
8		 Vermont F+ F A+ D C- 24% 39% 37% F D F F F B- F+ F F A- D+ A+ D+ B- 50% 18% 32% D C+ C+ B- B- D F A+ D-
0.96 42% 55% 32% +2 -3 0.98 15% 0.0 .00 11% .26 64% .17 0.98 64% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .45 54% .24
Jan
10		 Umass Lowell F D+ F C+ D- 57% 16% 27% B D F F F F B+ F+ B- D+ A- D- F D- 40% 24% 36% B- D A+ F B- F F D+ F
0.98 55% 25% 36% -3 +2 1.00 19% 0.7 .13 19% .34 68% .23 1.06 44% 45% 44% +2 0 1.04 19% 1.5 .28 16% .52 67% .34
Jan
15		 Albany F F C- F+ F 43% 22% 35% C- F F F F D- C C- C- D+ B+ F F F 38% 25% 38% B F+ F A- C- C+ B- F D+
0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23 1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18
Jan
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F C F C- D- 41% 29% 31% D D- F F F C+ B F D+ F D F+ F F 47% 25% 28% D+ F A- F D F A- C- B+
0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13 1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15
Jan
22		 New Hampshire F+ F+ C- A D+ 50% 24% 26% C D+ F+ B D F+ F+ A+ D+ D+ A C+ A- A- 34% 14% 52% C+ B+ F+ B D+ F F C F
0.97 48% 36% 40% -3 0 0.97 23% 1.1 .26 19% .26 89% .23 1.05 41% 33% 27% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.9 .28 13% .40 69% .27
Jan
24		 Maine D+ A+ D- F+ B+ 51% 23% 26% C+ B+ F C- F F B- A+ A F F A- F F 36% 21% 43% C F C F D- F A F B-
1.02 77% 30% 27% +5 +1 1.14 19% 1.0 .19 26% .35 88% .31 1.28 76% 30% 50% +15 0 1.32 20% 1.4 .28 11% .22 83% .18
Jan
29		 Bryant D- C F B D+ 50% 23% 27% D+ D F+ F F B+ B- C- C+ D+ B- C+ A B 43% 6% 51% F+ B- C A B F F A F+
1.07 58% 18% 38% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 10% .32 71% .23 1.02 50% 33% 25% -11 +2 0.85 26% 0.8 .21 8% .39 67% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F F A+ F D- 28% 32% 40% F F+ F F F C+ A A+ A+ F+ B+ D- D- C- 42% 16% 42% F+ D+ D A C+ F D+ C D+
0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26 1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22
Feb
7		 NJIT F+ F F C F 49% 27% 24% C- F F A+ D+ C+ A- A A D D A- D F+ 49% 15% 36% F F C+ D+ C F F A+ F
0.97 42% 15% 33% -14 0 0.73 23% 1.3 .31 14% .42 79% .33 1.11 61% 29% 35% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.0 .25 9% .55 55% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 2.2 7th
8th 3.1 2.9 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 13.9 30.4 31.3 13.9 1.4 90.8 9th
Total 13.9 30.4 31.3 17.1 6.1 1.2 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.1% 0.1
6-10 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-11 6.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.0
4-12 17.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.1
3-13 31.3% 31.3
2-14 30.4% 30.4
1-15 13.9% 13.9
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 13.9%