Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.2 325
Expected Predictive Rating -12.3 342
Pace 65.8 257
Improvement +0.7 158

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #296 C- C- D- F C+
Defense D #328 D+ F D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 156 57% 195 +0.1 173
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 199 41% 71 +0.2 167
Three Pointers 41% 177 30% 323 -2.2 261
1st FG Attempt 0.98 231 -1.9 230
Second Chance 30.8% 172 0.93 305 0.29 233
Turnovers 19.8% 334
Freethrows 0.23 352 65% 359 0.15 362
Total Offense -4.6 296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 59% 201 -1.8 241
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 257 37% 151 +1.1 107
Three Pointers 41% 185 36% 286 -1.4 250
1st FG Attempt 1.06 250 -2.2 251
Second Chance 35.4% 337 1.22 360 0.43 360
Turnovers 14.7% 313
Freethrows 0.31 208 76% 345 0.24 252
Total Defense -5.6 328

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.2 170 +0.5 260
Shot Type Accuracy -2.0 246 +1.6 239
Possession Length 19.0 333 16.7 86
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 189 0.18 198
Improvement +0.4 #154 +0.3 #173

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 6% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 25% 35% 7%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 3% 0% 7%
First Four6% 6% 5%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 47 - 108 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 85 @Marquette L 53 - 80 4% -13  3% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -21 F B F B+ +6 B- B+ B+
 Sat, Nov 8 183 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 14% -7  15% 0 - 2 F -19 F -16 F C F C- -2 A F D+
 Fri, Nov 14 116 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 7% -6  28% 0 - 3 D- -13 D- -6 F A+ D- D- -8 B+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 181 @Siena L 63 - 73 13% -8  0% 0 - 4 D -8 C- -2 A F C- D- -8 D+ F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 209 Colgate L 67 - 69 24% +2  67% 0 - 5 D+ -5 D -4 B+ F+ D- C -1 D+ C+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 157 Fordham L 68 - 88 17% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 D+ -3 D- B- B+ F -18 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 6 200 @Columbia L 65 - 93 16% -9  18% 0 - 7 F -28 F -10 D- F C F -18 D- F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 81 Yale L 82 - 93 7% -6  26% 0 - 8 C- -4 C+ +2 A- F A D -6 C+ B- D+
 Sat, Dec 13 114 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 7% -20  0% 0 - 9 F -20 D -4 B F+ D+ F -12 F B- D+
 Wed, Dec 17 213 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 17% +8  85% 1 - 9 A- +16 C +1 A+ F D- A+ +16 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 159 Cornell L 75 - 83 25% +0  42% 1 - 10 D- -11 C+ +3 B C- C F -15 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 90 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 5% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -21 C+ +2 F A+ F F -25 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 318 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 37% -10  4% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -19 D -5 F+ B- F+ F -15 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 342 Bryant W 71 - 46 68% +13  98% 2 - 12 1 - 1 B +10 B +6 A+ F C- A +10 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 361 Binghamton W 69 - 53 81% +5  80% 3 - 12 2 - 1 C- -4 F+ -8 C D+ F B+ +6 A- C+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 224 Vermont W 75 - 68 35% +3  61% 4 - 12 3 - 1 C +1 D+ -3 C+ F C B- +4 C+ C- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 338 @Maine L 49 - 52 44% +4  79% 4 - 13 3 - 2 D- -12 F -15 F D D- B- +3 B+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 327 @New Hampshire L 72 - 80 39% -3  33% 4 - 14 3 - 3 F+ -15 C +1 A- C F F -17 F F D
 Thu, Jan 29 315 NJIT L 68 - 77 58% -5  9% 4 - 15 3 - 4 F -21 F+ -9 F+ C- C- F -13 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 68 44% +3  70% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D- -12 F+ -8 D- B+ F D+ -4 F+ A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 342 @Bryant W 65 - 63 46% -5  1% 5 - 16 4 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -3 A- F D- D+ -4 F D A+
 Sat, Feb 7 318 Umass Lowell L 79 - 89 60% -5  18% 5 - 17 4 - 6 F -23 D+ -2 D B- B+ F -21 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 14 361 @Binghamton W 72 - 69 63%
 Thu, Feb 19 315 @NJIT L 70 - 74 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68 - 76 24%
 Thu, Feb 26 338 Maine W 68 - 64 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 327 New Hampshire W 72 - 69 62%
 Tue, Mar 3 224 @Vermont L 66 - 76 17%
Totals 8 - 20 7 - 9 -10 D+ -5 C- C- D- D -6 D+ F D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C B- D D+ 39% 19% 41% C+ C- C D C- D- F+ F F D C C+ D+ C- 41% 18% 41% D+ D+ D- F F D C D- C-
1.02 57% 41% 30% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 20% .23 65% .15 1.17 59% 37% 36% +2 0 1.06 35% 1.2 .43 15% .31 76% .18
Nov
3		 Marquette F F F F F 33% 16% 51% C F A- C B F C D+ C- B+ C+ F A+ B- 49% 6% 45% C- B- F A+ B+ B+ F C F
0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19 1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43
Nov
8		 Massachusetts F C- F F F 40% 10% 50% B F D+ A C F B C- B- C- B- D A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% F+ A F F F D+ F D+ F
0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29 1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Rhode Island D- F A+ F F 37% 15% 48% C+ F A+ A A+ D- F+ F+ F D- B+ B+ A- A 51% 12% 37% F+ B+ F F F F F F F
0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18 1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44
Nov
21		 Siena C- B- A- A+ A+ 46% 32% 22% C- A F F F C- A F C D- C- C C- C- 54% 26% 20% F D+ F D- F B- F F F
1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20 1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
28		 Colgate D C- A- A+ B+ 43% 21% 36% C+ B+ D F F+ D- F F F C D+ B F+ D 31% 21% 48% C- D+ C+ B- C+ D A A+ A+
1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02 1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05
Nov
29		 Fordham D+ F A+ F D- 34% 25% 41% C+ D- A+ F B- B+ D+ A- C- F F F D F 43% 20% 37% D F F+ F F B+ F B+ F
1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17 1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 0 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26
Dec
6		 Columbia F A+ A+ F D+ 29% 31% 41% F D- C- F F C A+ F+ A F F F C+ F 35% 25% 40% A D- F F F F+ D- F F
0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30 1.35 72% 54% 33% +9 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28
Dec
10		 Yale C+ C B- A+ A 37% 24% 39% C- A- F A- F A C F F D D+ A+ C- B 60% 10% 31% F C+ F+ A+ B- D+ F C+ F
1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11 1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41
Dec
13		 Florida Atlantic D C A B+ B+ 40% 23% 37% D+ B F C F+ D+ C- F D- F D F F F 37% 13% 50% D+ F B C B- D+ C A+ B
0.97 57% 46% 38% +4 0 1.09 16% 1.0 .16 18% .30 60% .18 1.29 64% 75% 47% +17 +1 1.37 30% 1.1 .33 16% .31 62% .19
Dec
17		 Stony Brook C A+ F A A+ 43% 9% 48% A- A+ C- F F D- B F F A+ A A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- C+ B-
1.09 75% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.28 30% 0.4 .12 18% .34 44% .15 0.84 42% 30% 26% -13 +1 0.77 17% 0.4 .07 11% .22 69% .15
Dec
21		 Cornell C+ D+ B+ A+ B 47% 22% 31% C B B+ F C- C F C F F A+ A+ F D 20% 18% 62% A+ C- F F F F B- B- B-
1.24 57% 45% 53% +10 0 1.22 38% 0.9 .34 15% .14 71% .10 1.37 44% 25% 50% +10 -1 1.20 45% 1.4 .65 13% .27 71% .19
Dec
30		 South Carolina C+ C+ F+ F F 46% 35% 19% D+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ D- F F C- F F 31% 15% 54% C F F F F C- C+ F D+
1.05 59% 29% 0% -12 -1 0.75 47% 1.5 .72 23% .16 88% .14 1.50 87% 43% 50% +23 0 1.48 38% 1.4 .52 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
3		 Umass Lowell D D+ F F+ F 54% 15% 31% B F+ C B+ B- F+ D F F F C B- B- C 53% 22% 25% D C- F F F F C+ F+ C
1.06 55% 25% 29% -6 +2 0.94 31% 1.3 .40 16% .23 62% .14 1.24 56% 36% 31% -3 +1 0.98 50% 1.3 .64 13% .29 71% .21
Jan
10		 Bryant B A A+ B- A 55% 9% 36% B+ A+ A- F F C- C+ D- C- A A+ D A+ A+ 23% 12% 65% B A+ F+ D+ F+ F F+ A+ C-
1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20 0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
15		 Binghamton F+ F+ A A+ C+ 38% 25% 38% D- C A- F D+ F F A+ D- B+ A+ C+ B- A 43% 22% 35% C- A- D A- C+ D- B+ C B+
1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18 0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23
Jan
19		 Vermont D+ C- D+ A C+ 38% 18% 44% B- C+ F+ F F C A- C+ A- B- C- A+ C- B- 41% 14% 45% D C+ B- F C- B+ C C C
1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30 1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20
Jan
22		 Maine F C+ B- F F 40% 11% 49% B F D+ D D D- F F F B- D- A+ A+ A 47% 21% 33% D B+ B C+ B- F D F F+
0.86 61% 40% 14% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11 0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26
Jan
24		 New Hampshire C A B+ C A- 49% 22% 29% C+ A- A F C F A+ B- A+ F D+ C+ F F 25% 6% 69% C F D+ F F D D- F F
1.11 70% 44% 33% +7 +1 1.17 42% 0.8 .33 25% .47 78% .37 1.23 58% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.15 28% 1.8 .48 17% .31 88% .28
Jan
29		 NJIT F+ D- D- F F 44% 13% 43% B F+ D B C- C- F F F F C+ F A D- 37% 25% 37% C- D- F F F F B F C
1.01 50% 29% 26% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 15% .24 64% .16 1.14 53% 62% 26% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.3 .44 13% .27 81% .22
Jan
31		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ C- F D- F+ 39% 14% 47% C+ D- B+ B B+ F D- F F D+ B+ F F D- 54% 12% 34% F F+ B- A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08 1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Bryant D+ B+ F A+ A- 52% 12% 36% B- A- F+ F F D- F F F D+ C+ F F F 43% 5% 52% F F C- F+ D A+ A+ D- A+
1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06 1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09
Feb
7		 Umass Lowell D+ D- A D D- 49% 20% 31% C D D- A+ B- B+ A+ F B+ F F A- F F 46% 28% 26% B- F F F F D- F F+ F
1.14 52% 50% 31% -2 +1 1.00 25% 1.6 .41 10% .42 62% .26 1.28 67% 31% 50% +8 0 1.17 38% 1.6 .62 17% .54 71% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.8 0.2 2.3 3rd
4th 1.4 7.7 2.8 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 1.0 11.7 9.3 0.5 22.6 5th
6th 0.5 9.8 14.8 1.6 26.7 6th
7th 0.1 4.5 13.6 3.1 21.4 7th
8th 2.2 8.0 4.0 0.1 14.3 8th
9th 0.3 0.1 0.4 9th
Total 2.6 13.1 28.4 31.2 19.0 5.3 0.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 13.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.5% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.1 0.4
9-7 5.3% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.6 4.7
8-8 19.0% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 1.5 17.5
7-9 31.2% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 1.7 29.5
6-10 28.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 1.2 27.1
5-11 13.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 12.7
4-12 2.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 16.0 94.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%