Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.2 161
Results Rating -2.3 201
Consistency 0.16 218
Pace 62.5 334
Improvement +4.9 32

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 244 D+ C+ C- D- C
Defense C+ 106 B- C+ C- B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 182 C- 57% 198 -0.4 198
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 190 B+ 44% 36 +1.3 112
Three Pointers 41% 183 F+ 28% 358 -3.6 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 188 D+ -2.7 272
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 266
Second Chance B 34.6% 64 D+ 0.96 291 C+ 0.33 128
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 113
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 321
Turnovers C- 17.3% 226
Freethrows F+ 0.24 346 C- 71% 237 D- 0.17 344
Total Offense C- -2.7 244

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 94 C+ 9.9% 114
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 160 B 3.3% 58
Three Pointers C- 82% 233 D+ 1.3% 291
Total C 55% 183 C+ 5.0% 112


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 313 C+ 56% 124 -3.7 62
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 48 C+ 37% 124 +1.5 302
Three Pointers 41% 152 C 34% 158 +0.0 186
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 40 C+ -1.2 131
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 111
Second Chance B 26.8% 62 C- 1.08 258 C+ 0.29 112
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 129
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 326
Turnovers C- 16.2% 208
Freethrows B 0.27 71 A- 68% 12 B 0.18 42
Total Defense C+ +2.5 106

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 325 C- 9.4% 228
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 42% 353 D+ 3.6% 252
Three Pointers D+ 87% 280 D- 0.0% 350
Total D- 63% 331 D 4.1% 304

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 343 17.0 128
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 248 0.16 131
Consistency 0.11 63 0.12 195
Improvement +2.4 72 +2.5 64

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 181 164 147
Results Rating Rank 224 194 169
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 16% 29% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 34 - 66 - 11
Quad 48 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 333 NJIT L 61 - 72 90% -5  23% 0 - 1 F -26 F -14 F C B F -12 F C+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 314 Wagner W 63 - 61 87% -2  28% 1 - 1 D -10 D- -8 F C+ B C- -2 B F+ D
 Fri, Nov 14 242 @Iona L 71 - 76 55% +0  54% 1 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 F A+ C D+ -3 F+ A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 219 LIU Brooklyn W 69 - 53 73% +11  88% 2 - 2 B +9 D -5 B F B+ A+ +15 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 320 Albany W 88 - 68 82% +11  97% 3 - 2 B +10 A- +10 A- A+ F C+ +1 A D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 252 Colgate L 62 - 72 69% -9  1% 3 - 3 F+ -15 F -12 F+ C- F D+ -5 D- A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 328 Holy Cross L 69 - 70 90% +7  85% 3 - 4 F+ -15 D- -7 C- C- D D- -8 D+ F B
 Wed, Dec 10 337 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75 - 54 91% +11  80% 4 - 4 B- +6 D+ -3 C+ B F A +10 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 324 Manhattan W 82 - 53 89% +11  93% 5 - 4 A- +15 C+ +3 B C+ D- A+ +14 A+ B D+
 Mon, Dec 22 326 New Haven W 65 - 47 89% +5  55% 6 - 4 C+ +4 D- -7 C- A- F A+ +13 B A+ A
 Wed, Dec 31 76 @Dayton L 56 - 63 15% -5  0% 6 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +4 D -5 D+ D+ D A- +8 A+ F F
 Sun, Jan 4 135 Richmond L 75 - 83 55% -2  32% 6 - 6 0 - 2 D -9 B- +5 C+ A- F F -16 F+ D F
 Wed, Jan 7 105 George Mason L 58 - 67 44% -1  36% 6 - 7 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -10 D- D+ C+ C+ +2 A B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 138 @St. Bonaventure W 81 - 77 33% +2  60% 7 - 7 1 - 3 B +8 B+ +9 A- F A- C -1 C- F+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 25 @Saint Louis L 56 - 78 5% -12  1% 7 - 8 1 - 4 C- -3 C- -2 D+ D B+ D+ -4 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 127 Duquesne L 63 - 74 51% -6  0% 7 - 9 1 - 5 D- -12 F -13 F C C- C+ +2 C A- C+
 Wed, Jan 21 113 @Davidson L 63 - 68 26% +1  49% 7 - 10 1 - 6 C +1 D+ -4 A- C+ F B +5 B A C
 Wed, Jan 28 209 La Salle W 64 - 58 70% -1  39% 8 - 10 2 - 6 C +0 D+ -4 F+ B- B B +5 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 78 @George Washington W 79 - 65 16% +4  76% 9 - 10 3 - 6 A+ +25 B+ +9 C+ A+ C+ A+ +16 A+ B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 3 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 59 - 63 21% -8  0% 9 - 11 3 - 7 C+ +4 F+ -8 F C+ B+ A+ +12 B+ D+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 138 St. Bonaventure L 67 - 70 56% +0  52% 9 - 12 3 - 8 C- -5 D+ -3 C+ D- D C- -2 F C A+
 Tue, Feb 10 112 @Saint Joseph's W 68 - 64 26% -3  27% 10 - 12 4 - 8 B +10 B +7 D+ A- A B +4 D+ B- B-
 Sat, Feb 14 130 @Rhode Island W 70 - 66 OT 31% -6  7% 11 - 12 5 - 8 B +9 C +1 D+ B B A- +8 B+ A- D
 Wed, Feb 18 279 Loyola Chicago W 62 - 59 81% +9  90% 12 - 12 6 - 8 D+ -6 F -15 F B- F A +9 B A- B-
 Sat, Feb 21 113 Davidson W 63 - 59 48% +3  69% 13 - 12 7 - 8 C+ +4 C- -1 C+ B- C- B+ +6 C A- A+
 Sat, Feb 28 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 63 - 82 10% -10  0% 13 - 13 7 - 9 C- -5 D -5 F+ D B C -0 C- C+ C-
 Wed, Mar 4 209 @La Salle L 84 - 87 48% -6  6% 13 - 14 7 - 10 C- -3 A +13 B B- A+ F -16 C- F D-
 Sat, Mar 7 130 Rhode Island W 65 - 64 53%
Totals 14 - 14 8 - 10 +0 C- -3 C+ D+ C C+ +3 F+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B+ F+ D+ 39% 37% 41% C D+ B D+ C+ C- F+ C- D- C+ C+ C+ C C+ 33% 25% 41% B+ B- B C- C+ C- B A- B
1.05 57% 44% 28% -3 0 0.97 35% 1.0 .33 17% .24 71% .17 1.05 56% 37% 34% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.1 .29 16% .27 68% .17
Nov
4		 NJIT F C+ C F F 35% 22% 43% D+ F B+ F+ C B D+ F F+ F B B F F 38% 23% 40% D F C B C+ C- A+ A+ A+
0.94 61% 36% 9% -15 0 0.71 40% 0.9 .36 12% .32 61% .19 1.11 50% 33% 52% +7 0 1.15 26% 0.8 .20 17% .15 50% .07
Nov
11		 Wagner D- F A+ F F 48% 20% 33% C F D A+ C+ B B- C- B- C- A+ D D+ B 27% 29% 45% A- B D+ F F+ D A+ A+ A+
1.05 36% 67% 27% -8 +1 0.87 26% 1.3 .34 12% .40 71% .28 1.02 23% 43% 36% -6 -2 0.86 34% 1.2 .42 17% .12 50% .06
Nov
14		 Iona D+ D B F F 39% 12% 49% B F A B+ A+ C F F F D+ D- F+ F F 39% 26% 35% B+ F+ A A+ A+ F D+ A+ B-
1.02 55% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.79 43% 1.1 .48 16% .14 63% .09 1.09 64% 47% 40% +8 -1 1.16 17% 0.2 .03 10% .29 56% .16
Nov
20		 LIU Brooklyn D A F C+ B 49% 18% 33% C+ B D+ F F B+ F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% B A+ A+ A+ A+ D F F F
1.04 68% 22% 35% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 15% .27 60% .16 0.80 33% 54% 7% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.7 .15 18% .44 75% .33
Nov
29		 Albany A- A A+ C+ A 43% 20% 37% C A- B+ A+ A+ F A F B C+ A+ F A A 34% 25% 41% B+ A F B+ D+ F C+ F C-
1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 0 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26 1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17
Nov
30		 Colgate F C- D+ F F+ 45% 24% 31% C F+ C- C C- F F A+ F D+ D- F D F+ 29% 22% 49% C+ D- F A+ A- C- A- F B
0.96 57% 33% 25% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .13 86% .11 1.12 64% 55% 38% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.5 .18 16% .20 82% .17
Dec
6		 Holy Cross D- D A+ C- C- 38% 19% 44% C C- F+ A+ C- D A D- B+ D- F+ A+ F D+ 24% 20% 56% D+ D+ D F F B F A- F
1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24 1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33
Dec
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson D+ F+ A+ A+ C+ 41% 15% 43% B- C+ A D+ B F F D F A C+ C C+ D+ 32% 16% 52% D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B- A
1.15 53% 57% 45% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.9 .33 20% .25 69% .17 0.83 56% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
13		 Manhattan C+ D A+ C+ B+ 36% 29% 35% D- B A+ F C+ D- F C+ F A+ A B A+ A+ 32% 32% 36% A A+ A+ F B D+ A+ F A
1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06 0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16
Dec
22		 New Haven D- A- A- F C 40% 27% 33% D- C- B+ B A- F F D+ F A+ F A+ A- C+ 26% 30% 44% A B B A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12 0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02
Dec
31		 Dayton D A+ F F D+ 23% 19% 57% C D+ A F D+ D F F F A- F A+ A+ A+ 46% 27% 27% A A+ B F F F A B A
0.89 82% 22% 26% -4 -1 0.91 39% 0.6 .24 24% .17 63% .10 1.01 73% 0% 8% -14 0 0.73 24% 2.4 .58 13% .33 72% .24
Jan
4		 Richmond B- B+ A+ F B 27% 36% 38% F+ C+ A+ F A- F A+ D A+ F D A+ F F 24% 44% 32% A+ F+ B F D F B- C- C+
1.17 67% 56% 24% +3 -3 1.02 51% 0.9 .46 22% .48 67% .32 1.30 67% 23% 69% +12 -4 1.18 22% 1.4 .31 8% .31 78% .24
Jan
7		 George Mason F F C- D+ F 45% 18% 37% B+ D- A+ F D+ C+ D- F F+ C+ B- F A+ A+ 53% 22% 24% D A A+ F B D+ F D- F
0.93 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 14% .19 60% .11 1.07 58% 50% 9% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.2 .25 14% .49 77% .37
Jan
10		 St. Bonaventure B+ B F A+ A- 51% 16% 33% B+ A- C F F A- B- A+ A+ C D A- F+ C- 27% 24% 49% B- C- B+ F F+ C- A F B+
1.22 64% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 29% 0.5 .14 14% .31 94% .29 1.16 64% 33% 40% +5 -1 1.10 31% 1.4 .45 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
14		 Saint Louis C- D D F D 35% 18% 47% B- D+ A F D B+ F+ B D D+ F F C- C- 33% 8% 59% A- C B+ F D+ F B B- B+
0.92 47% 33% 26% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.4 .16 13% .25 77% .19 1.28 75% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.24 28% 1.4 .38 10% .25 71% .18
Jan
17		 Duquesne F D- A+ F F 33% 20% 46% C F A F C C- F F F C+ B- A+ F D+ 33% 18% 49% A C A+ D- A- C+ F B+ F+
0.89 50% 55% 16% -12 0 0.78 39% 0.7 .29 18% .26 60% .16 1.04 56% 22% 42% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.2 .23 18% .47 67% .31
Jan
21		 Davidson D+ D A+ D A 42% 36% 22% D A- D A+ C+ F F F F B D- F A+ B- 26% 30% 43% A+ B F+ A+ A C D- F F
0.97 53% 69% 30% +7 -2 1.13 24% 1.3 .32 28% .15 57% .08 1.04 67% 64% 20% +1 -2 1.00 36% 0.6 .22 17% .35 74% .26
Jan
28		 La Salle D+ F A+ F+ F+ 33% 20% 47% C- F+ B- B- B- B F A+ D+ B A B A+ A+ 39% 31% 31% B+ A+ C+ C- C D- C D- D+
1.05 41% 50% 29% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.2 .38 15% .15 100% .15 0.95 42% 33% 20% -14 -1 0.71 33% 1.0 .33 15% .34 78% .27
Jan
31		 George Washington B+ A+ F F B- 38% 25% 38% D+ C+ A+ C A+ C+ B- B+ B A+ A+ A B A+ 32% 19% 49% A+ A+ A+ F B+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.16 89% 17% 28% +3 -1 1.06 47% 1.1 .50 18% .30 76% .23 0.96 47% 30% 31% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 19% .22 58% .13
Feb
3		 Virginia Commonwealth F+ D F F F 47% 21% 32% C+ F C+ C+ C+ B+ D A C- A+ D+ A- C- B- 33% 31% 36% A+ B+ C D- D+ A+ F A+ F
0.92 48% 27% 18% -15 +1 0.74 31% 1.0 .31 14% .25 79% .20 0.98 62% 33% 36% +1 -2 1.00 35% 1.2 .42 23% .57 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 St. Bonaventure D+ B- D B C+ 35% 20% 46% C- C+ B+ F D- D C D- C- C- F F F F 30% 48% 23% A+ F D B C A+ A+ B+ A+
1.08 63% 33% 38% +3 0 1.09 34% 0.6 .22 19% .28 71% .20 1.13 69% 57% 50% +18 -4 1.30 39% 0.9 .35 27% .16 71% .11
Feb
10		 Saint Joseph's B A+ F F C 18% 36% 46% F D+ C- A+ A- A A+ A- A+ B A D F+ D+ 34% 11% 55% C D+ C+ B B- B- F A+ D
1.08 89% 28% 26% -4 -3 0.88 29% 1.4 .40 11% .37 76% .28 1.01 47% 40% 38% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .43 55% .23
Feb
14		 Rhode Island C F A+ C- D 44% 13% 44% B D+ D A+ B B B+ F C A- A+ D+ C B- 24% 28% 48% A+ B+ A+ F A- D F A+ D+
1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25 0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28
Feb
18		 Loyola Chicago F F D+ F F 36% 24% 40% D+ F C- A B- F A+ F A A C+ F A A- 39% 4% 57% D B A+ F A- B- F B+ F+
0.92 44% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.82 27% 1.3 .35 21% .51 59% .30 0.88 56% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.2 .18 21% .41 64% .26
Feb
21		 Davidson C- D A+ F C- 49% 18% 33% A- C+ D A+ B- C- A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C+ F C- 33% 23% 44% B- C C- A+ A- A+ D- A+ A+
1.05 53% 71% 23% -2 +1 1.00 24% 1.4 .34 18% .57 64% .37 0.98 43% 40% 47% +4 -1 1.09 31% 0.7 .23 23% .35 31% .11
Feb
28		 Virginia Commonwealth D F C+ F+ F 50% 10% 40% A F+ C- D- D B B+ B B+ C D C C- D+ 40% 10% 50% C- C- B D+ C+ C- C- A B-
0.92 38% 40% 29% -13 +2 0.81 27% 0.8 .23 15% .34 75% .26 1.20 65% 40% 36% +4 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .37 15% .40 65% .26
Mar
4		 La Salle A A- C C B 41% 14% 45% B- B A+ F B- A+ F A+ D- F C+ F A+ C 39% 18% 43% D+ C- F F F D- D- F F
1.24 67% 38% 35% +4 +1 1.12 41% 0.9 .37 7% .14 89% .13 1.29 53% 67% 24% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.7 .73 15% .40 91% .36



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 2.7 2.7 7th
8th 20.8 20.8 8th
9th 29.6 29.6 9th
10th 46.9 46.9 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 46.9 53.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 53.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.0
7-11 46.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 46.8
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.3 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 31.9%