Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#162
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#169
Pace72.9#84
Improvement+0.0#183

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#230
First Shot-1.6#230
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#203
Layup/Dunks-5.2#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#71
Freethrows-0.9#231
Improvement+0.1#155

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#116
First Shot+1.7#121
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#185
Layups/Dunks-3.9#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#74
Freethrows+1.3#108
Improvement-0.1#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.5 12.2
.500 or above 40.9% 51.6% 27.0%
.500 or above in Conference 30.8% 36.1% 23.9%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 12.2% 19.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 35 - 67 - 14
Quad 47 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 60-92 6%     0 - 1 -14.5 -8.7 -4.0
  Nov 09, 2024 88   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 19%     1 - 1 +10.0 -1.7 +11.8
  Nov 12, 2024 330   Binghamton W 78-63 87%     2 - 1 +2.4 -2.6 +4.7
  Nov 15, 2024 329   @ Manhattan L 76-78 73%     2 - 2 -8.5 -5.2 -3.2
  Nov 22, 2024 144   Drexel W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 25, 2024 32   Penn St. L 71-84 12%    
  Dec 01, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 04, 2024 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-72 92%    
  Dec 08, 2024 236   Maine W 70-63 72%    
  Dec 14, 2024 160   Bryant L 78-79 50%    
  Dec 21, 2024 246   Albany W 80-73 74%    
  Dec 31, 2024 100   Saint Louis L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 115   St. Bonaventure L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-77 13%    
  Jan 11, 2025 131   @ Davidson L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 128   Massachusetts W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 26, 2025 211   Duquesne W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 29, 2025 121   @ La Salle L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 05, 2025 113   Rhode Island L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 60   Dayton L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 201   @ Richmond L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 19, 2025 211   @ Duquesne L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 131   Davidson W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 26, 2025 92   @ George Mason L 65-74 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 99   Saint Joseph's L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 05, 2025 143   George Washington W 77-75 56%    
  Mar 08, 2025 113   @ Rhode Island L 74-81 28%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.7 1.6 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.6 2.7 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.9 1.4 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.7 2.4 0.2 10.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.1 14th
15th 0.3 1.2 2.6 3.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.1 15th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.3 6.0 8.9 11.2 13.0 13.1 12.2 10.2 7.9 5.6 3.5 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 79.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 43.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 34.4% 18.8% 15.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.2%
15-3 0.4% 20.2% 18.5% 1.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1%
14-4 1.1% 12.4% 12.0% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5%
13-5 1.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.5% 5.6% 5.6% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.3
11-7 5.6% 3.1% 3.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.4
10-8 7.9% 1.3% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.8
9-9 10.2% 1.0% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.1
8-10 12.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
7-11 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 13.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 8.9
3-15 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8 0.0%