Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#213
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#167
Pace66.6#243
Improvement-0.9#251

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#276
First Shot+0.7#148
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#358
Layup/Dunks+5.5#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#343
Freethrows-1.3#257
Improvement+1.3#82

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#135
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#199
Layups/Dunks-3.2#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#79
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement-2.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.9% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.1
.500 or above 83.8% 89.9% 74.6%
.500 or above in Conference 81.0% 83.6% 77.2%
Conference Champion 17.4% 19.7% 13.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 1.6%
First Four1.6% 1.2% 2.1%
First Round13.7% 15.3% 11.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 59.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 54 - 7
Quad 414 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 2%     0 - 1 -10.2 -1.3 -7.3
  Nov 10, 2024 159   @ Brown W 69-67 30%     1 - 1 +4.9 -0.9 +5.9
  Nov 15, 2024 238   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 44%     1 - 2 -4.0 -15.0 +10.9
  Nov 20, 2024 205   @ Richmond L 66-70 37%     1 - 3 -3.2 -2.8 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2024 330   Holy Cross W 80-55 84%     2 - 3 +12.0 +0.7 +11.9
  Nov 29, 2024 149   Elon W 69-56 38%     3 - 3 +13.5 +2.3 +12.3
  Nov 30, 2024 284   @ Penn L 64-77 54%     3 - 4 -16.6 -6.7 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2024 301   Navy W 71-66 68%     4 - 4 -2.5 -3.3 +1.0
  Dec 08, 2024 172   @ Fordham L 72-87 32%     4 - 5 -12.8 -5.5 -5.8
  Dec 11, 2024 198   @ Duquesne W 61-56 35%     5 - 5 +6.3 -0.4 +7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 352   @ Canisius W 84-79 75%     6 - 5 -4.7 +11.5 -15.8
  Dec 21, 2024 309   @ Stony Brook W 69-66 60%    
  Dec 29, 2024 252   Boston University W 68-62 70%    
  Jan 04, 2025 176   @ Bryant L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 09, 2025 310   Binghamton W 71-62 79%    
  Jan 11, 2025 248   Albany W 75-70 69%    
  Jan 16, 2025 351   @ NJIT W 68-61 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 255   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 151   @ Umass Lowell L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 30, 2025 354   New Hampshire W 73-60 89%    
  Feb 01, 2025 194   @ Vermont L 59-63 36%    
  Feb 06, 2025 351   NJIT W 71-58 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 255   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 194   Vermont W 62-60 57%    
  Feb 20, 2025 248   @ Albany L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 310   @ Binghamton W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 354   @ New Hampshire W 70-63 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 176   Bryant W 76-75 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 151   Umass Lowell W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.4 5.4 3.0 0.9 0.1 17.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.6 7.5 5.1 1.2 0.1 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.2 8.6 4.4 0.6 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.8 7.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 16.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.3 2.9 0.2 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.3 2.0 0.2 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.4 9.1 12.6 15.5 16.4 14.5 11.2 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 97.0% 3.0    2.6 0.4 0.0
13-3 81.3% 5.4    3.6 1.7 0.1
12-4 48.5% 5.4    2.0 2.6 0.7 0.0
11-5 15.1% 2.2    0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.4% 17.4 9.7 5.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 49.3% 49.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.9% 37.4% 37.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-2 3.0% 31.9% 31.9% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1
13-3 6.6% 29.1% 29.1% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 4.7
12-4 11.2% 23.9% 23.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.2 8.5
11-5 14.5% 19.1% 19.1% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.7 11.7
10-6 16.4% 13.2% 13.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.8 14.2
9-7 15.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.5 0.1 0.7 0.9 13.9
8-8 12.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 11.7
7-9 9.1% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 8.5
6-10 5.4% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.2
5-11 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.7
4-12 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 6.0 4.2 85.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 11.8 26.1 65.2 8.7