Stony Brook
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#287
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#125
Pace67.9#222
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#318
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.9% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 17.0% 30.6% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 26.3% 35.7% 23.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 14.9% 9.8% 16.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 48 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 29   @ Marquette L 62-102 3%     0 - 1 -24.5 -2.3 -22.4
  Nov 07, 2024 201   @ Central Michigan W 73-72 24%     1 - 1 +1.7 +4.6 -2.9
  Nov 11, 2024 95   @ George Mason L 56-94 9%     1 - 2 -29.6 -11.2 -18.6
  Nov 20, 2024 110   Yale L 70-77 24%    
  Nov 23, 2024 182   @ Columbia L 72-80 22%    
  Nov 27, 2024 199   @ Brown L 67-74 25%    
  Dec 01, 2024 230   Norfolk St. L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 07, 2024 286   Air Force L 66-67 50%    
  Dec 14, 2024 227   @ Rider L 69-75 28%    
  Dec 17, 2024 226   Marist L 67-68 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 243   Maine W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 29, 2024 253   @ Albany L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 02, 2025 285   @ Monmouth L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 04, 2025 244   William & Mary W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 09, 2025 137   Drexel L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 170   Northeastern L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 16, 2025 204   @ Delaware L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 134   @ Towson L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 23, 2025 304   Campbell W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 300   N.C. A&T W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 30, 2025 100   @ College of Charleston L 73-88 11%    
  Feb 01, 2025 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 06, 2025 134   Towson L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 13, 2025 285   Monmouth W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 20, 2025 323   @ Hampton L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 300   @ N.C. A&T L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 27, 2025 131   Hofstra L 67-72 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 272   Elon W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.8 1.1 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 4.7 1.9 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 5.1 3.2 0.4 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 1.2 4.8 4.5 0.8 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.0 1.3 0.1 11.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.8 5.3 1.9 0.1 12.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.0 1.8 0.2 10.5 13th
14th 0.4 1.5 2.7 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.7 14th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.9 7.0 9.8 12.5 13.6 13.3 11.7 9.3 7.0 4.7 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 80.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 67.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.2% 19.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 11.6% 11.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 14.6% 14.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 9.5% 9.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-6 2.7% 6.0% 6.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 4.7% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 7.0% 2.2% 2.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.8
9-9 9.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2
8-10 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-11 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
3-15 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 98.9 0.0%