IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#201
Expected Predictive Rating	+4.2	#112

Pace	67.1	#253
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#276

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.9	#139

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.7%	9.6%	6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.5	14.1

.500 or above	45.5%	68.1%	41.7%
.500 or above in Conference	67.3%	78.5%	65.5%
Conference Champion	8.4%	12.8%	7.6%
Last Place in Conference	3.5%	1.4%	3.8%

First Four	0.4%	0.1%	0.4%
First Round	6.5%	9.5%	6.0%
Second Round	0.5%	0.8%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 5	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	198	@ South Alabama	W	74-70	38%	1 - 0			+4.7	+4.6	+0.2
Nov 07, 2024	287	Stony Brook	L	72-73	76%	1 - 1			-10.6	-4.5	-6.1
Nov 11, 2024	29	@ Marquette	L	62-70	6%	1 - 2			+7.5	-5.9	+13.9
Nov 13, 2024	95	@ George Mason	W	70-69	16%	2 - 2			+9.4	+2.9	+6.5
Nov 25, 2024	88	@ Minnesota	L	61-72	14%
Dec 14, 2024	278	@ Valparaiso	W	70-69	53%
Dec 17, 2024	26	Mississippi St.	L	63-78	9%
Dec 21, 2024	8	@ Arizona	L	62-85	2%
Jan 04, 2025	158	Ohio	W	72-71	51%
Jan 07, 2025	135	@ Akron	L	65-72	27%
Jan 11, 2025	149	@ Toledo	L	70-76	29%
Jan 14, 2025	298	Eastern Michigan	W	69-61	75%
Jan 18, 2025	294	@ Northern Illinois	W	70-68	56%
Jan 21, 2025	224	Ball St.	W	70-66	63%
Jan 25, 2025	311	Western Michigan	W	73-64	78%
Jan 28, 2025	315	@ Buffalo	W	74-71	61%
Feb 01, 2025	270	Bowling Green	W	73-67	71%
Feb 04, 2025	213	Miami (OH)	W	70-66	62%
Feb 11, 2025	122	@ Kent St.	L	63-71	24%
Feb 15, 2025	135	Akron	L	68-69	48%
Feb 18, 2025	158	@ Ohio	L	69-75	31%
Feb 22, 2025	311	@ Western Michigan	W	70-67	59%
Feb 25, 2025	315	Buffalo	W	77-68	78%
Mar 01, 2025	298	@ Eastern Michigan	W	66-64	56%
Mar 04, 2025	224	@ Ball St.	L	67-69	43%
Mar 07, 2025	294	Northern Illinois	W	73-65	74%
Projected Record						13 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	2.2	1.3	0.5	0.1		8.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	2.6	4.3	2.8	0.9	0.1	0.0			11.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	3.4	4.8	2.6	0.4	0.0					12.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	3.4	5.2	2.5	0.4	0.0						11.9	4th
5th									0.3	2.9	5.6	2.7	0.3	0.0							11.8	5th
6th								0.1	2.4	5.2	2.9	0.3									10.9	6th
7th							0.1	1.4	4.6	3.0	0.4	0.0									9.5	7th
8th						0.0	1.0	3.4	2.8	0.5	0.0										7.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.7	2.6	2.7	0.6	0.0											6.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.5	1.8	1.9	0.5	0.0												4.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.1	0.4	0.0													3.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0														1.8	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.1	3.8	6.0	8.3	10.8	12.1	12.9	12.3	10.5	8.7	5.7	3.2	1.4	0.5	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.4%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	92.1%	1.3		1.1	0.2	0.0
15-3	70.0%	2.2		1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.7%	2.4		1.0	1.0	0.4	0.0
13-5	16.6%	1.4		0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.4%	8.4		4.6	2.6	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		22.2%	22.2%		11.8												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-1	0.5%		37.7%	37.7%		12.1									0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.3
16-2	1.4%		26.2%	26.2%		12.6												0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.1
15-3	3.2%		22.9%	22.9%		13.1												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.5
14-4	5.7%		17.5%	17.5%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1		4.7
13-5	8.7%		14.4%	14.4%		13.8													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	7.5
12-6	10.5%		9.4%	9.4%		14.1													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	9.5
11-7	12.3%		7.4%	7.4%		14.5														0.1	0.3	0.5	0.1	11.4
10-8	12.9%		4.5%	4.5%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.1	12.3
9-9	12.1%		3.2%	3.2%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	11.7
8-10	10.8%		1.7%	1.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	10.6
7-11	8.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
6-12	6.0%																							6.0
5-13	3.8%																							3.8
4-14	2.1%																							2.1
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	14.0									0.0	0.0		0.1	0.6	1.7	1.9	1.7	0.7	93.4		0.0%