Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#225
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Pace65.7#250
Improvement-4.4#344

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#274
First Shot-3.9#290
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#174
Layup/Dunks+0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#295
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-2.1#298

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#168
First Shot-0.2#189
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#150
Layups/Dunks+4.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#337
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement-2.3#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.3% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 25.5% 32.5% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 67.2% 77.0% 47.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 1.3%
First Round4.3% 4.9% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 22 - 22 - 5
Quad 32 - 64 - 11
Quad 49 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 126   @ South Alabama W 74-70 20%     1 - 0 +9.1 +7.5 +1.7
  Nov 07, 2024 320   Stony Brook L 72-73 78%     1 - 1 -13.0 -5.6 -7.4
  Nov 11, 2024 20   @ Marquette L 62-70 3%     1 - 2 +10.3 -4.8 +15.5
  Nov 13, 2024 86   @ George Mason W 70-69 12%     2 - 2 +10.3 +5.7 +4.6
  Nov 25, 2024 98   @ Minnesota L 65-68 14%     2 - 3 +4.8 +0.9 +3.7
  Dec 14, 2024 214   @ Valparaiso L 77-93 36%     2 - 4 -16.1 -4.9 -9.4
  Dec 17, 2024 23   Mississippi St. L 59-83 5%     2 - 5 -8.9 -2.2 -8.9
  Dec 21, 2024 13   @ Arizona L 41-94 3%     2 - 6 -33.3 -22.5 -10.9
  Jan 04, 2025 147   Ohio L 55-57 42%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -3.6 -17.0 +13.3
  Jan 07, 2025 124   @ Akron L 71-87 20%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -10.7 +4.1 -15.7
  Jan 10, 2025 194   @ Toledo L 67-69 32%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -0.8 -2.1 +1.1
  Jan 14, 2025 313   Eastern Michigan W 82-63 77%     3 - 9 1 - 3 +7.6 +5.3 +2.9
  Jan 18, 2025 356   @ Northern Illinois W 71-66 76%     4 - 9 2 - 3 -6.0 +1.7 -7.2
  Jan 21, 2025 250   Ball St. W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 304   Western Michigan W 74-67 75%    
  Jan 28, 2025 329   @ Buffalo W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 01, 2025 285   Bowling Green W 73-67 72%    
  Feb 04, 2025 153   Miami (OH) L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 167   Texas St. L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 11, 2025 159   @ Kent St. L 60-67 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 124   Akron L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 18, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 304   @ Western Michigan W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 25, 2025 329   Buffalo W 76-66 82%    
  Mar 01, 2025 313   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 04, 2025 250   @ Ball St. L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 07, 2025 356   Northern Illinois W 76-63 88%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 3.7 1.9 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 7.3 3.8 0.3 14.8 4th
5th 0.6 5.1 9.7 5.5 0.6 0.0 21.5 5th
6th 0.4 3.9 8.8 5.4 0.5 18.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 7.4 4.5 0.5 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.4 3.1 0.4 9.1 8th
9th 0.4 2.3 2.3 0.2 5.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.3 2.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 5.0 10.0 15.2 19.2 18.7 15.2 8.8 3.9 1.1 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 73.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1
14-4 35.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.1% 12.3% 12.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 3.9% 13.3% 13.3% 14.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.4
12-6 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 8.0
11-7 15.2% 5.7% 5.7% 14.9 0.1 0.7 0.1 14.4
10-8 18.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 17.7
9-9 19.2% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.1 0.7 18.4
8-10 15.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 14.8
7-11 10.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-12 5.0% 5.0
5-13 1.9% 1.9
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 1.6 95.3 0.0%