Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#219
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#188
Pace73.2#73
Improvement-2.8#330

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#273
First Shot-3.9#294
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#154
Layup/Dunks+0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement-1.9#317

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#146
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#80
Layups/Dunks+6.1#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#336
Freethrows-2.7#332
Improvement-0.9#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 12.5% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.5 14.4
.500 or above 43.5% 71.3% 41.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.8% 86.2% 72.9%
Conference Champion 10.0% 17.8% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.7% 2.3%
First Four0.6% 0.2% 0.7%
First Round7.7% 12.4% 7.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Neutral) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 32 - 44 - 9
Quad 49 - 513 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 201   @ South Alabama W 74-70 35%     1 - 0 +5.2 +4.5 +0.8
  Nov 07, 2024 309   Stony Brook L 72-73 78%     1 - 1 -12.1 -4.0 -8.1
  Nov 11, 2024 13   @ Marquette L 62-70 4%     1 - 2 +10.3 -5.3 +16.0
  Nov 13, 2024 83   @ George Mason W 70-69 13%     2 - 2 +10.6 +4.5 +6.2
  Nov 25, 2024 114   @ Minnesota L 65-68 19%     2 - 3 +3.3 +1.2 +1.9
  Dec 14, 2024 227   @ Valparaiso L 77-93 41%     2 - 4 -16.5 -6.3 -8.3
  Dec 17, 2024 28   Mississippi St. L 66-82 7%    
  Dec 21, 2024 21   @ Arizona L 67-87 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 161   Ohio W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 07, 2025 146   @ Akron L 75-81 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 206   @ Toledo L 77-81 37%    
  Jan 14, 2025 317   Eastern Michigan W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 18, 2025 344   @ Northern Illinois W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 21, 2025 285   Ball St. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 295   Western Michigan W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 28, 2025 324   @ Buffalo W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 265   Bowling Green W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 04, 2025 195   Miami (OH) W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 11, 2025 115   @ Kent St. L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 146   Akron L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 18, 2025 161   @ Ohio L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 295   @ Western Michigan W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 324   Buffalo W 78-69 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 317   @ Eastern Michigan W 74-71 60%    
  Mar 04, 2025 285   @ Ball St. W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 07, 2025 344   Northern Illinois W 78-66 85%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 10.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.1 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 5.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 5.8 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.6 7.2 9.8 11.9 13.5 13.5 12.0 9.9 6.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.9% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 93.4% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 76.1% 2.9    1.8 1.0 0.1
14-4 43.3% 2.9    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0
13-5 16.1% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.0% 10.0 5.3 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 34.8% 34.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.5% 40.3% 40.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 31.5% 31.5% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-3 3.8% 23.1% 23.1% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.9
14-4 6.8% 17.8% 17.8% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.6
13-5 9.9% 14.0% 14.0% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 8.5
12-6 12.0% 10.9% 10.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 10.7
11-7 13.5% 7.7% 7.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 12.5
10-8 13.5% 5.6% 5.6% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 12.8
9-9 11.9% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.5
8-10 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 9.6
7-11 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.1
6-12 4.6% 4.6
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.2 2.5 1.3 92.1 0.0%