Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#317
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#253
Pace68.8#186
Improvement-1.6#282

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#287
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#241
Layup/Dunks-4.5#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#253
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+2.0#40

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#322
First Shot-5.1#335
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#164
Layups/Dunks+1.2#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#311
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement-3.6#356
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 7.5% 15.5% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 16.4% 22.5% 14.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 23.8% 17.9% 25.7%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 24.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 810 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 138   @ Texas St. L 44-64 12%     0 - 1 -15.8 -23.2 +5.5
  Nov 14, 2024 353   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 54%     1 - 1 -6.8 -6.1 -0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 241   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 23%     1 - 2 -9.2 -4.0 -5.6
  Nov 21, 2024 166   @ Oakland W 68-64 15%     2 - 2 +6.5 +5.7 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2024 356   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 55%     3 - 2 -9.1 -1.1 -7.9
  Nov 26, 2024 286   Northern Arizona W 72-68 42%     4 - 2 -2.7 -4.9 +2.3
  Nov 30, 2024 320   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 62%     4 - 3 -20.8 +0.1 -19.9
  Dec 03, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 7%     4 - 4 -14.2 -7.1 -9.6
  Dec 15, 2024 152   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 28%     4 - 5 -29.7 -0.2 -24.6
  Dec 21, 2024 133   Wright St. L 73-80 25%    
  Dec 28, 2024 124   @ Davidson L 67-81 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 344   Northern Illinois W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 07, 2025 206   @ Toledo L 74-83 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 146   Akron L 75-81 28%    
  Jan 14, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 265   @ Bowling Green L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 21, 2025 161   Ohio L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 324   Buffalo W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 28, 2025 195   @ Miami (OH) L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 295   @ Western Michigan L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 04, 2025 115   Kent St. L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 11, 2025 285   @ Ball St. L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 206   Toledo L 77-80 38%    
  Feb 18, 2025 195   Miami (OH) L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 344   @ Northern Illinois L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 25, 2025 265   Bowling Green L 75-76 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 219   Central Michigan L 71-74 40%    
  Mar 04, 2025 161   @ Ohio L 71-83 15%    
  Mar 07, 2025 115   @ Kent St. L 59-74 9%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.3 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.2 0.9 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.5 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.5 4.4 0.7 0.0 14.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.2 7.1 5.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 17.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 3.8 6.7 4.4 1.0 0.1 17.0 11th
12th 0.4 1.9 4.1 4.9 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 14.7 12th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.0 9.3 12.9 15.0 15.3 13.2 10.6 7.4 4.4 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 91.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 45.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 2.3% 2.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
10-8 4.4% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.3
9-9 7.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.3
8-10 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.5
7-11 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.1
6-12 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.2
5-13 15.0% 15.0
4-14 12.9% 12.9
3-15 9.3% 9.3
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%