Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#313
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#233
Pace70.2#136
Improvement-1.1#234

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#268
First Shot-3.4#277
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#196
Layup/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#227
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement+1.6#84

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#325
First Shot-5.0#326
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#201
Layups/Dunks+0.1#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows-0.8#247
Improvement-2.8#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 6.0% 13.4% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 13.7% 27.0% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 2.5% 8.3%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Home) - 25.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 102 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 167   @ Texas St. L 44-64 15%     0 - 1 -17.5 -25.5 +6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 326   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 45%     1 - 1 -4.5 -6.0 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 173   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 15%     1 - 2 -5.7 -4.4 -1.8
  Nov 21, 2024 178   @ Oakland W 68-64 16%     2 - 2 +5.9 +4.0 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2024 316   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 40%     3 - 2 -5.1 +2.2 -7.3
  Nov 26, 2024 264   Northern Arizona W 72-68 39%     4 - 2 -1.8 -3.3 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2024 331   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 68%     4 - 3 -22.4 +0.1 -21.4
  Dec 03, 2024 136   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 12%     4 - 4 -17.6 -10.4 -9.7
  Dec 15, 2024 145   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 24%     4 - 5 -28.4 +0.8 -24.4
  Dec 21, 2024 177   Wright St. W 86-82 31%     5 - 5 +0.5 +10.0 -9.5
  Dec 28, 2024 121   @ Davidson L 64-86 10%     5 - 6 -16.6 -7.6 -9.4
  Jan 04, 2025 356   Northern Illinois W 75-71 77%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -12.5 -6.5 -6.1
  Jan 07, 2025 194   @ Toledo L 87-90 18%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -1.8 +4.3 -5.9
  Jan 11, 2025 124   Akron L 81-105 21%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -24.2 +0.8 -23.0
  Jan 14, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 63-82 23%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -19.9 -6.3 -14.2
  Jan 18, 2025 285   @ Bowling Green W 68-62 34%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +1.6 -4.7 +6.5
  Jan 21, 2025 147   Ohio L 74-81 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 329   Buffalo W 78-73 68%    
  Jan 28, 2025 153   @ Miami (OH) L 69-81 12%    
  Feb 01, 2025 304   @ Western Michigan L 74-77 36%    
  Feb 04, 2025 159   Kent St. L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 283   Old Dominion W 73-72 56%    
  Feb 11, 2025 250   @ Ball St. L 71-77 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 194   Toledo L 78-82 35%    
  Feb 18, 2025 153   Miami (OH) L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 356   @ Northern Illinois W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 25, 2025 285   Bowling Green W 76-75 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 225   Central Michigan L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 04, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 71-84 12%    
  Mar 07, 2025 159   @ Kent St. L 63-75 14%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.9 4th
5th 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.4 2.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.4 3.4 6.1 2.3 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.5 4.5 9.0 4.4 0.3 18.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 5.0 10.7 5.5 0.6 22.3 9th
10th 0.6 4.0 8.9 5.1 0.7 0.0 19.2 10th
11th 0.2 2.4 5.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.3 12th
Total 0.6 4.1 10.6 17.0 21.0 18.9 14.1 8.2 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 11.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 3.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.5
9-9 8.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.1
8-10 14.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.9
7-11 18.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.9
6-12 21.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 20.9
5-13 17.0% 17.0
4-14 10.6% 10.6
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%