Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#195
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#118
Pace68.2#202
Improvement-0.1#196

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#228
First Shot-1.1#201
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#235
Layup/Dunks-4.1#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#51
Freethrows-4.1#351
Improvement-1.4#290

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#161
First Shot-0.2#175
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#140
Layups/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#323
Freethrows+3.1#23
Improvement+1.3#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 12.8% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 85.2% 94.3% 79.3%
.500 or above in Conference 82.4% 87.1% 79.4%
Conference Champion 13.7% 17.3% 11.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round10.6% 12.8% 9.2%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 38.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 414 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 171   @ Appalachian St. W 77-63 35%     1 - 0 +16.3 +6.7 +9.3
  Nov 09, 2024 133   Wright St. L 68-81 50%     1 - 1 -14.5 -9.7 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-70 92%     2 - 1 +1.0 +15.9 -13.0
  Nov 18, 2024 20   @ Michigan L 67-94 5%     2 - 2 -9.6 +0.5 -9.0
  Nov 25, 2024 283   Siena W 70-58 68%     3 - 2 +5.4 -1.2 +7.3
  Nov 26, 2024 229   Mercer W 75-72 58%     4 - 2 -0.6 -4.9 +4.1
  Dec 02, 2024 267   Air Force W 73-60 75%     5 - 2 +4.3 +5.1 +0.8
  Dec 06, 2024 46   @ Indiana L 57-76 8%     5 - 3 -5.2 -7.4 +1.4
  Dec 18, 2024 194   @ Vermont L 62-65 39%    
  Dec 22, 2024 277   Sacred Heart W 77-70 76%    
  Jan 04, 2025 324   Buffalo W 78-67 84%    
  Jan 07, 2025 285   @ Ball St. W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 295   Western Michigan W 75-67 78%    
  Jan 14, 2025 344   @ Northern Illinois W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 115   @ Kent St. L 61-69 23%    
  Jan 21, 2025 265   Bowling Green W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 146   @ Akron L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 28, 2025 317   Eastern Michigan W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 161   Ohio W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 11, 2025 206   Toledo W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 295   @ Western Michigan W 72-70 59%    
  Feb 18, 2025 317   @ Eastern Michigan W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 115   Kent St. L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 344   Northern Illinois W 77-64 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 161   @ Ohio L 73-77 34%    
  Mar 04, 2025 324   @ Buffalo W 75-70 66%    
  Mar 07, 2025 285   Ball St. W 74-66 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.1 3.9 2.3 0.8 0.2 13.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.0 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.8 7.8 11.0 13.1 14.7 14.3 11.9 8.9 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.8% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 95.0% 2.3    2.0 0.3 0.0
15-3 76.1% 3.9    2.6 1.2 0.1
14-4 45.8% 4.1    1.8 1.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 16.6% 2.0    0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.7% 13.7 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 34.7% 34.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 39.9% 39.9% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.4% 33.2% 33.2% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-3 5.2% 24.9% 24.9% 13.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.9
14-4 8.9% 20.8% 20.8% 13.6 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.1
13-5 11.9% 15.4% 15.4% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 10.0
12-6 14.3% 11.6% 11.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 12.7
11-7 14.7% 8.2% 8.2% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 13.5
10-8 13.1% 6.8% 6.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 12.2
9-9 11.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 10.5
8-10 7.8% 2.8% 2.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.6
7-11 4.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.8
6-12 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.7 3.7 2.7 0.7 89.3 0.0%