IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Indiana
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.8	#24
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.7	#159

Pace	70.5	#142
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.4	#32

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.4	#22

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
#1 Seed	3.4%	4.1%	1.2%
Top 2 Seed	8.3%	9.9%	3.3%
Top 4 Seed	22.0%	25.7%	10.6%
Top 6 Seed	37.0%	42.2%	21.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	67.5%	72.8%	51.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	64.6%	70.1%	48.7%
Average Seed	6.1	5.9	6.9

.500 or above	87.2%	91.4%	74.5%
.500 or above in Conference	67.2%	71.3%	54.6%
Conference Champion	10.7%	12.3%	5.9%
Last Place in Conference	3.4%	2.5%	6.3%

First Four	3.6%	3.4%	4.2%
First Round	65.6%	71.0%	49.1%
Second Round	45.2%	49.9%	30.8%
Sweet Sixteen	22.5%	25.5%	13.5%
Elite Eight	10.2%	11.8%	5.6%
Final Four	4.5%	5.3%	2.2%
Championship Game	2.0%	2.4%	0.8%
National Champion	0.8%	1.0%	0.4%

Next Game: South Carolina (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 5	2 - 5
Quad 1b	3 - 3	6 - 8
Quad 2	5 - 2	11 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 1	15 - 11
Quad 4	5 - 0	20 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	293	SIU Edwardsville	W	80-61	97%	1 - 0			+9.1	+0.1	+8.3
Nov 10, 2024	336	Eastern Illinois	W	90-55	98%	2 - 0			+21.4	+9.2	+11.2
Nov 16, 2024	64	South Carolina	W	74-67	75%
Nov 21, 2024	174	UNC Greensboro	W	78-61	94%
Nov 27, 2024	49	Louisville	W	77-74	61%
Dec 03, 2024	123	Sam Houston St.	W	82-69	88%
Dec 06, 2024	213	Miami (OH)	W	81-62	96%
Dec 09, 2024	88	Minnesota	W	75-65	81%
Dec 13, 2024	67	@ Nebraska	W	73-71	56%
Dec 21, 2024	179	Chattanooga	W	81-64	93%
Dec 29, 2024	163	Winthrop	W	79-63	92%
Jan 02, 2025	37	Rutgers	W	73-68	66%
Jan 05, 2025	36	@ Penn St.	L	76-77	45%
Jan 08, 2025	65	USC	W	78-71	74%
Jan 11, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	81-82	49%
Jan 14, 2025	20	Illinois	W	77-74	59%
Jan 17, 2025	17	@ Ohio St.	L	69-73	36%
Jan 22, 2025	50	@ Northwestern	W	70-69	51%
Jan 26, 2025	31	Maryland	W	71-67	62%
Jan 31, 2025	15	@ Purdue	L	71-76	35%
Feb 04, 2025	38	@ Wisconsin	L	70-71	46%
Feb 08, 2025	25	Michigan	W	75-72	61%
Feb 11, 2025	27	@ Michigan St.	L	71-74	40%
Feb 14, 2025	30	UCLA	W	68-65	62%
Feb 23, 2025	15	Purdue	W	74-73	55%
Feb 26, 2025	36	Penn St.	W	79-74	65%
Mar 01, 2025	79	@ Washington	W	76-74	59%
Mar 04, 2025	39	@ Oregon	L	71-72	47%
Mar 08, 2025	17	Ohio St.	W	72-70	56%
Projected Record						19 - 10	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.8	2.3	3.0	2.4	1.5	0.6	0.1		10.7	1st
2nd													0.0	0.9	2.9	3.1	1.5	0.4	0.1				8.9	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.5	2.8	3.1	1.2	0.1	0.0					7.9	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	2.1	3.6	1.4	0.2	0.0						7.5	4th
5th											0.0	0.9	3.7	2.1	0.3	0.0							7.0	5th
6th											0.3	2.8	3.2	0.6	0.0								6.8	6th
7th										0.0	1.2	3.5	1.1	0.1	0.0								5.9	7th
8th									0.0	0.3	3.1	2.5	0.3	0.0									6.2	8th
9th									0.1	1.4	3.4	0.8	0.0										5.6	9th
10th								0.0	0.4	2.8	1.8	0.1											5.1	10th
11th							0.0	0.1	1.5	2.6	0.5	0.0											4.7	11th
12th							0.0	0.6	2.5	1.4	0.1												4.5	12th
13th						0.0	0.2	1.6	2.4	0.3													4.5	13th
14th						0.1	0.8	2.2	0.9	0.0													4.0	14th
15th					0.0	0.5	1.6	1.3	0.2														3.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.2	0.3	0.0													2.8	16th
17th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.4	0.1														2.6	17th
18th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0														1.7	18th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	2.8	4.3	6.1	7.8	8.9	10.4	10.7	10.9	10.2	8.5	6.8	4.7	2.8	1.6	0.6	0.1		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
18-2	95.7%	1.5		1.4	0.1
17-3	85.7%	2.4		1.8	0.5	0.0	0.0
16-4	64.5%	3.0		1.8	1.0	0.2	0.0
15-5	33.9%	2.3		0.7	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.9%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	10.7%	10.7		6.5	2.9	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		100.0%	52.9%	47.1%	1.2		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.6%		100.0%	47.5%	52.5%	1.3		0.4	0.2	0.0																100.0%
18-2	1.6%		100.0%	36.1%	63.9%	1.6		0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	2.8%		100.0%	33.6%	66.4%	2.0		0.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	4.7%		100.0%	26.4%	73.6%	2.7		0.8	1.4	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0												100.0%
15-5	6.8%		100.0%	18.7%	81.3%	3.6		0.3	0.9	2.0	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0											100.0%
14-6	8.5%		99.9%	15.3%	84.6%	4.6		0.1	0.5	1.3	2.3	2.1	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.9%
13-7	10.2%		99.3%	9.2%	90.1%	5.8		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.1	2.5	2.0	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0						0.1		99.2%
12-8	10.9%		96.3%	6.2%	90.2%	6.9			0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.0	2.5	2.1	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0					0.4		96.1%
11-9	10.7%		88.5%	4.3%	84.2%	8.0				0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.8	2.3	2.0	1.2	0.6	0.0					1.2		88.0%
10-10	10.4%		73.4%	2.6%	70.7%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.5	1.8	1.8	1.2	0.1					2.8		72.6%
9-11	8.9%		40.9%	1.5%	39.4%	10.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.0	1.3	0.3					5.3		40.0%
8-12	7.8%		12.8%	0.4%	12.4%	10.8						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0				6.8		12.5%
7-13	6.1%		2.1%	0.1%	2.0%	11.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				6.0		2.0%
6-14	4.3%		0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	11.0												0.0						4.3		0.1%
5-15	2.8%																							2.8
4-16	1.7%																							1.7
3-17	0.8%																							0.8
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		67.5%	8.2%	59.3%	6.1		3.4	4.9	6.4	7.3	7.5	7.6	7.8	7.3	6.0	4.8	3.9	0.7	0.0				32.5		64.6%