Providence
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#84
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#133
Pace65.7#287
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#156
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#26
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.2% 3.4% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 19.2% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.0% 17.6% 6.3%
Average Seed 8.8 8.7 9.6
.500 or above 57.8% 59.4% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 36.5% 20.3%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 11.7% 21.0%
First Four3.8% 3.9% 1.7%
First Round16.5% 17.1% 6.3%
Second Round8.1% 8.4% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 2.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 94.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 24 - 56 - 13
Quad 35 - 211 - 15
Quad 45 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 235   Central Connecticut St. W 59-55 89%     1 - 0 -2.4 -9.0 +7.0
  Nov 09, 2024 359   Stonehill W 76-49 98%     2 - 0 +9.6 -5.8 +14.6
  Nov 12, 2024 323   Hampton W 60-51 95%     3 - 0 -3.1 -8.1 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 290   Green Bay W 79-62 94%    
  Nov 19, 2024 344   Delaware St. W 77-55 98%    
  Nov 27, 2024 52   Oklahoma L 65-67 41%    
  Dec 03, 2024 32   BYU L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 07, 2024 116   @ Rhode Island W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 10, 2024 114   @ DePaul W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 14, 2024 113   St. Bonaventure W 67-64 62%    
  Dec 20, 2024 18   St. John's L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 31, 2024 29   Marquette L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 05, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 57-73 8%    
  Jan 08, 2025 93   Butler W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 97   Seton Hall W 63-58 66%    
  Jan 14, 2025 16   @ Creighton L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 17, 2025 77   @ Villanova L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 105   Georgetown W 71-66 68%    
  Jan 28, 2025 97   @ Seton Hall L 60-61 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 05, 2025 16   Creighton L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 93   @ Butler L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 12, 2025 41   Xavier L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 77   Villanova W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 105   @ Georgetown L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 25, 2025 29   @ Marquette L 64-73 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 1   Connecticut L 60-70 18%    
  Mar 05, 2025 114   DePaul W 72-66 71%    
  Mar 08, 2025 41   @ Xavier L 69-76 28%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.4 3.8 0.8 0.1 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.9 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.3 5.6 8.3 10.1 11.2 12.1 11.7 10.4 8.6 6.4 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 73.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 43.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
15-5 18.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 4.2% 95.8% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 98.8% 22.1% 76.7% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
16-4 0.8% 99.1% 14.2% 85.0% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
15-5 1.6% 97.1% 13.1% 84.0% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7%
14-6 2.9% 91.5% 10.2% 81.3% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 90.5%
13-7 4.4% 76.9% 6.2% 70.7% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.0 75.4%
12-8 6.4% 58.2% 3.8% 54.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.1 2.7 56.5%
11-9 8.6% 38.3% 2.5% 35.8% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.2 5.3 36.7%
10-10 10.4% 17.6% 1.5% 16.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.2 8.5 16.3%
9-11 11.7% 5.3% 1.1% 4.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 11.0 4.3%
8-12 12.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9 0.7%
7-13 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
6-14 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
5-15 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 8.3
4-16 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-17 3.3% 3.3
2-18 1.7% 1.7
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 18.5% 1.9% 16.7% 8.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.5 17.0%