Villanova
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#77
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#272
Pace64.5#317
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#58
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#96
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.1% 3.1% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.0% 19.3% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.2% 17.2% 7.1%
Average Seed 8.8 8.7 9.1
.500 or above 47.0% 59.4% 34.6%
.500 or above in Conference 38.3% 44.6% 31.9%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 7.8% 12.7%
First Four2.5% 3.2% 1.7%
First Round12.7% 17.7% 7.7%
Second Round6.4% 9.1% 3.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Neutral) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 13
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 45 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 216   Lafayette W 75-63 89%     1 - 0 +6.0 +3.2 +3.1
  Nov 06, 2024 182   Columbia L 80-90 86%     1 - 1 -14.2 +4.8 -19.4
  Nov 08, 2024 354   NJIT W 91-54 98%     2 - 1 +20.3 +26.2 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2024 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-83 49%     2 - 2 +0.7 +2.4 -1.2
  Nov 15, 2024 78   Virginia W 61-60 50%    
  Nov 19, 2024 208   Penn W 77-64 89%    
  Nov 24, 2024 31   Maryland L 65-70 33%    
  Nov 27, 2024 227   Rider W 78-64 90%    
  Dec 03, 2024 22   Cincinnati L 69-72 41%    
  Dec 11, 2024 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-64 98%    
  Dec 17, 2024 97   Seton Hall W 66-61 68%    
  Dec 21, 2024 16   @ Creighton L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 01, 2025 93   @ Butler L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 114   DePaul W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 08, 2025 1   Connecticut L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 14, 2025 41   @ Xavier L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 17, 2025 84   Providence W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 20, 2025 105   Georgetown W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 24, 2025 29   @ Marquette L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 16   Creighton L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 114   @ DePaul W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 09, 2025 41   Xavier L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 18   St. John's L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 84   @ Providence L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 18, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 60-76 8%    
  Feb 21, 2025 29   Marquette L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 26, 2025 97   @ Seton Hall L 63-64 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 93   Butler W 74-69 66%    
  Mar 04, 2025 105   @ Georgetown L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.1 3.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.9 1.5 0.2 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 4.1 1.0 0.1 13.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.3 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.9 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.8 7.3 9.3 11.5 12.1 12.3 11.0 9.0 7.2 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 84.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 68.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1
16-4 45.4% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 17.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 98.1% 18.4% 79.6% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
16-4 0.8% 99.2% 15.5% 83.6% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
15-5 1.7% 93.1% 13.6% 79.5% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.0%
14-6 3.1% 79.7% 9.1% 70.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 77.7%
13-7 4.9% 63.7% 6.6% 57.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.8 61.2%
12-8 7.2% 37.0% 4.6% 32.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.1 4.5 33.9%
11-9 9.0% 18.1% 2.3% 15.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.4 16.2%
10-10 11.0% 7.4% 1.9% 5.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.2 5.6%
9-11 12.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.1 0.8%
8-12 12.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1 0.1%
7-13 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-14 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 9.3
5-15 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-16 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-17 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.0% 2.1% 11.9% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.0 12.2%