Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#288
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Pace62.5#336
Improvement-4.0#352

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#277
First Shot-8.2#354
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#10
Layup/Dunks-5.4#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#358
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement-1.4#291

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#275
First Shot-1.5#220
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#303
Layups/Dunks-0.6#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#318
Freethrows+2.6#37
Improvement-2.6#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.3% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 23.8% 35.6% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 44.7% 34.5%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.6% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 7.2% 11.4%
First Four2.3% 2.5% 2.2%
First Round3.1% 4.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 38.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 413 - 1114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 17   @ UCLA L 50-85 2%     0 - 1 -17.0 -6.1 -13.9
  Nov 06, 2024 315   @ San Diego W 68-67 46%     1 - 1 -4.8 -5.3 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 79%     2 - 1 -4.1 -11.5 +7.6
  Nov 12, 2024 301   @ Navy W 90-79 41%     3 - 1 +6.5 +14.9 -8.2
  Nov 19, 2024 43   @ Iowa L 58-83 4%     3 - 2 -10.9 -12.3 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2024 260   @ Bucknell W 57-53 34%     4 - 2 +1.5 -5.8 +7.9
  Nov 27, 2024 48   @ Villanova L 48-72 4%     4 - 3 -10.5 -12.5 -2.4
  Nov 30, 2024 207   Delaware L 66-72 45%     4 - 4 -11.4 -3.6 -8.5
  Dec 04, 2024 292   @ Fairfield L 75-78 39%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.8 +2.6 -9.6
  Dec 06, 2024 238   Quinnipiac L 67-72 51%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -12.0 -2.0 -10.5
  Dec 14, 2024 309   Stony Brook L 55-72 66%     4 - 7 -28.1 -12.6 -18.7
  Dec 20, 2024 284   @ Penn L 66-69 38%    
  Dec 22, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 58-75 6%    
  Jan 05, 2025 316   Manhattan W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 10, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 12, 2025 314   @ Niagara L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 236   @ Marist L 61-67 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 257   Iona W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 238   @ Quinnipiac L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 31, 2025 221   St. Peter's L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 217   Merrimack L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 06, 2025 277   @ Sacred Heart L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 283   Siena W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 14, 2025 257   @ Iona L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 16, 2025 221   @ St. Peter's L 59-66 27%    
  Feb 21, 2025 292   Fairfield W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 23, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 28, 2025 217   @ Merrimack L 60-67 27%    
  Mar 06, 2025 352   Canisius W 74-65 79%    
  Mar 08, 2025 314   Niagara W 69-64 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.4 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.5 1.7 0.1 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.6 3.3 0.3 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.3 0.7 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 4.2 1.1 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.2 3.3 1.2 0.1 9.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.0 5.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.1 9.3 12.1 13.9 14.2 12.6 10.2 7.4 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 87.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 83.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 62.0% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
14-6 27.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 28.2% 28.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 27.2% 27.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-5 1.1% 19.4% 19.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
14-6 2.3% 18.6% 18.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.8
13-7 4.4% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8
12-8 7.4% 11.0% 11.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 6.6
11-9 10.2% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.7 9.5
10-10 12.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.1
9-11 14.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.8
8-12 13.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.7
7-13 12.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.0
6-14 9.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.3
5-15 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-16 3.5% 3.5
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.4 95.8 0.0%