IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#227
Expected Predictive Rating	+8.6	#55

Pace	69.4	#179
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#217

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#222

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.0%	17.6%	10.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.0	14.7

.500 or above	64.8%	86.6%	63.3%
.500 or above in Conference	72.2%	85.6%	71.4%
Conference Champion	12.7%	21.7%	12.1%
Last Place in Conference	2.2%	0.7%	2.2%

First Four	1.0%	0.5%	1.0%
First Round	10.5%	17.3%	10.1%
Second Round	0.4%	1.0%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 4	15 - 7	18 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	30	@ UCLA	L	50-85	5%	0 - 1			-19.6	-8.4	-14.2
Nov 06, 2024	277	@ San Diego	W	68-67	49%	1 - 1			-2.1	-5.4	+3.3
Nov 09, 2024	363	@ Coppin St.	W	64-53	87%	2 - 1			-4.2	-10.0	+6.1
Nov 12, 2024	259	@ Navy	W	90-79	46%	3 - 1			+8.9	+17.0	-7.9
Nov 19, 2024	45	@ Iowa	L	72-88	6%
Nov 23, 2024	242	@ Bucknell	L	70-72	41%
Nov 27, 2024	77	@ Villanova	L	64-78	10%
Nov 30, 2024	204	Delaware	W	75-73	58%
Dec 04, 2024	258	@ Fairfield	L	70-71	46%
Dec 06, 2024	247	Quinnipiac	W	77-73	63%
Dec 14, 2024	287	Stony Brook	W	75-69	72%
Dec 20, 2024	208	@ Penn	L	70-74	38%
Dec 22, 2024	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	66-81	9%
Jan 05, 2025	334	Manhattan	W	76-66	81%
Jan 10, 2025	318	@ Canisius	W	72-70	59%
Jan 12, 2025	320	@ Niagara	W	73-70	60%
Jan 16, 2025	256	Mount St. Mary's	W	75-70	66%
Jan 18, 2025	226	@ Marist	L	66-69	40%
Jan 23, 2025	221	Iona	W	73-70	59%
Jan 25, 2025	247	@ Quinnipiac	L	74-76	43%
Jan 31, 2025	187	St. Peter's	W	66-65	54%
Feb 02, 2025	206	Merrimack	W	67-65	58%
Feb 06, 2025	335	@ Sacred Heart	W	79-75	64%
Feb 08, 2025	308	Siena	W	73-66	74%
Feb 14, 2025	221	@ Iona	L	70-73	40%
Feb 16, 2025	187	@ St. Peter's	L	63-68	33%
Feb 21, 2025	258	Fairfield	W	73-68	66%
Feb 23, 2025	256	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	72-73	46%
Feb 28, 2025	206	@ Merrimack	L	64-68	38%
Mar 06, 2025	318	Canisius	W	75-67	77%
Mar 08, 2025	320	Niagara	W	76-67	77%
Projected Record						17 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.3	2.8	3.4	2.8	1.6	0.5	0.1		12.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	2.0	4.1	3.5	1.5	0.3	0.0				11.8	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	2.3	4.6	3.4	1.0	0.1	0.0					11.7	3rd
4th											0.2	2.0	4.6	3.3	0.8	0.1							11.0	4th
5th										0.1	1.4	4.4	3.4	0.8	0.1								10.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.0	0.9	3.8	3.9	0.8	0.1									9.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	3.0	3.7	1.1	0.1										8.4	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	1.9	3.5	1.3	0.1											7.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.3	2.8	1.5	0.2	0.0											6.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.0	2.1	1.4	0.2	0.0												4.9	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.1	0.2	0.0													3.6	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0														2.2	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0															1.1	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.9	3.3	4.9	6.8	9.2	10.6	11.8	11.6	11.0	9.6	7.4	5.0	3.1	1.6	0.5	0.1			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
18-2	99.2%	1.6		1.5	0.1	0.0
17-3	89.3%	2.8		2.2	0.5	0.0
16-4	68.7%	3.4		2.2	1.1	0.2	0.0
15-5	37.6%	2.8		1.2	1.2	0.4	0.1
14-6	13.7%	1.3		0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	12.7%	12.7		7.9	3.5	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		55.0%	55.0%		11.8										0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0
19-1	0.5%		41.9%	41.2%	0.7%	12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1			0.3		1.1%
18-2	1.6%		39.5%	39.5%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.0
17-3	3.1%		33.2%	33.2%		13.8													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.1
16-4	5.0%		29.9%	29.9%		14.2													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.0	3.5
15-5	7.4%		23.5%	23.5%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.1	5.7
14-6	9.6%		17.3%	17.3%		14.9														0.0	0.4	0.9	0.3	8.0
13-7	11.0%		14.0%	14.0%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.9	0.4	9.5
12-8	11.6%		9.9%	9.9%		15.4															0.1	0.6	0.5	10.4
11-9	11.8%		5.7%	5.7%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	11.1
10-10	10.6%		3.6%	3.6%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	10.2
9-11	9.2%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.2	9.0
8-12	6.8%		1.5%	1.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	6.7
7-13	4.9%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
6-14	3.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
5-15	1.9%																							1.9
4-16	1.0%																							1.0
3-17	0.5%																							0.5
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.0%	11.0%	0.0%	14.7										0.0		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.8	4.2	2.4	89.0		0.0%