Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#196
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#210
Pace74.6#45
Improvement+1.7#110

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#115
First Shot+4.6#62
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#306
Layup/Dunks+2.6#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement+2.5#60

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#287
First Shot-5.2#331
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#76
Layups/Dunks-4.8#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#234
Freethrows-0.9#254
Improvement-0.9#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.5% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 59.7% 77.7% 49.7%
.500 or above in Conference 74.0% 88.3% 66.0%
Conference Champion 4.2% 8.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round6.1% 8.4% 4.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Away) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 34 - 85 - 10
Quad 411 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 265   Bucknell L 73-85 75%     0 - 1 -20.7 -8.1 -11.3
  Nov 07, 2024 216   Robert Morris W 81-77 66%     1 - 1 -1.8 -0.3 -1.8
  Nov 12, 2024 253   @ Iona W 64-58 54%     2 - 1 +3.5 -6.2 +9.8
  Nov 18, 2024 157   Bryant L 84-85 53%     2 - 2 -3.3 +1.7 -4.9
  Nov 23, 2024 211   Vermont L 71-75 54%     2 - 3 -6.7 +1.5 -8.2
  Nov 24, 2024 88   Yale W 100-94 22%     3 - 3 +12.4 +22.0 -10.0
  Nov 30, 2024 294   @ Rider W 72-66 63%     4 - 3 +1.1 +5.1 -3.3
  Dec 03, 2024 321   Delaware St. W 93-80 84%     5 - 3 +0.9 +4.7 -5.1
  Dec 06, 2024 116   @ Duquesne L 66-80 25%     5 - 4 -8.4 +1.8 -11.2
  Dec 20, 2024 232   @ St. Peter's L 64-72 49%     5 - 5 -9.2 +4.9 -15.4
  Dec 28, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 76-97 4%     5 - 6 -1.8 +11.2 -11.8
  Jan 02, 2025 200   @ Northeastern L 77-80 40%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -2.1 +5.4 -7.4
  Jan 04, 2025 267   Monmouth W 84-64 75%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +11.3 +10.3 +1.7
  Jan 09, 2025 323   @ N.C. A&T W 98-88 69%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +3.4 +5.9 -4.1
  Jan 11, 2025 256   @ Hampton L 77-83 54%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -8.6 +6.6 -15.4
  Jan 16, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 84-74 84%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -2.0 +4.5 -6.5
  Jan 18, 2025 158   Elon W 79-77 53%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -0.4 +2.4 -2.8
  Jan 23, 2025 174   @ Hofstra L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 193   @ Drexel L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 30, 2025 176   Towson W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 01, 2025 267   @ Monmouth W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 06, 2025 141   UNC Wilmington L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 189   William & Mary W 87-85 60%    
  Feb 13, 2025 176   @ Towson L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 252   Campbell W 78-72 74%    
  Feb 20, 2025 193   Drexel W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 174   Hofstra W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 27, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 80-87 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 75-81 29%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.5 3.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.9 4.9 1.1 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 6.7 2.6 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.4 5.5 5.3 0.3 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 3.1 7.1 1.5 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 7.1 3.8 0.1 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 4.0 6.1 0.5 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 5.5 1.8 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.4 0.2 7.0 10th
11th 0.4 1.8 1.6 0.3 4.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.6 7.9 13.5 18.6 18.7 16.9 11.5 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 95.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-4 73.3% 1.6    0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.1% 1.5    0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.6% 20.0% 20.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 2.2% 20.4% 20.4% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.8
13-5 5.4% 13.5% 13.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.7
12-6 11.5% 13.1% 13.1% 14.5 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 10.0
11-7 16.9% 8.0% 8.0% 14.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 15.6
10-8 18.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 17.8
9-9 18.6% 3.8% 3.8% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 17.9
8-10 13.5% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 13.2
7-11 7.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-12 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-13 0.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.2% 0.0 0.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.8 0.9 93.9 0.0%