Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#344
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#304
Pace71.3#119
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#359
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 8.1% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 12.0% 35.7% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 63.2% 42.8%
Conference Champion 4.6% 10.8% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 5.7% 13.6%
First Four4.1% 7.1% 4.0%
First Round2.1% 3.8% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 109 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 82   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 3%     0 - 1 -12.9 -8.4 -4.1
  Nov 09, 2024 182   @ Columbia L 62-83 11%     0 - 2 -19.2 -17.7 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2024 84   @ Providence L 55-77 2%    
  Nov 23, 2024 256   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 18%    
  Nov 29, 2024 23   @ Texas L 56-84 1%    
  Dec 03, 2024 204   @ Delaware L 66-78 13%    
  Dec 07, 2024 331   Loyola Maryland W 67-66 54%    
  Dec 11, 2024 354   NJIT W 69-64 67%    
  Dec 19, 2024 241   Grambling St. L 62-70 24%    
  Dec 20, 2024 281   Alabama St. L 65-71 31%    
  Dec 28, 2024 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-80 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 246   @ Howard L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 06, 2025 230   Norfolk St. L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 11, 2025 310   South Carolina St. L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 13, 2025 283   @ NC Central L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 66-63 62%    
  Feb 03, 2025 338   Morgan St. W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 246   Howard L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 17, 2025 230   @ Norfolk St. L 63-75 16%    
  Feb 22, 2025 310   South Carolina St. L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 24, 2025 283   NC Central L 69-71 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 69-60 79%    
  Mar 03, 2025 338   @ Morgan St. L 72-76 37%    
  Mar 06, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-66 68%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.0 1.0 0.1 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.3 3.9 0.8 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.1 4.8 0.6 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.3 8.6 4.8 0.6 0.0 18.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.4 7.9 3.6 0.4 18.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.2 5.1 1.8 0.2 14.3 7th
8th 0.4 1.8 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.8 8th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.9 8.5 11.6 14.4 15.2 14.1 11.8 8.0 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-2 95.2% 1.0    0.8 0.2
11-3 61.1% 1.6    0.9 0.7 0.1
10-4 25.8% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
9-5 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 45.5% 45.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 40.4% 40.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
12-2 1.0% 26.1% 26.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
11-3 2.7% 21.0% 21.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1
10-4 5.1% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.8 4.4
9-5 8.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.8 7.2
8-6 11.8% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.7 11.1
7-7 14.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 13.6
6-8 15.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 14.8
5-9 14.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.2
4-10 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.6
3-11 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.5
2-12 4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
1-13 1.9% 1.9
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.4 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%