Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#323
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#275
Pace71.8#93
Improvement+3.3#45

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#305
First Shot-5.0#312
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#168
Layup/Dunks-3.7#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.5#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.8#364
Freethrows-0.1#174
Improvement+2.7#48

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#305
First Shot-3.2#276
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#292
Layups/Dunks-2.8#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#299
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement+0.6#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.9% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 19.4% 26.9% 7.8%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 69.1% 35.7%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 1.7% 11.0%
First Four4.5% 5.0% 3.7%
First Round2.5% 3.0% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Away) - 60.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 411 - 811 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 137   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 10%     0 - 1 -18.6 -12.2 -6.0
  Nov 09, 2024 203   @ Columbia L 62-83 17%     0 - 2 -20.3 -17.9 -1.0
  Nov 19, 2024 81   @ Providence L 48-78 5%     0 - 3 -20.1 -12.4 -12.6
  Nov 23, 2024 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 28%     0 - 4 -13.2 -0.2 -13.8
  Nov 29, 2024 38   @ Texas L 68-90 2%     0 - 5 -7.3 -2.0 -3.9
  Dec 03, 2024 195   @ Delaware L 80-93 16%     0 - 6 -11.8 -3.7 -6.8
  Dec 07, 2024 315   Loyola Maryland W 80-77 58%     1 - 6 -8.4 -2.3 -6.2
  Dec 11, 2024 355   NJIT W 71-59 75%     2 - 6 -4.3 -5.6 +1.4
  Dec 19, 2024 326   Grambling St. W 73-60 52%     3 - 6 +3.0 +4.1 +0.3
  Dec 20, 2024 299   Alabama St. W 83-80 44%     4 - 6 -4.7 +6.7 -11.4
  Dec 28, 2024 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 58-76 5%     4 - 7 -9.0 -11.6 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 281   @ Howard L 94-100 31%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -10.2 +6.7 -16.4
  Jan 06, 2025 179   Norfolk St. L 64-73 29%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -12.6 -14.9 +2.7
  Jan 11, 2025 244   @ South Carolina St. W 76-75 23%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -0.7 +8.9 -9.5
  Jan 13, 2025 305   @ NC Central L 72-75 34%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -8.2 -2.0 -6.4
  Jan 25, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 03, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 83-78 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 281   Howard W 80-79 52%    
  Feb 17, 2025 179   @ Norfolk St. L 67-78 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 244   South Carolina St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 24, 2025 305   NC Central W 74-73 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 75-65 84%    
  Mar 03, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. L 80-81 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-69 79%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.6 4.7 2.1 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.9 9.4 5.0 0.3 17.7 3rd
4th 0.1 3.9 12.9 7.0 0.4 24.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 11.0 6.8 0.4 21.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 8.5 5.5 0.5 17.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.0 0.2 7.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.9 13.5 20.7 23.1 18.4 10.4 3.7 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 93.5% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 34.7% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1
9-5 3.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.5% 6.5% 6.5% 15.0 0.0 0.4
10-4 3.7% 13.4% 13.4% 15.8 0.1 0.4 3.2
9-5 10.4% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1 9.3
8-6 18.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2 17.2
7-7 23.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 1.1 22.0
6-8 20.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.7 20.0
5-9 13.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 13.1
4-10 6.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.8
3-11 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-12 0.6% 0.6
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 5.0 94.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%