Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
249 Howard 25.2%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 9 - 5 -4.1      -0.6 191 -3.5 292 69.1 152 0.0 1 0.0 1
251 Norfolk St. 24.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 9 - 5 -4.3      -1.9 243 -2.4 256 65.5 268 0.0 1 0.0 1
256 NC Central 21.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 5 -4.8      -1.8 237 -3.0 275 66.0 254 0.0 1 0.0 1
307 South Carolina St. 12.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 6 -7.6      -4.0 297 -3.6 300 71.1 99 0.0 1 0.0 1
320 Morgan St. 9.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 7 - 7 -8.8      -3.9 296 -4.9 334 75.0 38 0.0 1 0.0 1
340 Delaware St. 5.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 6 - 8 -11.1      -7.8 352 -3.3 284 71.3 93 0.0 1 0.0 1
359 Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 21 4 - 10 -15.1      -11.2 362 -3.8 308 67.6 207 0.0 1 0.0 1
363 Coppin St. 0.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 24 3 - 11 -18.4      -12.4 363 -6.0 352 66.2 250 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 2.7 33.1 22.5 16.9 11.9 8.2 4.6 2.1 0.7
Norfolk St. 2.7 31.4 22.5 17.1 12.5 8.4 5.0 2.3 0.7
NC Central 2.9 28.0 22.0 17.8 13.4 9.5 5.9 2.7 0.8
South Carolina St. 3.8 13.6 15.3 16.6 16.7 16.0 12.3 6.9 2.6
Morgan St. 4.1 10.6 13.5 15.3 17.1 17.0 14.5 8.7 3.5
Delaware St. 4.8 6.1 8.9 12.3 15.2 18.3 18.8 13.8 6.6
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.1 1.2 2.7 4.8 8.2 13.1 19.8 28.8 21.5
Coppin St. 7.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.7 7.0 13.8 26.4 46.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.6 6.2 9.1 12.1 14.5 15.8 14.6 11.6 6.9 2.6
Norfolk St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.3 3.8 6.5 9.6 12.3 14.6 15.9 14.0 10.9 6.4 2.3
NC Central 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.3 10.2 13.3 14.7 15.1 13.7 9.5 5.5 1.7
South Carolina St. 8 - 6 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.8 6.3 9.5 12.3 14.1 14.2 13.0 10.4 7.7 4.1 1.9 0.4
Morgan St. 7 - 7 0.1 0.9 2.2 4.7 7.8 11.2 13.1 14.4 13.7 12.0 9.0 6.0 3.3 1.2 0.3
Delaware St. 6 - 8 0.5 1.8 4.5 8.0 11.3 13.8 14.5 13.7 11.6 8.7 5.9 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 10 3.0 8.0 13.2 16.3 16.3 14.3 11.2 7.8 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 11 9.8 17.9 19.7 17.5 13.7 9.5 5.8 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 33.1% 22.5 8.6 1.8 0.2 0.0
Norfolk St. 31.4% 21.0 8.2 1.9 0.3 0.0
NC Central 28.0% 18.3 7.7 1.8 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 13.6% 7.8 4.4 1.2 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 10.6% 6.1 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 6.1% 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.2% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 25.2% 25.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.6 15.5 74.8 0.0%
Norfolk St. 24.3% 24.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.3 15.3 75.7 0.0%
NC Central 21.8% 21.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.4 14.5 78.2 0.0%
South Carolina St. 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 9.1 87.7 0.0%
Morgan St. 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.7 90.8 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.8 94.8 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 25.2% 10.7% 20.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 24.3% 10.8% 19.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 21.8% 10.4% 16.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 12.3% 6.9% 8.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 9.2% 6.0% 6.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.2% 4.2% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 74.2% 0.7 25.8 74.2
2nd Round 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0