Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
176 Norfolk St. 51.1%   16   11 - 8 4 - 1 18 - 10 11 - 3 -0.7      +0.6 165 -1.3 209 65.7 252 +0.1 163 -3.8 2
247 South Carolina St. 18.4%   7 - 11 3 - 2 13 - 14 9 - 5 -5.1      -3.3 264 -1.7 223 71.1 106 -7.6 290 -9.1 5
290 Howard 11.1%   6 - 10 3 - 1 12 - 15 9 - 5 -7.3      +0.9 147 -8.2 357 70.2 134 -6.5 269 -2.8 1
301 NC Central 9.4%   6 - 12 3 - 2 11 - 16 8 - 6 -7.8      -2.7 243 -5.1 322 66.7 227 -9.0 307 -9.9 6
319 Delaware St. 5.7%   6 - 10 2 - 3 11 - 14 7 - 7 -9.4      -5.1 309 -4.3 297 71.5 97 -6.8 276 -7.7 4
331 Morgan St. 3.5%   5 - 12 3 - 2 9 - 17 7 - 7 -10.8      -2.8 247 -8.0 355 75.3 34 -11.3 333 -6.3 3
361 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.5%   0 - 16 0 - 4 3 - 23 3 - 11 -15.9      -8.5 354 -7.4 351 68.1 191 -21.9 361 -22.0 8
362 Coppin St. 0.3%   2 - 17 1 - 4 4 - 24 3 - 11 -17.5      -13.1 363 -4.4 300 69.9 139 -15.7 353 -14.0 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.3 79.3 13.9 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
South Carolina St. 2.8 15.7 31.8 24.2 14.5 9.3 4.2 0.4 0.0
Howard 3.0 16.3 30.8 19.9 14.9 10.4 6.5 1.1 0.2
NC Central 3.8 6.3 16.1 21.2 21.6 20.1 12.9 1.7 0.2
Delaware St. 4.2 2.6 13.2 20.4 21.3 19.7 18.5 3.8 0.5
Morgan St. 4.4 2.4 10.4 17.3 20.9 22.7 21.6 4.3 0.5
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.6 9.8 41.7 42.3
Coppin St. 7.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.7 9.7 47.8 38.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 9.2 20.2 29.1 25.9 11.3
South Carolina St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.7 14.3 23.8 25.5 18.4 7.5 1.6
Howard 9 - 5 0.1 0.7 3.2 8.3 15.3 21.5 21.1 16.5 9.6 3.0 0.5
NC Central 8 - 6 0.1 1.8 6.9 16.5 24.9 23.3 16.8 7.3 2.0 0.3
Delaware St. 7 - 7 0.1 0.8 3.9 9.9 18.3 25.1 23.3 13.3 4.7 0.6
Morgan St. 7 - 7 0.7 4.1 12.0 21.4 26.2 20.0 10.8 4.1 0.8 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 3 - 11 3.3 12.0 21.7 25.0 19.4 11.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
Coppin St. 3 - 11 8.8 23.1 28.5 23.0 11.3 4.2 0.9 0.2




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 79.3% 62.9 13.6 2.5 0.3 0.1
South Carolina St. 15.7% 7.0 6.5 1.9 0.3 0.1
Howard 16.3% 7.5 7.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
NC Central 6.3% 2.2 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.1
Delaware St. 2.6% 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1
Morgan St. 2.4% 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0
Coppin St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 51.1% 51.1% 0.0% 16   0.8 4.6 12.3 22.8 10.6 48.9 0.0%
South Carolina St. 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.4 16.8 81.6 0.0%
Howard 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 10.7 88.9 0.0%
NC Central 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 9.1 90.6 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 94.3 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 3.5 96.5 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 51.1% 2.3% 50.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 18.4% 12.6% 12.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 11.1% 9.3% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 9.4% 8.4% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.7% 4.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 78.5% 0.8 21.5 78.5
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0