IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.0	#38
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.9	#296

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.9	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	9.8%	5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	34.0%	37.0%	13.2%
.500 or above in Conference	60.0%	62.4%	43.3%
Conference Champion	10.6%	11.4%	5.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.6%	5.9%	11.6%

First Four	6.0%	6.3%	4.1%
First Round	6.0%	6.4%	2.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 87.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 9	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	362	Mercyhurst	W	79-67	87%
Nov 09, 2024	195	@ Longwood	L	69-79	17%
Nov 16, 2024	343	NJIT	W	76-70	70%
Nov 20, 2024	312	@ N.C. A&T	L	74-78	37%
Nov 22, 2024	337	@ Buffalo	L	76-77	47%
Nov 24, 2024	124	Towson	L	64-72	23%
Nov 27, 2024	272	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	81-87	29%
Dec 07, 2024	265	@ Bowling Green	L	72-79	28%
Dec 10, 2024	28	@ Xavier	L	68-92	2%
Dec 15, 2024	301	Campbell	W	74-73	55%
Dec 22, 2024	8	@ Iowa St.	L	59-87	1%
Dec 29, 2024	76	@ Minnesota	L	65-84	5%
Jan 04, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	W	77-75	56%
Jan 06, 2025	256	NC Central	L	74-75	47%
Jan 11, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	73-81	26%
Jan 13, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	L	73-74	45%
Jan 25, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	77-64	86%
Feb 01, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-66	78%
Feb 03, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	L	74-75	48%
Feb 15, 2025	307	@ South Carolina St.	L	74-78	37%
Feb 17, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	71-78	29%
Feb 22, 2025	249	Howard	L	76-78	44%
Feb 24, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	70-77	27%
Mar 01, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	72-69	61%
Mar 03, 2025	340	Delaware St.	W	77-72	67%
Mar 06, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	74-67	70%
Projected Record						11 - 15	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.4	2.1	3.6	3.0	1.2	0.3		10.6	1st
2nd								0.0	1.0	4.4	5.4	2.3	0.3				13.5	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.6	5.9	6.0	1.5	0.1					15.3	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.3	7.4	6.0	1.2	0.0						17.1	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	3.4	7.4	5.0	0.8	0.0							17.0	5th
6th			0.0	0.8	3.9	6.3	3.1	0.4	0.0								14.5	6th
7th		0.1	0.9	3.0	3.3	1.3	0.1	0.0									8.7	7th
8th	0.1	0.8	1.3	1.0	0.3	0.0											3.5	8th

Total	0.1	0.9	2.2	4.7	7.8	11.2	13.1	14.4	13.7	12.0	9.0	6.0	3.3	1.2	0.3			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
13-1	100.0%	1.2		1.1	0.0
12-2	90.4%	3.0		2.3	0.7	0.0
11-3	59.8%	3.6		1.8	1.5	0.3	0.0
10-4	22.9%	2.1		0.5	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
9-5	3.3%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	10.6%	10.6		6.1	3.3	1.0	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.3%		63.6%	63.6%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
13-1	1.2%		44.1%	44.1%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.7
12-2	3.3%		36.0%	36.0%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	2.1
11-3	6.0%		26.6%	26.6%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.3	1.2	4.4
10-4	9.0%		19.2%	19.2%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.6	7.2
9-5	12.0%		13.3%	13.3%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.5	10.4
8-6	13.7%		7.9%	7.9%		16.0																0.0	1.1	12.6
7-7	14.4%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																0.0	0.6	13.8
6-8	13.1%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.4	12.7
5-9	11.2%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	11.0
4-10	7.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
3-11	4.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
2-12	2.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
1-13	0.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.2%	9.2%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	7.7	90.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%