South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#305
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#305
Pace71.1#124
Improvement+1.8#69

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#323
First Shot-7.2#344
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#91
Layup/Dunks+1.1#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#348
Freethrows-0.4#196
Improvement+0.7#122

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#235
First Shot+0.1#168
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#299
Layups/Dunks-1.6#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#113
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement+1.1#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 13.5% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 31.9% 49.8% 25.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.5% 80.9% 72.2%
Conference Champion 10.4% 14.6% 8.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.0% 2.2%
First Four8.3% 9.7% 7.8%
First Round6.0% 8.5% 5.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 412 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 77   @ South Carolina L 64-86 6%     0 - 1 -12.0 -5.0 -6.5
  Nov 14, 2024 218   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 23%     0 - 2 -8.6 -10.9 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 282   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 35%     0 - 3 -16.5 -12.4 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 67%     1 - 3 -0.2 +4.4 -4.5
  Nov 23, 2024 359   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 76%     2 - 3 -4.7 -5.7 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2024 182   @ Marshall L 53-82 19%     2 - 4 -27.0 -17.5 -9.9
  Dec 01, 2024 66   @ Xavier L 68-71 5%     2 - 5 +8.5 -0.6 +9.3
  Dec 05, 2024 124   Samford L 77-84 27%    
  Dec 09, 2024 311   Charleston Southern W 73-70 62%    
  Dec 14, 2024 122   @ Furman L 62-75 12%    
  Dec 18, 2024 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-76 54%    
  Dec 21, 2024 208   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-74 22%    
  Dec 29, 2024 43   @ Georgia L 62-83 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 06, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-62 81%    
  Jan 11, 2025 347   @ Delaware St. W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 13, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-64 84%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   @ NC Central L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 158   @ Norfolk St. L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 03, 2025 279   @ Howard L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 340   Morgan St. W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 17, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-59 92%    
  Feb 22, 2025 347   @ Delaware St. W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-67 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 158   Norfolk St. L 68-73 34%    
  Mar 03, 2025 279   Howard W 74-72 57%    
  Mar 06, 2025 274   NC Central W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.7 3.1 1.1 0.2 10.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 6.3 8.1 3.9 0.5 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 8.4 8.6 2.3 0.1 21.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 8.4 6.8 1.3 0.0 19.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 6.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.0 7.4 11.8 15.7 17.4 16.5 12.4 7.7 3.6 1.1 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.1    0.9 0.1
12-2 85.6% 3.1    2.1 1.0 0.0
11-3 48.3% 3.7    1.5 1.9 0.3
10-4 16.1% 2.0    0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1
9-5 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.4% 10.4 5.0 4.0 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 44.3% 44.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 1.1% 39.2% 39.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6
12-2 3.6% 28.1% 28.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.6
11-3 7.7% 21.8% 21.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.0
10-4 12.4% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9 10.5
9-5 16.5% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 14.4
8-6 17.4% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.5 15.9
7-7 15.7% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.9 14.8
6-8 11.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 11.3
5-9 7.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 7.2
4-10 4.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.9
3-11 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-12 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.8 89.6 0.0%