IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#307
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#99
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#297

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#300

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.3%	22.4%	11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.2	15.7

.500 or above	34.5%	67.9%	33.3%
.500 or above in Conference	65.8%	83.0%	65.1%
Conference Champion	13.6%	26.4%	13.1%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	1.3%	5.3%

First Four	6.9%	6.7%	6.9%
First Round	8.7%	19.2%	8.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 3.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 8	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	64	@ South Carolina	L	58-77	4%
Nov 14, 2024	222	@ Jacksonville	L	66-74	25%
Nov 16, 2024	298	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	72-76	37%
Nov 22, 2024	338	@ Alabama A&M	W	74-73	51%
Nov 23, 2024	360	IU Indianapolis	W	75-67	76%
Nov 27, 2024	194	@ Marshall	L	71-80	21%
Dec 01, 2024	28	@ Xavier	L	67-89	3%
Dec 05, 2024	138	Samford	L	77-83	30%
Dec 09, 2024	280	Charleston Southern	W	72-71	54%
Dec 14, 2024	165	@ Furman	L	69-80	18%
Dec 18, 2024	330	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	70-71	48%
Dec 21, 2024	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	67-77	19%
Dec 29, 2024	61	@ Georgia	L	64-83	5%
Jan 04, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	L	75-77	44%
Jan 06, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	72-64	75%
Jan 11, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	W	72-71	52%
Jan 13, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-63	81%
Jan 25, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	69-75	32%
Feb 01, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	68-74	30%
Feb 03, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	71-77	29%
Feb 15, 2025	320	Morgan St.	W	78-74	63%
Feb 17, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	75-61	87%
Feb 22, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	W	72-71	52%
Feb 24, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-66	64%
Mar 01, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	L	70-71	49%
Mar 03, 2025	249	Howard	L	74-75	48%
Mar 06, 2025	256	NC Central	W	72-71	51%
Projected Record						11 - 16	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	2.4	4.6	3.7	1.9	0.4		13.6	1st
2nd								0.1	1.1	4.8	6.1	2.9	0.4				15.3	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.6	6.5	6.5	1.9	0.1					16.6	3rd
4th						0.1	2.2	7.2	5.9	1.2	0.0						16.7	4th
5th				0.0	0.3	3.1	7.0	4.8	0.8	0.0							16.0	5th
6th			0.0	0.7	3.1	5.2	2.9	0.4	0.0								12.3	6th
7th		0.1	0.7	2.3	2.6	1.1	0.1										6.9	7th
8th	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0											2.6	8th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.7	3.8	6.3	9.5	12.3	14.1	14.2	13.0	10.4	7.7	4.1	1.9	0.4			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
13-1	100.0%	1.9		1.8	0.1
12-2	90.4%	3.7		2.8	0.9	0.0
11-3	60.4%	4.6		2.2	2.1	0.3	0.0
10-4	23.5%	2.4		0.6	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0
9-5	3.5%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	13.6%	13.6		7.8	4.4	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.4%		58.5%	58.5%		14.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
13-1	1.9%		49.1%	49.1%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	1.0
12-2	4.1%		39.6%	39.6%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	2.5
11-3	7.7%		30.4%	30.4%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	5.3
10-4	10.4%		21.9%	21.9%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.4	1.9	8.1
9-5	13.0%		15.0%	15.0%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.8	11.0
8-6	14.2%		9.7%	9.7%		16.0																0.0	1.4	12.9
7-7	14.1%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																0.0	0.8	13.3
6-8	12.3%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.5	11.8
5-9	9.5%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	9.3
4-10	6.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.2
3-11	3.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
2-12	1.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
1-13	0.6%																							0.6
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		12.3%	12.3%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	2.2	9.1	87.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%