South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#210
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#278
Pace71.1#100
Improvement+5.9#11

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#271
First Shot-5.8#328
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#53
Layup/Dunks-1.6#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#314
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement+1.9#88

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#145
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#36
Freethrows-2.1#312
Improvement+3.9#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.4% 35.8% 27.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 16.0
.500 or above 74.9% 88.0% 55.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.8% 100.0% 99.4%
Conference Champion 19.8% 27.9% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.7% 12.2% 18.2%
First Round26.1% 30.6% 19.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 59.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 415 - 515 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 84   @ South Carolina L 64-86 14%     0 - 1 -12.7 -4.2 -8.1
  Nov 14, 2024 193   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 38%     0 - 2 -8.3 -9.0 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2024 293   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 59%     0 - 3 -17.8 -13.1 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 359   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 82%     1 - 3 -0.1 +5.2 -5.3
  Nov 23, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 76%     2 - 3 +0.0 -7.1 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2024 190   @ Marshall L 53-82 37%     2 - 4 -28.1 -18.5 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2024 42   @ Xavier L 68-71 7%     2 - 5 +11.5 +0.6 +11.0
  Dec 05, 2024 113   Samford L 81-88 39%     2 - 6 -6.6 +9.9 -16.7
  Dec 09, 2024 285   Charleston Southern W 82-63 75%     3 - 6 +9.5 +5.6 +4.0
  Dec 14, 2024 159   @ Furman L 64-68 31%     3 - 7 -1.3 +1.9 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2024 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 76%     4 - 7 +5.2 -3.5 +6.9
  Dec 21, 2024 241   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 47%     4 - 8 -12.9 -20.0 +5.8
  Dec 29, 2024 44   @ Georgia L 72-79 7%     4 - 9 +7.2 +4.5 +3.0
  Jan 04, 2025 330   @ Morgan St. W 86-72 70%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +6.1 +3.5 +2.2
  Jan 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 85-77 89%     6 - 9 2 - 0 -7.9 -0.2 -8.5
  Jan 11, 2025 303   Delaware St. L 75-76 78%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -11.6 +3.4 -15.0
  Jan 13, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-64 95%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -7.0 -3.6 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2025 310   @ NC Central L 77-82 63%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -11.1 -5.5 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 181   @ Norfolk St. L 65-67 OT 35%     7 - 12 3 - 3 -0.6 -11.3 +10.7
  Feb 03, 2025 305   @ Howard W 89-66 63%     8 - 12 4 - 3 +17.2 -0.5 +15.0
  Feb 15, 2025 330   Morgan St. W 90-62 84%     9 - 12 5 - 3 +15.0 +10.3 +5.5
  Feb 17, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 87-57 95%     10 - 12 6 - 3 +9.0 +7.7 +1.1
  Feb 22, 2025 303   @ Delaware St. W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 24, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-63 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 181   Norfolk St. W 72-71 56%    
  Mar 03, 2025 305   Howard W 81-73 80%    
  Mar 06, 2025 310   NC Central W 77-68 81%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 6.4 13.4 19.8 1st
2nd 1.0 19.4 31.6 7.4 59.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 5.2 8.3 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.3 0.4 5.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 0.3 1.3 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 0.3 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.2 2.0 10.8 28.2 38.1 20.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 64.4% 13.4    4.7 8.7
10-4 16.7% 6.4    0.7 3.7 1.9 0.0
9-5 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.8% 19.8 5.3 12.4 2.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 20.7% 42.8% 42.8% 15.1 0.1 1.2 5.8 1.8 11.9
10-4 38.1% 35.6% 35.6% 15.9 0.0 1.4 12.1 24.5
9-5 28.2% 26.4% 26.4% 16.0 0.2 7.3 20.7
8-6 10.8% 20.0% 20.0% 16.0 2.2 8.6
7-7 2.0% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 0.3 1.6
6-8 0.2% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 32.4% 32.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 1.2 7.4 23.8 67.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.9% 100.0% 15.1 0.6 13.2 65.6 20.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.6%