South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#224
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#250
Pace71.1#115
Improvement+4.2#26

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#255
First Shot-5.4#320
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#50
Layup/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#308
Freethrows-0.8#241
Improvement+3.0#38

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#183
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks-3.4#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#41
Freethrows-2.3#328
Improvement+1.2#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 25.7% 20.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 70.8% 80.7% 55.1%
.500 or above in Conference 97.2% 98.9% 94.6%
Conference Champion 30.1% 37.7% 18.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four10.0% 8.8% 11.7%
First Round19.2% 21.6% 15.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 61.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 415 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 83   @ South Carolina L 64-86 11%     0 - 1 -12.5 -5.0 -7.0
  Nov 14, 2024 193   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 31%     0 - 2 -7.4 -8.4 +1.2
  Nov 16, 2024 248   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 43%     0 - 3 -14.8 -10.8 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 77%     1 - 3 +0.6 +4.7 -4.1
  Nov 23, 2024 322   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 72%     2 - 3 +0.4 -5.5 +6.4
  Nov 27, 2024 199   @ Marshall L 53-82 32%     2 - 4 -27.8 -18.1 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2024 51   @ Xavier L 68-71 6%     2 - 5 +10.5 -0.6 +11.2
  Dec 05, 2024 110   Samford L 81-88 34%     2 - 6 -6.5 +6.9 -13.5
  Dec 09, 2024 291   Charleston Southern W 82-63 73%     3 - 6 +8.9 +3.8 +5.1
  Dec 14, 2024 121   @ Furman L 64-68 19%     3 - 7 +1.6 +4.3 -3.3
  Dec 18, 2024 336   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 66%     4 - 7 +7.2 -0.7 +6.2
  Dec 21, 2024 207   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 33%     4 - 8 -10.0 -17.0 +5.7
  Dec 29, 2024 38   @ Georgia L 72-79 5%     4 - 9 +8.2 +5.5 +3.0
  Jan 04, 2025 347   @ Morgan St. W 86-72 71%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +4.6 +3.3 +0.9
  Jan 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 85-77 83%     6 - 9 2 - 0 -5.6 +0.7 -7.2
  Jan 11, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 13, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-65 91%    
  Jan 25, 2025 310   @ NC Central W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 165   @ Norfolk St. L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 03, 2025 282   @ Howard L 76-77 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 347   Morgan St. W 84-72 86%    
  Feb 17, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 76-60 93%    
  Feb 22, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 24, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-68 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 165   Norfolk St. L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 282   Howard W 79-73 71%    
  Mar 06, 2025 310   NC Central W 76-68 76%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 3.0 9.2 10.7 5.7 1.1 30.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 10.7 16.1 10.8 2.3 42.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 7.2 7.2 2.5 0.1 18.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.7 11.5 18.7 21.6 20.0 13.0 5.7 1.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
13-1 100.0% 5.7    5.2 0.5
12-2 82.4% 10.7    7.0 3.7 0.0
11-3 45.8% 9.2    3.9 4.7 0.6
10-4 14.1% 3.0    0.7 1.6 0.6 0.0
9-5 2.1% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 30.1% 30.1 17.9 10.7 1.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.1% 45.2% 45.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6
13-1 5.7% 41.8% 41.8% 14.8 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.2 3.3
12-2 13.0% 35.0% 35.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 2.2 2.2 8.5
11-3 20.0% 27.2% 27.2% 15.8 0.1 1.2 4.2 14.6
10-4 21.6% 24.2% 24.2% 15.9 0.0 0.4 4.8 16.4
9-5 18.7% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.1 3.3 15.3
8-6 11.5% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 1.5 9.9
7-7 5.7% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.6 5.1
6-8 2.1% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.1 1.9
5-9 0.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-10 0.1% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.3 17.0 76.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 13.5 7.7 34.4 54.4 3.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%