Preseason Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#222
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.0#282
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#254
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#187
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 21.2% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.6 14.7
.500 or above 49.7% 79.3% 48.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.4% 89.1% 72.7%
Conference Champion 15.8% 30.6% 15.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 0.8% 2.8%
First Four2.1% 0.4% 2.2%
First Round11.4% 21.0% 11.0%
Second Round0.8% 1.7% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 25   @ Florida L 66-84 5%    
  Nov 11, 2024 165   @ Furman L 68-74 29%    
  Nov 14, 2024 307   South Carolina St. W 74-66 75%    
  Nov 20, 2024 74   @ Virginia Tech L 62-76 11%    
  Nov 25, 2024 208   Mercer L 66-67 47%    
  Nov 30, 2024 61   @ Georgia L 62-77 10%    
  Dec 10, 2024 97   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-76 15%    
  Dec 14, 2024 170   East Tennessee St. W 68-67 51%    
  Dec 21, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 62-76 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 158   Lipscomb L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 281   Austin Peay W 70-64 69%    
  Jan 09, 2025 299   @ Bellarmine W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 255   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 231   North Alabama W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 18, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 76-65 83%    
  Jan 23, 2025 351   @ West Georgia W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 289   @ Queens W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 206   Florida Gulf Coast W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 01, 2025 254   North Florida W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 290   @ Stetson W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   Bellarmine W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 13, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 231   @ North Alabama L 69-72 42%    
  Feb 18, 2025 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 63-67 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 254   @ North Florida L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 24, 2025 255   Eastern Kentucky W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 26, 2025 290   Stetson W 72-65 71%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.6 4.4 3.5 1.7 0.5 15.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.7 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.9 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.2 4.8 6.6 8.3 9.9 10.9 11.5 11.2 9.9 8.0 6.0 3.8 1.7 0.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 98.9% 1.7    1.6 0.1
16-2 92.0% 3.5    2.9 0.6 0.0
15-3 72.7% 4.4    3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.4% 3.6    1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0
13-5 17.6% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.8% 15.8 10.2 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 56.8% 56.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.7% 51.7% 51.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-2 3.8% 40.0% 40.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3
15-3 6.0% 30.6% 30.6% 14.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 4.2
14-4 8.0% 25.8% 25.8% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.3 5.9
13-5 9.9% 19.1% 19.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 8.0
12-6 11.2% 12.9% 12.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.7
11-7 11.5% 10.0% 10.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.3
10-8 10.9% 6.6% 6.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 10.2
9-9 9.9% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.5
8-10 8.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.2
7-11 6.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.5
6-12 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.8
5-13 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.6 3.9 87.6 0.0%