Preseason Rankings
Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#255
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.5#111
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#205
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#304
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 12.6% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 38.4% 59.5% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 57.7% 70.6% 53.7%
Conference Champion 8.4% 13.8% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 2.5% 6.4%
First Four1.8% 1.6% 1.8%
First Round7.2% 11.9% 5.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Away) - 23.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 410 - 612 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 170   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-76 24%    
  Nov 12, 2024 43   @ Clemson L 64-82 5%    
  Nov 19, 2024 332   @ Chicago St. W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 01, 2024 129   @ Troy L 70-80 19%    
  Dec 11, 2024 52   @ Pittsburgh L 64-81 6%    
  Dec 14, 2024 326   Eastern Illinois W 75-67 75%    
  Dec 21, 2024 202   Jacksonville St. W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 28, 2024 50   @ Louisville L 69-86 7%    
  Jan 02, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas W 77-73 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 231   @ North Alabama L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 09, 2025 254   North Florida W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 222   Jacksonville W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 16, 2025 281   @ Austin Peay L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 299   Bellarmine W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 23, 2025 290   Stetson W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 206   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 158   @ Lipscomb L 74-82 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 281   Austin Peay W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 06, 2025 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 290   @ Stetson L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 13, 2025 351   West Georgia W 79-68 82%    
  Feb 15, 2025 289   Queens W 84-79 65%    
  Feb 18, 2025 158   Lipscomb L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 20, 2025 299   @ Bellarmine L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 24, 2025 222   @ Jacksonville L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 254   @ North Florida L 74-77 40%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.0 6.0 7.7 9.8 10.6 11.2 10.9 9.9 8.8 6.7 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.9% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 95.3% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 77.4% 2.3    1.6 0.7 0.1
14-4 46.6% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.5% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 57.3% 57.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 54.3% 54.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 38.8% 38.8% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.0% 32.3% 32.3% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.0
14-4 4.8% 25.3% 25.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 3.6
13-5 6.7% 19.3% 19.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 5.4
12-6 8.8% 13.1% 13.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 7.6
11-7 9.9% 8.8% 8.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.0
10-8 10.9% 7.0% 7.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 10.1
9-9 11.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.8
8-10 10.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.4
7-11 9.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.7
6-12 7.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.4 3.1 91.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%