North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#188
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#129
Pace75.3#40
Improvement-4.8#356

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#82
First Shot+2.2#110
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#97
Layup/Dunks+0.0#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.3#5
Freethrows-4.4#358
Improvement-1.7#310

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#326
First Shot-4.6#324
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#226
Layups/Dunks-8.1#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#149
Freethrows+1.4#84
Improvement-3.1#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.1% 18.3% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 12.9 14.0
.500 or above 80.7% 96.5% 80.4%
.500 or above in Conference 87.7% 94.9% 87.6%
Conference Champion 13.7% 25.2% 13.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round12.1% 18.3% 12.0%
Second Round0.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 12 - 4
Quad 33 - 55 - 9
Quad 412 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 69   @ South Carolina W 74-71 12%     1 - 0 +14.3 +7.6 +6.7
  Nov 07, 2024 301   Charleston Southern W 90-66 81%     2 - 0 +13.3 +5.2 +6.4
  Nov 10, 2024 111   @ Georgia Tech W 105-93 23%     3 - 0 +18.6 +21.3 -4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 32   @ Georgia L 77-90 7%     3 - 1 +2.5 +14.5 -12.3
  Nov 18, 2024 166   UNC Asheville L 75-89 59%     3 - 2 -17.5 +2.0 -20.1
  Nov 29, 2024 269   @ SIU Edwardsville W 78-73 56%     4 - 2 +2.3 +4.6 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 72-103 10%     4 - 3 -18.0 -0.1 -15.0
  Dec 07, 2024 234   @ Georgia Southern L 91-93 OT 48%     4 - 4 -2.8 +4.0 -6.4
  Dec 14, 2024 157   UNC Greensboro W 89-77 57%     5 - 4 +8.9 +14.1 -5.4
  Dec 17, 2024 166   @ UNC Asheville L 81-95 36%     5 - 5 -11.5 +4.2 -15.0
  Dec 21, 2024 7   @ Florida L 75-97 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 273   Austin Peay W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 04, 2025 107   Lipscomb L 79-81 40%    
  Jan 09, 2025 220   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-84 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 343   @ Bellarmine W 85-78 75%    
  Jan 16, 2025 339   Central Arkansas W 85-72 89%    
  Jan 18, 2025 182   North Alabama W 82-79 60%    
  Jan 23, 2025 270   @ Queens W 85-84 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 341   @ West Georgia W 83-76 74%    
  Jan 29, 2025 344   Stetson W 89-75 89%    
  Feb 01, 2025 205   @ Jacksonville L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 06, 2025 343   Bellarmine W 88-75 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 192   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 13, 2025 182   @ North Alabama L 79-82 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 339   @ Central Arkansas W 82-75 74%    
  Feb 18, 2025 344   @ Stetson W 86-78 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 205   Jacksonville W 80-76 63%    
  Feb 24, 2025 192   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 220   Eastern Kentucky W 85-81 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 3.7 4.3 3.0 1.2 0.2 13.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.8 7.0 6.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 7.2 4.9 1.2 0.1 16.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.6 6.4 4.4 0.8 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 5.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.5 5.9 9.1 12.2 14.8 15.2 13.7 10.9 6.9 3.4 1.2 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.7% 1.2    1.1 0.1
16-2 88.5% 3.0    2.3 0.7 0.0
15-3 62.2% 4.3    2.5 1.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 33.7% 3.7    1.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
13-5 8.1% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.7% 13.7 7.5 4.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 49.0% 49.0% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.2% 37.2% 37.2% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
16-2 3.4% 32.3% 32.3% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3
15-3 6.9% 25.8% 25.8% 13.3 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 5.1
14-4 10.9% 20.7% 20.7% 13.6 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.6
13-5 13.7% 15.1% 15.1% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 11.6
12-6 15.2% 11.6% 11.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.0 13.5
11-7 14.8% 8.5% 8.5% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 13.5
10-8 12.2% 6.5% 6.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 11.5
9-9 9.1% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.7
8-10 5.9% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.8
7-11 3.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
6-12 1.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.9 3.3 4.3 3.0 0.6 87.9 0.0%