UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#146
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#151
Pace61.9#342
Improvement-0.7#215

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#155
First Shot+0.2#165
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks-3.7#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#55
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+2.5#48

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#163
First Shot+2.4#97
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#327
Layups/Dunks+3.3#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#164
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-3.2#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.2% 19.3% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 13.9
.500 or above 96.8% 98.9% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 99.9% 100.0% 99.7%
Conference Champion 40.5% 49.4% 24.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.2% 19.3% 13.4%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 64.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 37 - 68 - 10
Quad 410 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 168   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-64 65%     1 - 0 +6.3 +3.9 +3.1
  Nov 11, 2024 48   @ SMU L 68-81 13%     1 - 1 +0.5 -2.4 +3.5
  Nov 21, 2024 55   @ Indiana L 58-69 15%     1 - 2 +1.4 -7.0 +8.1
  Nov 25, 2024 301   Long Beach St. W 71-48 80%     2 - 2 +15.2 +0.1 +17.4
  Nov 26, 2024 148   San Jose St. L 64-69 50%     2 - 3 -3.9 -5.3 +1.0
  Nov 27, 2024 147   UTEP L 58-64 50%     2 - 4 -4.9 -4.1 -1.8
  Dec 03, 2024 106   High Point W 72-68 49%     3 - 4 +5.4 +8.0 -1.9
  Dec 07, 2024 328   @ N.C. A&T W 67-55 80%     4 - 4 +4.3 -4.2 +9.6
  Dec 14, 2024 257   @ North Florida L 77-89 66%     4 - 5 -15.0 -4.3 -10.5
  Dec 21, 2024 171   @ Elon L 69-73 45%     4 - 6 -1.7 +4.3 -6.4
  Jan 01, 2025 157   @ Wofford W 68-66 43%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +4.8 +1.2 +3.8
  Jan 04, 2025 161   Furman W 84-67 63%     6 - 6 2 - 0 +14.6 +18.8 -2.3
  Jan 09, 2025 144   @ Chattanooga W 78-75 40%     7 - 6 3 - 0 +6.8 +14.6 -7.4
  Jan 11, 2025 109   @ Samford L 69-76 31%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -0.8 +3.5 -4.9
  Jan 15, 2025 356   The Citadel W 70-57 94%     8 - 7 4 - 1 -3.3 +0.0 -1.5
  Jan 18, 2025 348   @ Western Carolina W 83-55 85%     9 - 7 5 - 1 +18.0 +13.2 +6.7
  Jan 22, 2025 221   Mercer L 78-79 75%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -6.8 +0.0 -6.7
  Jan 25, 2025 304   @ VMI W 60-57 74%     10 - 8 6 - 2 -2.6 -11.5 +9.0
  Jan 29, 2025 152   East Tennessee St. W 70-65 61%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +3.2 +13.4 -8.9
  Feb 01, 2025 157   Wofford W 69-66 64%    
  Feb 05, 2025 356   @ The Citadel W 71-59 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 348   Western Carolina W 77-61 94%    
  Feb 12, 2025 304   VMI W 75-63 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 161   @ Furman L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-69 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 221   @ Mercer W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 27, 2025 144   Chattanooga W 71-69 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 109   Samford W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.4 10.8 16.7 9.4 2.2 40.5 1st
2nd 1.0 10.8 14.8 3.7 0.2 30.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.0 9.5 1.1 0.0 15.8 3rd
4th 1.1 5.7 1.1 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 1.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 0.9 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.3 12.7 22.8 26.8 20.5 9.6 2.2 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 2.2    2.2
15-3 97.7% 9.4    8.3 1.1
14-4 81.7% 16.7    9.8 6.5 0.5
13-5 40.4% 10.8    2.3 5.5 2.8 0.3
12-6 6.0% 1.4    0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 40.5% 40.5 22.6 13.2 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 2.2% 25.1% 25.1% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.7
15-3 9.6% 28.1% 28.1% 13.1 0.5 1.5 0.7 0.0 6.9
14-4 20.5% 22.9% 22.9% 13.5 0.3 2.2 2.1 0.2 15.8
13-5 26.8% 18.2% 18.2% 13.9 0.0 1.3 2.8 0.7 21.9
12-6 22.8% 12.6% 12.6% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.7 0.0 19.9
11-7 12.7% 8.8% 8.8% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 11.6
10-8 4.3% 8.3% 8.3% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 4.0
9-9 1.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 1.0
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 1.2 5.6 7.8 2.6 0.1 82.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 12.4 1.8 55.4 42.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%